Godzilla Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 If this makes $45m+ this weekend, I think $300m is definitely possible. It will be a struggle but doable. I'm really rooting for this! Labor day weekend will really help, it might stay flat or even increase that week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 PotA jumped 87% against 4 wide openers, so it is not impossible. Maybe something likeFRI 14SAT 19SUN 14.5Total 47.5 My guesstimate is $45m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 I'm REALLY hoping GOTG drops less than 50% this weekend. The first Iron Man and the Avengers had a similar drop on their second weekends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 PotA jumped 87% against 4 wide openers, so it is not impossible. Maybe something likeFRI 14SAT 19SUN 14.5Total 47.5 It has better early WoM than PotA too, so I could easily see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes jumped 78.8% on its 2nd friday. Rise jumped 87% with similar release date and holds throughout the week so my 75% maybe conservative. Why is that the only film you are comparing it to? Why not compare it to other films as well? Apes and GotG are not going for the same audience. I see a jump between 50-60% this Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Don't you think that the dailies at this point are expected? Tomorrow it will drop about 8-12% and that too will be normal. The legs will show this weekend and even moreso next weekend. I think its Sunday/Monday/Tuesday holds have been enormously good. This is really the first kind of 'fine' day in its run so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Why is that the only film you are comparing it to? Why not compare it to other films as well? Apes and GotG are not going for the same audience. I see a jump between 50-60% this Friday. Guardians of the Galaxy attracted more younger and female audiences than Dawn of the Apes............ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Diary of a Wimpy Kid and Ice Age CD and TDKR all had jumps in the 55-65% range. I think those films are much more comparable to GOTG than Apes is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 I think its Sunday/Monday/Tuesday holds have been enormously good. This is really the first kind of 'fine' day in its run so far. I think the holds have been typical, nothing outstanding and nothing terrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Guardians of the Galaxy attracted more younger and female audiences than Dawn of the Apes............ Exactly, so why would it jump the same as Apes did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 One advantage that GOTG has over TWS is that GOTS is not a sequel, so it should automatically be less frontloaded than TWS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Why is that the only film you are comparing it to? Why not compare it to other films as well? Apes and GotG are not going for the same audience. I see a jump between 50-60% this Friday. We will see on Friday won't we. I think you'll be wrong again and I'll be right again. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Well, I am having a hard time understanding the box office this summer, so if I'm wrong it won't surprise me....having said that, I think I'll be right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Well, I am having a hard time understanding the box office this summer, so if I'm wrong it won't surprise me....having said that, I think I'll be right. Even if it only jumps 60% on Friday, it's still looking at 44M+ weekend or 53.4% drop. Easily the best drop by 90M+ opener. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 I have it dropping 55%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 I have it dropping 55%. Me too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 (edited) One advantage that GOTG has over TWS is that GOTS is not a sequel, so it should automatically be less frontloaded than TWS. It's still Marvel which has become the new PIXAR brand recognition and built in audience wise. It $11.2m on Thur (10% more than TWS) and had a slightly lower w/e. Iron Man had $1.5m midnights. Avengers which opened to $207m had just $18m midnights. Edited August 7, 2014 by TalismanRing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 It's still Marvel which has become the new PIXAR brand recognition and built in audience wise. It $11.2m on Thur (10% more than TWS) and had a slightly lower w/e. Iron Man had $1.5m midnights. Avengers which opened to $207m had just $18m midnights. GOTG is a lot more accessible to families compared to CA:TWS which should help with 2nd weekend hold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 It's still Marvel which has become the new PIXAR brand recognition and built in audience wise. It $11.2m on Thur (10% more than TWS) and had a slightly lower w/e. Iron Man had $1.5m midnights. Avengers which opened to $207m had just $18m midnights. What are you arguing? In general Pixar movies have had good legs and aren't too frontloaded. You really can't compare the studios anyway, since Pixar only does animated movies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 I have it dropping 55%. Which would still be strong result for GOTG. It would be 2nd biggest 2nd weekend of the year and in the process lock up 250M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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