Jason Bourne | 7.29.2016 | One week IMAX release on August 26 thanks to Ben Hur flopping

[John Marston]

34 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

YOU KNOW HIS NAME

 

 

 

 

always think of this when seeing that tagline

[MrPink]

17 minutes ago, 4815162342 said:

 

You have to change your avatar to him in a week.

 

Good call. 

[ecstasy]

On ‎7‎/‎19‎/‎2016 at 3:31 PM, MrPink said:

 

JESUS CHRIST, THAT'S JASON BOURNE

 

Get some rest Mr. Pink.

[The Futurist]

Alicia Jones, Felicia Vikander it s all a big blur ...

[mrqe93]

Watched some clips with Vikander in them. She's so sexy. I can't wait to see her as Lara Croft

[Dementeleus]

Wait wait wait, did I spot a couple of @ecstasy likes?

[kowhite]

2 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

Wait wait wait, did I spot a couple of @ecstasy likes?

 

Her hand slipped.  It's a mistake we all make.

 

[ecstasy]

On ‎7‎/‎20‎/‎2016 at 10:26 PM, Telemachos said:

Wait wait wait, did I spot a couple of @ecstasy likes?

 

[Blankments]

What a botched marketing campaign; got the trailer at Star Trek Beyond last night and I'm confused as to how a big budget film in this day and age gets only one trailer

[WrathOfHan]

13 minutes ago, Blanks McCoy said:

What a botched marketing campaign; got the trailer at Star Trek Beyond last night and I'm confused as to how a big budget film in this day and age gets only one trailer

I'm convinced it's not a good movie to be honest.

[MikeQ]

I was curious about where all the Bourne films were tracking for opening weekend gross versus what they actually grossed opening weekend. This is what I could find (if anyone has different info for where they were tracking, let me know, this is all I could find from a cursory search):

 

Bourne Identity (2002)

 

Tracking: High teens to $20 million (?) 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=1203&p=.htm

• Actual: $27.1 million
• Adjusted: $40.4 million
• RT: 83% (7.0 rating)

Bourne Supremacy (2004)

 

Tracking: $35 million, “chance of exceeding $40 million”

http://variety.com/2004/film/box-office/can-bourne-reign-supreme-this-weekend-1117908141/

• Actual: $52.5 million
• Adjusted: $73.2 million
• RT: 81% (7.2 rating)

Bourne Ultimatum (2007)

 

Tracking: $40+ million

http://deadline.com/2007/07/tracking-simpsons-50m-bourne-40m-2867/

• Actual: $69.3 million
• Adjusted: $87.2 million
• RT: 93% (8.0 rating)

The Bourne Legacy (2012)

 

Tracking: $40 million range

http://variety.com/2012/film/news/box-office-bourne-legacy-aims-for-no-1-1118057674/

$35 million

https://www.yahoo.com/tv/bourne-legacy-poised-box-office-crown-dark-knight-223431681.html

• Actual: $38.1 million
• Adjusted: $42.5 million
• RT: 56% (5.9 rating)

Jason Bourne (2016)

• Tracking: $50 million range
• RT: TBD

 

Certainly nothing definitive here at all, but I think ‘Jason Bourne’ could outperform tracking. I know that people suggest the marketing has been underwhelming, but I actually think the trailers have looked good, and I think the audience targeted by Bourne are ready for this and that certainly having Damon/Greengrass back ensure this is less comparable to Legacy and more comparable to the previous three films. 

 

Of course, this is contingent on reviews. The Bourne Legacy was the first film in the series to disappoint, I would say, and it was also the only film that wasn’t very good and wasn’t well-received critically.

 

I’m wondering if because we have Damon and Greengrass back, and IF it’s as good as the first three films, that we could have a $65-70+ million opener on our hands. 

 

I put the adjusted opening weekend grosses above for a reason - the last good Bourne movie with Damon opened to an adjusted $87.2 million. Is it unreasonable to expect a $65-70+ million opening weekend for a new Bourne movie with Damon/Greengrass back? I don’t know. But reviews will certainly matter before I can make a more definitive prediction.

 

So, some food for thought.

 

Peace,

Mike

 

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour ago, MikeQ said:

I actually think the trailers have looked good

Er, there's only one trailer  

[AniNate]

Seen some Twitter reactions that don't inspire confidence 

[WrathOfHan]

14 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

Seen some Twitter reactions that don't inspire confidence 

Link? Not doubting you because the movie is probably mediocre.

[filmlover]

Did @CJohn ever stan for this? If he did, then his curse has probably struck once again.

[Cmasterclay]

Even the Guardian, a newspaper that has actually featured as protagonists in these very films, said that it was a drop off in quality in their big feature story about the franchise. Probably not the best sign. 

[bapi]

Some London-based critic mentioned embargo is until tuesday morning.

[CJohn]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Did @CJohn ever stan for this? If he did, then his curse has probably struck once again.

Not really. I am not stanning for anything in particular right now. I really like the SS mkt campaign so maybe that one will suffer. I think the next victims are Chris Pratt, Denzel and Emily Blunt. I am stanning for those movies.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

Not really. I am not stanning for anything in particular right now. I really like the SS mkt campaign so maybe that one will suffer. I think the next victims are Chris Pratt, Denzel and Emily Blunt. I am stanning for those movies.

I think you really meant to say "Haley Bennett" is your next victim.

[CJohn]

Just now, filmlover said:

I think you really meant to say "Haley Bennett" is your next victim.