Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby

[filmlover]

War Dogs- $15M

Kubo and the Two Strings- $14M

Ben-Hur- $8M

[Maxmoser3]

War Dogs:$14 million, Kubo and the Two Strings:$13 million, Ben-Hur:$11 million.

[WrathOfHan]

War Dogs: 22M

Suicide Squad: 20M

Sausage Party: 18M

Kubo: 15M

Pete's Dragon: 14M

Ben Hur: 13M

Bad Moms: 9.8M

Jason Bourne: 8.8M

Secret Life of Pets: 7M

Star Trek Beyond: 5.1M

[Krissykins]

God next week looks like a shit heap. 

[James]

Am I the only one who thinks War Dogs might have a decent opening? I'm thinking around 25m.

[filmlover]

39 minutes ago, James said:

Am I the only one who thinks War Dogs might have a decent opening? I'm thinking around 25m.

The marketing has been aggressive but it doesn't really feel like it's clicking (especially when the premise is limited in appeal to begin with). The fact it was once set to be a March release before being banished to the doldrums of late August doesn't inspire much confidence either. Reviews will probably make or break it, anyone know when the embargo ends?

[Maxmoser3]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

The marketing has been aggressive but it doesn't really feel like it's clicking (especially when the premise is limited in appeal to begin with). The fact it was once set to be a March release before being banished to the doldrums of late August doesn't inspire much confidence either. Reviews will probably make or break it, anyone know when the embargo ends?

It might be mid-week, my guess is late Wednesday night.

[Hiccup23]

3 hours ago, James said:

Am I the only one who thinks War Dogs might have a decent opening? I'm thinking around 25m.

 

No, I am feeling a semi-breakout for it

[Hiccup23]

Early Weekend Predictions

1. War Dogs- $23.6 million

2. Suicide Squad- $21.9 million (-49.9%)

3. Ben Hur- $19.3 milliion

4. Kudo and Two Strings- $17.2 million

5. Sausage Party- $16.7 million (-50.2%)

6. Pete's Dragon- $14.5 million (-32.6%)

Edited August 15, 2016 by Hiccup23
Forgot Ben Hur was being released.

[superweirdo87]

If you're right, SS will get knocked from #1 the way BvS kinda was.

[Hiccup23]

5 minutes ago, superweirdo87 said:

If you're right, SS will get knocked from #1 the way BvS kinda was.

It has a slim chance of staying #1. If it is #1 next weekend, it is because it either fell really well or War Dogs/Ben Hur underperformed 

[Hiccup23]

On 8/9/2016 at 10:31 AM, Hiccup23 said:

My Early Top 5 Predictions

 

1. Suicide Squad- $44.3 million (-66.9%)

2. Pete's Dragon- $25.7 million

3. Sausage Party- $17.2 million (Heavily front loaded Friday)

4. Jason Bourne- $12.0 million (-46.4%)

5. Bad Moms- $8.8 million (-37.1%)

 

 

 

1. Suicide Squad- Off by 1.3%

2. Pete's Dragon- off by 16.3%

3. Sausage Party- Off by 48.8% (that is embarrassing) 

4. Jason Bourne- Off by 11.8%

5. Bad Moms- Off by 23.5%

[Brainiac5]

56 minutes ago, Hiccup23 said:

 

1. Suicide Squad- Off by 1.3%

2. Pete's Dragon- off by 16.3%

3. Sausage Party- Off by 48.8% (that is embarrassing) 

4. Jason Bourne- Off by 11.8%

5. Bad Moms- Off by 23.5%

I THINK your right on WITH SS someone said is $500,000 over it's weekend estimates don't know how ture that is but it would give SS a 66%drop instead of 67%

Edited August 15, 2016 by Brainiac5

[Dandeak2000]

My Predictions

 

1. War Dogs $23 million

 

2. Suicide Squad $20.88 million

 

3. Sausage Party $18.48 million

 

4. Ben-Hur $18 million

 

5. Kubo and the Two Strings $14 million

 

6. Pete's Dragon $12.91 million

 

7. Jason Bourne $8.31 million

 

8. Bad Moms $7.95 million

 

9. The Secret Life of Pets $6.80 million

 

10. Star Trek Beyond $4.13 million

[RRA]

Honestly I'm more interested than anything else this weekend in seeing how much PD drops.

 

(Interesting how if Mike Hunt's predix about SS is spot-on, it'll do worse on its 3rd weekend than GOTG did.)

[Blankments]

1. Sausage Party - 18.4M
2. Suicide Squad - 17.5M
3. Ben-Hur - 17.4M
4. Kubo and the Two Strings - 14.4M
5. Pete's Dragon - 13.6M
6. War Dogs - 13.1M
7. Jason Bourne - 9.7M
8. Bad Moms - 8.1M
9. The Secret Life of Pets - 5.8M
10. Star Trek Beyond - 4.7M
11. Florence Foster Jenkins - 4.2M
12. Lights Out - 1.4M

[lobogotti]

1. Sausage Party - $19.4M
2. Suicide Squad - $19M
3. War Dogs - $15.9M
4. Kubo and the Two Strings - $14.8M
5. Pete's Dragon - $13.9M
6. Ben Hur - $9.9M
7. Bad Moms - $8.9M
8. Jason Bourne - $8.2M

As a bonus, I'll predict the Thursday numbers:

War Dogs - $1.65M
Ben Hur - $650K

Kubo - $750K

[Webslinger]

Haven't done these formally in a while, so here goes nothing:

 

Suicide Squad - $20 million

Sausage Party - $18 million

War Dogs - $17 million

Kubo and the Two Strings - $15 million

Ben-Hur - $10 million

 

That said, I'm rooting for Sausage Party to hold up better and unseat Suicide Squad for #1.

[Blankments]

On 8/13/2016 at 0:42 AM, Blankments said:

Hillary’s America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party, Finding Dory, The Legend of Tarzan, and The Purge: Election Year are gone. Drive-in is Suicide Squad and Jason Bourne.

None are gone. Drive-in is Star Trek Beyond and Suicide Squad.

 

Suicide Squad – 19/4/1/4 (2D/3D/IMAX/IMAX 3D) total 28 (down 18)

Kubo and the Two Strings - 13/6 (2D/3D) total 19 (debut)

Pete's Dragon - 13/6 (2D/3D) total 19 (down 7)
Ben-Hur - 8/3/5/2 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX) total 18 (debut)

Sausage Party - 18 (no change)

Bad Moms – 16 (down 1)

War Dogs - 16 (debut)

Florence Foster Jenkins - 15 (down 1)
Jason Bourne – 15 (down 2)

The Secret Life of Pets – 15 (no change)

Nine Lives – 11 (down 5)

Star Trek Beyond – 11 (down 2)

Lights Out – 8 (down 3)
Anthropoid - 5 (no change)

Ghostbusters – 3 (down 5)
Nerve – 3 (down 5)

Ice Age: Collision Course – 1 (down 4)

 

School year is starting, so that means I switch to my school theaters. Here's the count so I can do a tally next week.

 

Kubo and the Two Strings - 10/6 (2D/3D) 16

Jason Bourne – 15

Suicide Squad – 11/4 (2D/3D) total 15
War Dogs - 15

Ben-Hur - 7/4 (2D/3D) total 11

Pete's Dragon - 9/1 (2D/3D) total 10

Sausage Party - 10

Star Trek Beyond – 10

The Secret Life of Pets – 9

Bad Moms – 7
Ice Age: Collision Course – 3

[mahnamahna]

 

Spoiler

 

8/26-8/28

1. Don't Breathe: $24.5 million 
2. Suicide Squad: $12 million ($281 million) 
3. Kubo and the Two Strings: $10 million ($25 million) 
4. Sausage Party: $9.5 million ($81 million) 
5. War Dogs: $9 million ($28 million) 
6. Pete's Dragon: $8.5 million ($53 million) 
7. Bad Moms: $7 million ($96 million) 
8. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6 million 
9. Ben-Hur: $5.5 million ($21 million)
10. Jason Bourne: $5.25 million ($149 million) 
11. The Secret Life of Pets: $4.25 million ($351 million) 
12. Florence Foster Jenkins: $3.5 million ($19 million) 

9/2-9/5

1. Don't Breathe: $13 million/$17.5 million ($48 million) 
2. Morgan: $12 million/$15 million 
3. Kubo and the Two Strings: $11 million/$16 million ($43 million) 
4. The Light Between Oceans: $9 million/$12 million 
5. Pete's Dragon: $8.5 million/$12 million ($66 million) 
6. Suicide Squad: $8 million/$10.5 million ($295 million) 
7. Sausage Party: $6.5 million/$8.5 million ($93 million) 
8. Bad Moms: $6 million/$7.5 million ($107 million) 
9. War Dogs: $5.5 million/$6.75 million ($37 million) 
10. The Secret Life of Pets: $4.5 million/$6.5 million ($358 million) 
11. Jason Bourne: $4.25 million/$5.25 million ($156 million) 
12. Ben-Hur: $3.5 million/$4.5 million ($27 million) 
13. Florence Foster Jenkins: $3 million/$4 million ($24 million) 

9/9-9/11

1. Sully: $28 million
2. When the Bough Breaks: $15 million 
3. The Disappointments Room: $7 million 
4. Don't Breathe: $6.5 million ($56 million) 
5. Kubo and the Two Strings: $6 million ($50 million) 
6. The Wild Life: $5 million 
7. The Light Between Oceans: $5 million ($19 million) 
8. Pete's Dragon: $4.5 million ($71 million) 
9. Bad Moms: $3.5 million ($111 million) 
10. Suicide Squad: $3 million ($299 million)

9/16-9/18

1. Blair Witch: $37 million 
2. Sully: $18 million ($54 million) 
3. Bridget Jones' Baby: $13 million 
4. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $7 million
5. Snowden: $6 million 
6. When the Bough Breaks: $5.5 million ($23 million) 
7. Kubo and the Two Strings: $5 million ($56 million) 
8. The Light Between Oceans: $4 million ($25 million) 
9. Pete's Dragon: $3.5 million ($75 million) 
10. The Wild Life: $2.5 million ($8 million) 

9/23-9/25

1. The Magnificent Seven: $65 million 
2. Storks: $48 million 
3. Sully: $11 million ($70 million) 
4. Blair Witch: $10.5 million ($54 million) 
5. Bridget Jones' Baby: $9 million ($26 million) 
6. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $4 million ($13 million) 
7. Snowden: $3 million ($10 million) 
8. When the Bough Breaks: $2.5 million ($27 million) 
9. The Light Between Oceans: $2.5 million ($29 million) 
10. Kubo and the Two Strings: $1.5 million ($58 million) 

9/30-10/2

1. The Magnificent Seven: $38 million ($122 million) 
2. Storks: $29 million ($85 million) 
3. Deepwater Horizon: $21 million 
4. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $16 million 
5. Masterminds: $7 million 
6. Sully: $6.5 million ($80 million) 
7. Bridget Jones' Baby: $6 million ($35 million) 
8. Blair Witch: $5 million ($62 million) 
9. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $2.5 million ($17 million)
10. Snowden: $1.5 million ($12 million) 

 

 

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