BSG: Congratulations to FILM!

[Dementeleus]

Ed, this summer you're gonna go down harder than the Undertaker.

[#ED]

Ed, this summer you're gonna go down harder than the Undertaker.

 

[Michael Gary Scott]

Can people start posting their stuff? I need to compare.

I'm always last minute

[baumer]

Just got to do worldwide grosses now. Had 26 films in contention for top 15

 

Also for the Pm sentence, is it just that 1 sentence or the whole post

 

That should be something you ask me by pm.  Think McFly, think.  

[baumer]

Can people start posting their stuff? I need to compare.

 

Everything gets posted in the main thread.

[Films]

That should be something you ask me by pm.  Think McFly, think.

I did but got no reply and it kept saying you hadn't read it

[The Stingray]

Baumer, I hate to bother you with questions like this, but I need a bit of clarification. For the 'best WW weekend', we're only talking one individual weekend, right? I was wondering because Mojo has Cap 2's WW opening at 170m (95m from NA and 75m foreign), even though that foreign money was made one weekend before the domestic money.

Edited April 8, 2014 by The Stingray

[baumer]

I did but got no reply and it kept saying you hadn't read it

 

Sorry about that.  My fault.  Yes, just the one sentence.

 

Baumer, I hate to bother you with questions like this, but I need a bit of clarification. For the 'best WW weekend', we're only talking one individual weekend, right? I was wondering because Mojo has Cap 2's WW opening at 170m (95m from NA and 75m foreign), even though that foreign money was made one weekend before the domestic money.

 

Well, Mojo is wrong.  It's one total weekend.

[Punishment]

Reserved; nice to see this thread - the unofficial start of Summer

 

Now time to start over-predicting the movies I want to see and under-predicting those I don't.

 

Top 15 Domestic:

 

1) How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $307m

2) Transformers: Age of Extinction - $276m

3) Godzilla - $235m

4) X-Men: Days of Future Past - $233m

5) The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $230m

6) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $173m

7) Guardians of the Galaxy - $155m

8) Maleficent - $150m

9) 22 Jump Street - $135m

10) Edge of Tomorrow - $112m

11) Neighbors - $107m

12) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - $92m

13) A Million Ways to Die in the West - $88m

14) Fault in Our Stars - $85m

15) Jupiter Ascending - $83m

 

 

16) Tammy - $82m

17) Think Like a Man Too - $75m

 

Worldwide Top 10:

 

1) Transformers Age of Extinction - $1,050b

2) How To Train Your Dragon 2 - $950m

3) The Amazing Spider-man 2 - $850m

3) Godzilla - $700m

5) X-men Days of Future Past - $675m

6) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $650m

7) Guardians of the Galaxy - $500m

8) Maleficent - $450m

9) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - $350m

10) Edge of Tomorrow - $325m

 

Top Opening Weekends Worldwide:

 

1) Transformers Age of Extinction - $200m

2) How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $175m

3) The Amazing Spider-man 2 - $170m

4) Godzilla - $155m

5) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $145m

 

Top Opening Weekends Domestic:

 

1) Transformers Age of Extinction - $105m

2) How To Train Your Dragon 2 - $92m

3) Godzilla - $90m

4) The Amazing Spider-man 2 - $88m

5) X-men Days of Future Past - $85m

6) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $70m

7) Guardians of the Galaxy - $60m

 

Lowest Grossing Films Of Summer:

 

1) And So It Goes

2) The Fluffy Movie 

3) The Rover

4) Mom's Night Out

5) The Hundred Foot Journey

 

Tell me, of these five films, which one will be the lowest grossing of the summer. Only these five films can you choose from.

1) Step Up All In (23.25m)

Second Bonus Question:

Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer:

1) Maleficent (154m)

Third Bonus Question:

Tell me, of these five films, which will be the highest grossing INTERNAIONALLY (NOT WW, ONLY INTERNATIONALLY....ALL FIGURES ACCORDING TO BOXOFFICEMOJO.COM)?

2) How To Train Your Dragon 2 (625m)

For 15,000 bonus points, call the correct film within 25 mill.

TRIPLE BONUS

Here are your 16 bonus questions that have to be answered before the May 1st start date.

Question 1: Will at least 2 films gross more than 100 million dollars Opening weekend domestically (3 day weekends count only) - No
Question 2: Will at least two films gross at least 35 million dollars on opening day? - Yes
Question 3: Will any film this summer have a worldwide weekend of more than 200 million? (THIS WILL INCLUDE ANY 5 DAY WEEKENDS. WHATEVER IS REPORTED FOR THE ACTUALS ON MONDAY EVENING WILL BE THE NUMBER WE GO BY). - No
Question 4: Will any film make more than 31.5 million this summer in Australia? - Yes
Question 5: Will any film make more than 45 million dollars this summer in the UK box office? - Yes
Question 6: Will any film make more than 200 million in CHINA this summer? - No
Question 7: Will at least 2 films make more than 900 mill WW this summer? - Yes
Question 8: Will at least 3 films, listed as comedy (doesn't matter if it says horror/comedy, western/comedy as long as "comedy" is listed, it counts) by Box Office Mojo, make more than 110 million dollars this summer? - Abstain
Question 9: Will at least 2 dramas, according to boxofficemojo, make more than 100 million domestically? - Yes
Question 10: Which combination of films will make more money domestically?
2) X-Men: Days of Future Past, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, Hercules, The Fluffy Movie, Purge 2  
Question 11: Will any film make more than 35 million in Russia this summer? - Yes
Question 12:
Will the top three films combined make more this summer than the next 5 films combined (domestic only)? So to avoid any confusion like we had before, the question reads like this.... top 3 spots add up to more than slots 4-8. - No
Question 13:
Will any of the top 5 grossing sequels domestically this summer have a second weekend drop of less than 44.5%? - Yes
Question 14:
Will ASM2, Godzilla, X-men or Dawn of the Planet of the Apes have a Saturday increase (this includes any money it made on Thursday for midnights/early shows)...so if it makes 50 mill on Friday, including 7 mill from Thursday, then it has to make more than than 50 mill on Saturday to count as a yes - Yes
Question 15:
Will Transformers Age of Extinction's gross in China come within 50 million of ASM2's gross domestically? - No
 

Bonus Question of all Bonus Questions:

This is a four parter:

1) Will ASM2 make at least 260 million domestically? - No
2) Will ASM2 make more than 600 million internationally? - Yes
3) Will ASM2 do at least 10 million for midnights (including Thurs)? - Abstain
4) Will ASM2 make at least 900 million WW? - No

17)

A) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com gross more than 70 million dollars this summer? - No
B. Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com open to more than 30 mill? - Abstain
C) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have a second weekend drop of less than 47%? - No
D) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have an opening day of more than 15 mill? - Abstain

 

NEW QUESTION: QUESTION 18:

 

What will the highest grossing comedy be in each of the first three months of the summer?  So for the months of May, June and July, tell me the highest comedy to come out of each month. Obviously, each film has until the end of the summer to make its money.

 

May - A Million Ways to Die in the West

June - 22 Jump Street

July - Tammy

 

Question 19

 

1) How many films will gross at least 100 million dollars this summer? (you have a cushion of 2 films.  So if you are wrong by two films, you still get full points) 11

2) How many films will gross at least 650 mill WW this summer? (cushion of 1 film) 4

3) What will be the total gross for the top 4 films in August? (you have a cushion of 50 mill) $375m

4) How many films will gross at least 80 million OW? (cushion of 1 film) 5

5) Will any film gross at least 35 mill in Brazil? Yes

6) Will any horror film make 200 mill WW? No

7) Will any film gross 20 million in Spain? Yes

8) What will be the fourth highest grossing film of May? Maleficent

9) Will Snowpiercer gross more than 30 million (this question must be answered regardless of the ambiguity of the release.  As of right now it is not listed as going wide.  We should know before May if it is or not, but even if we don't, tough. ) No

10) Will TASM2 have a better Thursday than Captain America 2? No

11) Will Jupiter Ascending make more than 80 million? Yes

12) How many 1 billion dollar WW films will there be this summer? 2

13) Will Tammy gross at least half of what Captain 2, ASM2 or X-men DOFP does? No

14) Will Hercules make more than 70 million? No

15) Will Lucy make more than 60 million? Yes

16) What film finishes second in gross out of the August films? Ninja Turtles

17) Will Michael Bay's films gross more than 400 mill domestic? Yes

18) Will frank Miller's Sin City open higher than Expendables 3? No

19) Will the Fluffy Movie gross at least 15 mill? No

20) How many films will open to at least 50 million? (2 film cushion) 8

 

Question 20:  The "Baumer is Killing Us With All These Questions" Question

 

Comedy battle of the summer:

 

There are 7 high profile comedies coming out this summer.  They are:

 

Neighbors

Blended

22 Jump Street

Think Like a Man Too

A Million Ways to Die in the West

Tammy

Sex Tape

 

Your mission, if you choose to accept it, is as follows:

 

1) Which comedy will open the highest? 22 Jump Street

2) Will any two comedies combine to open with more than 60 million? Yes

3) Which film will finish with the lowest total? Sex Tape

4) Will any film have a multiplier of more than 5.75? No

5) Will any film have a multiplier of less than 3.3? Yes

6) How many of these films will open to number one on the weekend? 3

7) Will any film make more than 150 mill internationally? Yes

8) Will any film have a first Monday drop of less than 51%? No

9) Will any film have a first Tuesday increase of more than 15.5%? Yes

10) Will any film that opens after June 14th have a second Friday increase of more than 90%? Yes

11) Will a sequel be the highest grossing film of all these comedies? Yes

12) Will any film make more than 18 million in Russia? Yes

13) Will any film make more than 20 mill in the UK? Yes

14) Will any film have a second weekend drop of less than 40% No

15) Which films will combine to have the highest total gross?

A) 22 Jump Street, Tammy, Million Ways

Edited May 1, 2014 by Punishment

[grim22]

Sorry about that.  My fault.  Yes, just the one sentence.

 

 

Well, Mojo is wrong.  It's one total weekend.

 

This brings up a really good point. Last year I remember that finding the WW weekend totals was a big issue since we had to look through screendaily archives. I think a thread should be made, or at least an updated post should be made which will keep track of the WW weekends for movies, this can then easily be looked at at the end of the game.

[kayumanggi]

I haven't done any research yet. That sucks.

[baumer]

You have lots of time.

[BobbyJohn]

Can I still do it?

[baumer]

The game starts May 2nd.  If you have never played before please read the entire first post.

[baumer]

To all the newbs and people checking out this thread for the first time, you have to read the first post.  I know it's long and it might seem too much to read but if you break it down in sections, it all makes sense.  So read the first post and if you have any questions then you can ask me.

[Donald]

Ok baumer!Am going to do it!Got some courage!

[The Stingray]

Baumer, just to clarify, when you say, "Will Michael Bay's films gross more than 400 mill domestic?" on Question 19, you're referring to TF4 and Turtles, correct?

[chasmmi]

He is also a producer on The Purge too according to IMDB

[narniadis]

You know - this summer feels like the most difficult to predict since 2008 :/

[baumer]

I agree, Narnia. Glad to see u here. You've been in almost every season. Youre one of the names I look for.