TalismanRing Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Guardians does have one thing going in it's favor. It still has all of the Imax theaters. That may give it the edge. But Turtles will be coming on strong. Will be interesting to see. Keeping IMAX will be huge but it's going to be losing or splitting lots of 3D theaters because of not just Turtles but those contracts made for Into The Storm (ugh) and 44% of it's business last w/e was 3D. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Guardians does have one thing going in it's favor. It still has all of the Imax theaters. That may give it the edge. But Turtles will be coming on strong. Will be interesting to see. If Turtles is truly outpacing GI:Joe, which opened to $54M, I don't see how Guardians even has a chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 If Turtles is truly outpacing GI:Joe, which opened to $54M, I don't see how Guardians even has a chance. Weekend BO doesn't quite work like that or TA wouldn't have destroyed OW record. Pre-sales gives us an indication but walk ups are just as important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 (edited) Strong Wednesday number. 8.0M Thursday (-10%) 14.0M Friday (+75%) 19.0M Saturday (+35%) 14.25M Sunday (-25%) 47.25M sub 50% drop. That Fri jump seems too big for an early Aug Friday especially for a movie that a sizable % of family/kids business. Edited August 7, 2014 by TalismanRing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 That Fri jump seems too big for an early Aug Friday especially for a movie that a sizable % of family/kids business. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes jumped 78.8% on its 2nd friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 That Fri jump seems too big for an early Aug Friday especially for a movie that a sizable % of family/kids business. Rise jumped 87% with similar release date and holds throughout the week so my 75% maybe conservative. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 $40 million second weekend here we come!I wrote that in haste. I meant $45 million. It's definitely on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Strong Wednesday number. 8.0M Thursday (-10%)14.0M Friday (+75%)19.0M Saturday (+35%)14.25M Sunday (-25%)47.25M sub 50% drop.I think it might be on the high end, but I'm super glad its actually within the realm of realistic possibilities. Personally I'm just happy sub-55% seems to be looking good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caladbolg Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 (edited) Much like what happened with CATWS & Rio 2, I think TMNT will get off to a fast start with GotG closing the gap on Saturday and/or Sunday. It'll be an interesting weekend. Yeah Turtles could be No 1 Friday but come out 2 for the weekend if wom is toxic. Edited August 7, 2014 by Caladbolg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 (edited) Rise jumped 87% with similar release date and holds throughout the week so my 75% maybe conservative. Rise was an older and more adult skewing movie - just like Dawn has shown itself to be. It also opened about 40% lower and didn't have $11.2m Thur from pent up fans of an enormous brand. Edited August 7, 2014 by TalismanRing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Rise was an older and more adult skewing movie - just like Dawn has shown itself to be. It also opened about 40% lower and didn't have $11.2m Thur from pent up fans of an enormous brand. Rise was an older and more adult skewing movie - just like Dawn has shown itself to be. It also opened about 40% lower and didn't have $11.2m Thur from pent up fans of an enormous brand. While I agree with this, I still can see Guardians jumping 70%+ from Thursday to Friday. I don't see 75% though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Rise was an older and more adult skewing movie - just like Dawn has shown itself to be. It also opened about 40% lower and didn't have $11.2m Thur from pent up fans of an enormous brand. Hence I went with 75% jump but let's say it only jumps 65%, it would still make 45M for the weekend. Regardless, it's in for 2nd strongest 2nd weekend of the year and strongest by a 90M+ opener. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperBatman Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Keeping IMAX will be huge but it's going to be losing or splitting lots of 3D theaters because of not just Turtles but those contracts made for Into The Storm (ugh) and 44% of it's business last w/e was 3D. I don't think Into the Storm is in 3D. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 I don't think Into the Storm is in 3D. It's not? Hmm, must have misread the article and it's just the large format screens it's contracted for - though I assumed any of those were 3D with the way theaters push them on the public. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperBatman Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 But there is another 3D film coming out besides Turtles a Film Nobody is mentioning because Nobody Cares Step Up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 It would be great to see both do around $45 million this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 (edited) I'm surprised Into The Storm isn't in 3D it seems like the kind of movie - almost all special effects, not charatcer based etc that would most benefit from it - but maybe it was too expensive with all those twisters. http://www.deadline.com/2014/08/box-office-weekend-behind-the-scenes-a-fight-for-screens/ Yeah I misread. Into The Storm has a lock on the PLF screens The PLFs charge a higher ticket price so distribs always want those screens, especially for the films that have a strong fanboy base. Theaters across the country, for the most part, now are equipped with 3D capability, but not all have the giant screens. To show the impact, Guardians Of The Galaxy had 367 PLF, 352 Imax, and 112 XD (which is part of the same category of screens). 3D accounted for $41 million of its weekend take. Domestically, Imax took in 12% of the gross ($11.6 million) and accounted for eight of the top 10 of Guardians’ best-performing locales. Other PLFs pulled in about 8% of Guardians’ gross ($7.5 million). Edited August 7, 2014 by TalismanRing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aplandg Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 If this makes $45m+ this weekend, I think $300m is definitely possible. It will be a struggle but doable. I'm really rooting for this! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 It would be great to see both do around $45 million this weekend. I think Turtles will do just over $55M and Guardians just under $45M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aplandg Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 It would be great to see both do around $45 million this weekend.I agree! Although I'm not convinced TMNT deserves success yet (will probably see it with my nephew this weekend) I am a part of the August over July 2014 thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...