Official Weekend Estimates: Maleficent - 70M, X-Men - 32.6M, A Million Ways - 17.1M, Godzilla - 12.2M

[kayumanggi]

First one crawled past, second one over $40m away.

 

What's your predict?

[TalismanRing]

1). Maleficent (DIS), 3,948 theaters / $24.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $65M to $70M+ / Wk 1

2). X-Men: Days of Future Past (FOX), 4,001 theaters (+5) / $9.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $31M+ to $32M+ (-66%) / Total expected cume: $161M / Wk 1

3). A Million Ways to Die in the West (UNI), 3,158 theaters / $6.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $16M to $17M+ / Wk 1

4). Godzilla (WB), 3,501 theaters (-451) / $3.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: $11M / Total cume: $173.5M / Wk 4

5). Blended (WB), 3,555 theaters (0) / $2.37M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.8M to $8.2M (43%) / Total cume: $28.9M to $29.4M / Wk 2

6). Neighbors (UNI), 2,939 theaters (-327) / $2.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.2M to $7.5M / Total cume: $128M+ / Wk 4

7/8). The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SONY) 2,152 theaters (-1,008) / $1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.6M / Total cume: $192.5M / Wk 5

Million Dollar Arm (DIS), 2,329 theaters (-690) / $1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.6M / Total cume: $28M / Wk 3

9). Chef (OPRD), 624 theaters (+126) / $496K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.8M / Total cume: $6.76M / Wk 4

 

10) The Other Woman (FOX), 1,114 theaters (-1,040) / $440K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.38M / Total cume: $81M / Wk 6

[BobbyJohn]

Ouch major floppage for both MacFarlane and Sandler back to back weekends. Audience is ruthless when ti comes to comedies this summer, either big hits or flops

[FTF]

Trailers were bad and it didn't look funny so this isn't surprising at all.

[The Stingray]

I'm too sad to admit I was wrong about its legs 

 

You win some, you lose some. I guess X-Men wont be a +300m franchise, at least not for the foreseeable future.

[lab276]

But it's not really a down year, right?

Maybe. Let me plug my summer comparison thread (including an analysis!). It's not very wordy, just numbers and graphs.http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/14793-2014-summer-comparison-8766m-188-analysis-unusually-bad-so-far/#entry1451141

[druv10]

Maybe/hopefully superhero fatigue is finally kicking in. International audiences will need a few more years to catch up though.

 

As for Mockingjay, well, I'll never doubt Katniss again, so +400m.

 

Superhero fatigue? This is a normal drop for X-Men movies talk to me next year if TA:AoU drops this big. 

[TalismanRing]

Ouch major floppage for both MacFarlane and Sandler back to back weekends. Audience is ruthless when ti comes to comedies this summer, either big hits or flops

 

Refreshingly it actually seems to correlate to quality.

[Quigley]

But it's not really a down year, right?

 

It could be. A lot of films need to overperform if 2014 wants to stay afloat. And I just don't see it happening.

[kayumanggi]

31 M from a 9.5 M Friday?

[redfirebird2008]

Definitely looks like ASM2 won't even make it to Thor 2. LMAO at Spidey.

[lab276]

What's your predict?

$260-270m.

1). Maleficent (DIS), 3,948 theaters / $24.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $65M to $70M+ / Wk 12). X-Men: Days of Future Past (FOX), 4,001 theaters (+5) / $9.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $31M+ to $32M+ (-66%) / Total expected cume: $161M / Wk 13). A Million Ways to Die in the West (UNI), 3,158 theaters / $6.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $16M to $17M+ / Wk 14). Godzilla (WB), 3,501 theaters (-451) / $3.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: $11M / Total cume: $173.5M / Wk 45). Blended (WB), 3,555 theaters (0) / $2.37M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.8M to $8.2M (43%) / Total cume: $28.9M to $29.4M / Wk 26). Neighbors (UNI), 2,939 theaters (-327) / $2.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.2M to $7.5M / Total cume: $128M+ / Wk 47/8). The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SONY) 2,152 theaters (-1,008) / $1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.6M / Total cume: $192.5M / Wk 5Million Dollar Arm (DIS), 2,329 theaters (-690) / $1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.6M / Total cume: $28M / Wk 39). Chef (OPRD), 624 theaters (+126) / $496K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.8M / Total cume: $6.76M / Wk 4 10) The Other Woman (FOX), 1,114 theaters (-1,040) / $440K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.38M / Total cume: $81M / Wk 6

Top 10: 148.4m, last year 159.6m. But it's ahead of the equivalent 2012 weekend (SWATH).

[Shawn Robbins]

Good news....can you leave?

 

I appreciate the support, but Baumer's a tentpole of this place. No need to be rude, bud.

Edited May 31, 2014 by ShawnMR

[BobbyJohn]

It could be. A lot of films need to overperform if 2014 wants to stay afloat. And I just don't see it happening.

It's pretty much out of the question. Even Dragon 2 is vastly overpredicted around the boards

[TalismanRing]

31 M from a 9.5 M Friday?

 

About a 3.3 multiplier.  That's a bit better than what FF6 & last Stand had.

[baumer]

Ouch major floppage for both MacFarlane and Sandler back to back weekends. Audience is ruthless when ti comes to comedies this summer, either big hits or flops

you're going to have to explain to me how million ways is a flop on a budget is in the 40s. Ted was the complete anomaly. Million ways was never going to perform like that.

[lab276]

Baumer's a tentpole of this place. No need to be rude, bud.

What happened to your avatar/picture (whatever it's called)? Edited May 31, 2014 by lab276

[The Stingray]

Definitely looks like ASM2 won't even make it to Thor 2. LMAO at Spidey.

 

C'mon, don't kick a spider when he's down.

[Dingdong123]

Hopefully families go out full force this Sat for Maleficent. I need it to reach the 70M mark.

[BobbyJohn]

you're going to have to explain to me how million ways is a flop on a budget is in the 40s. Ted was the complete anomaly. Million ways was never going to perform like that.

When compared to other comedies. If some movie has 1 million budget and makes 5 million then obviously it's a financial success but you can't exactly call it box office audience hit if other movies make so much more

Edited May 31, 2014 by BobbyJohn