druv10 Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 My friday is lower than yours. I think it will jump by about 55-60%, not 75%. It might not jump 75% but it's certainly going to have better jump than 55-60%. It jumped over 61% last week so I don't see how it jumps less this Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 I don't think GotG is going to outpace Turtles this weekend. The gap will definitely close, and an outpacing by Labor Day weekend is very likely, but even if GotG drops under 40%, Turtles would need to drop 61%. However, it's pretty likely, IMO, that both will do more than all three openers this weekend. Also, yes, both TMNT and GotG are playing well with families, but the key difference is that the former benefitted from a fairly popular cartoon on Nickelodeon, giving them a new influx of young audiences. That, and it's more of a household brand name than the Guardians, which have always been fairly kid friendly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Naaa...just compare it to years gone by. The jumps are bigger but not that big just yet. http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2012-08-17&track=batman3.htmLooking at the Monday before the drops all around seem a but smaller than this past Monday but I see what you mean.I think it should increase more than it did last Friday, though it probably won't hit nearly as high as 70%. Maybe 65% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 It might not jump 75% but it's certainly going to have better jump than 55-60%. It jumped over 61% last week so I don't see how it jumps less this Friday. TDKR jumped 53% in 2012 on that Friday. They seem pretty comparable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Funny thing about my theater (a 16-plex): Next week, it has Guardians and Ninja Turtles each with two screens (no 3D showings at all for either one), but Guardians is still on two of the larger theaters, while Turtles has smaller screens (one of which is tied for the smallest auditorium in the theater - only 94 seats!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 It might not jump 75% but it's certainly going to have better jump than 55-60%. It jumped over 61% last week so I don't see how it jumps less this Friday. Don't be so adamant about something until you look at the precedent set out by other films. http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2012-08-17&track=batman3.htm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Looking at 2009, the similarly-scheduled G.I. Joe: Rise of Cobra dropped around 59% back on the weekend of August 14-16. I expect TMNT to wind up with a decrease around that range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 The thing about 2012's weekdays that there will be some inconsistencies on is that the Tuesday increases were generally smaller than they are now, and 2012 didn't have the "Summer 2014 Thursday drops of death". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 If it follows The Wolverine from here on out, it's looking at a weekend of about $23.347m, a drop just under 45%. Mind you, it also lost over a quarter of its theaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vanilla Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Funny thing about my theater (a 16-plex): Next week, it has Guardians and Ninja Turtles each with two screens (no 3D showings at all for either one), but Guardians is still on two of the larger theaters, while Turtles has smaller screens (one of which is tied for the smallest auditorium in the theater - only 94 seats!) It seems like the manager does not know what he is doing. I would have split them and gave the last one of each set a big screen with the first one of each set the smaller one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Lucy - 1.49 (+22%) $100m, baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 It seems like the manager does not know what he is doing. I would have split them and gave the last one of each set a big screen with the first one of each set the smaller one. Maybe, but one must also consider the possibility that maybe Turtles didn't do as well here as it did nationwide? Then again, the second largest screen next weekend goes to...wait for it...The Hundred Foot Journey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Don't be so adamant about something until you look at the precedent set out by other films. http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2012-08-17&track=batman3.htm Let's use TDKR for rest of the week projection 5.29M Wednesday 5.03M Thursday 7.74M Friday 11.03M Saturday 8.25M Sunday 27.01M (-36%) 3rd weekend. I'll take this hold. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Looking at 2009, the similarly-scheduled G.I. Joe: Rise of Cobra dropped around 59% back on the weekend of August 14-16. I expect TMNT to wind up with a decrease around that range. I was thinking a 58-59% drop for Turtles this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Let's use TDKR for rest of the week projection 5.29M Wednesday 5.03M Thursday 7.74M Friday 11.03M Saturday 8.25M Sunday 27.01M (-36%) 3rd weekend. I'll take this hold. There you go....see we can be on the same side sometimes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 How does TMNT play more to families than GOTG?TMNT is a children's TV show, maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 I think Turtles will hold well, perhaps a 55% drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 TMNT is a children's TV show, maybe? GOTF has a talking raccoon. Maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Turtles: Studio research showed that 61% of the audience was male and 55% was over 25 GOTG: Studio research showed that Star-Lord and company drew a crowd that was very common for this genre, but appeal to women was stronger than usual. 56% of the audience was male and 55% was over 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vanilla Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 Maybe, but one must also consider the possibility that maybe Turtles didn't do as well here as it did nationwide? Then again, the second largest screen next weekend goes to...wait for it...The Hundred Foot Journey. It could very well be, all though it being a 16 plex and the TMNT big opening, I doubt it did poorly there. Also if Guardians is still bringing the people, then I am sure TMNT is as well (same audience). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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