grim22 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 (edited) MJ1 41.3,BH6 9.7,IS 6.9,DADT 6.2,GG 1.4 41.3M Saturday would mean a 123.5M weekend. BH6 looking at 19M, and Interstellar at 15M. 41.3 is the exact same drop from OD as Catching Fire and The Hunger Games (25%). That Mockingjay weekend number is unbelievable, don't think anyone thought sub-125M would have been possible. Edited November 23, 2014 by grim22 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La Binoche Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 41.3...decent. That's a higher Saturday than DH1 despite having an OD $6m lower. 125m sounds about right. We'll see how it performs on Thanksgiving. But if it's over $240m by next weekend, it'll pass GoTG. Do we know how Horrible Bosses and Penguins are tracking? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The most interesting fact here : 2014 was a weak year in the US despite it was the biggest recent year for the US economy at the same time! While the recession was strong and the unemployment quite high the DOM BO was strong. Does that mean people are more likely to watch a movie during a recession? Does that mean people have less time for leisure when they find a job again? Or is it because of an inadequate supply? It's the opposite of what happened in Spain : the BO strongly fell during the recession there and really suffered from it, now the BO started to recover as the economy gets better. It would be an interesting case study for sure, and an example of cultural differences leading to different results. Movies offer escapism but I think North American tickets are just too expensive especially if you'll watch with your family. Repeat viewings are probably not as common. Watching multiple movies in a month has also become rare I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 41.3M Saturday would mean a 123.5M weekend. BH6 looking at 19M, and Interstellar at 15M. 41.3 is the exact same drop from OD as Catching Fire and The Hunger Games (25%). That Mockingjay weekend number is unbelievable, don't think anyone thought sub-125M would have been possible. Relative to CF it's a terrible number. No 2 ways about that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Movies offer escapism but I think North American tickets are just too expensive especially if you'll watch with your family. Repeat viewings are probably not as common. Watching multiple movies in a month has also become rare I guess. US ticket prices never seemed expensive to me, if buyng power is taken into account they're relatively cheap, particularly compared to prices in other countries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChD Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's not actually low balling. It's based on solid facts. Bad reviews and bad marketing already exclude the chance of this movie having better holds than Catching Fire. Most likely, it'll follow Deathly Hallows Part 1, maybe a tad better. It'll finish with 128-130 AT MOST. Solid facts? oh my God, bad reviews you're defining the movie by that? You're generalizing. Not every review is bad, while I won't deny there are bad reviews. But come on, seriously. I'm not a douche or anything, but I just want to have the satisfaction to say I told you so. Basically, I told you so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChD Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Also, those numbers are biutiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 US ticket prices never seemed expensive to me, if buyng power is taken into account they're relatively cheap, particularly compared to prices in other countries. That's because you don't live in the US. A movie ticket costs as much as 2 months of a netflix subscription and concessions are ridiculous prices and no reserved seating means you need to get to the theater early. For a family of 4 it is not just about money, but convenience starts playing a huge part. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 That's because you don't live in the US. A movie ticket costs as much as 2 months of a netflix subscription and concessions are ridiculous prices and no reserved seating means you need to get to the theater early. For a family of 4 it is not just about money, but convenience starts playing a huge part. That is interesting. For us everything seems so much cheaper in America, but it is mostly about the relative prices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Relative ticket prices around the world. This is the best I could find Page 14, figure 20 https://www.deutschebank.nl/nl/docs/DB_Research_The_Random_Walk_Mapping_the_Worlds_Prices_2014.pdf 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Neither Harry Potter 7.1 nor Twilight 4.1 took such steep dives during opening day or weekend. It has to be that people like to see Hunger Games and are not interested in politics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GuardiaStar Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I'm not a douche or anything, but I just want to have the satisfaction to say I told you so. Basically, I told you so. You told me nothing! God, the whole point of this conversation was how despite whatever you call facts, and I don't mean actual factual data such as numbers..but using a sort of bias to lead your predictions and the crazy lowballing for DOM or what have you.. but went over your head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 (edited) Shit, under GOTG is really possible now, even if it has the same multi the first two did. Gonna be a tight race now. Edited November 23, 2014 by MovieMan89 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil18 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Relative ticket prices around the world. This is the best I could find Page 14, figure 20 https://www.deutschebank.nl/nl/docs/DB_Research_The_Random_Walk_Mapping_the_Worlds_Prices_2014.pdf 29. United Kingdom London 18.22 135% Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forg Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 3D for Mockingjay 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil18 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 3D for Mockingjay 2? Would it really help that much domestically, though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Do we know how Horrible Bosses and Penguins are tracking? For HB2, I would have guessed 40 a month ago, but early reviews have lessened some of the enthusiasm. Not unreasonable to expect Horrible Bosses 2 to do something in the 30-35 range. It should be fairly close to Dumb and Dumber To. Though it wouldn't surprise me if the reviews hurt this one a little bit more. Penguins should do at least 30 (for just the 3-day) but I wouldn't be at all surprised by 40-45. It's always tough for me to judge with kids movies, but it seems like the marketing has been fairly effective and funny. With IS, BH6, DADT, and HG3, the market is probably just too crowded for either movie to do any more. (Under better circumstances, I would have said 40-45 for HB2 and 50 for Penguins.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The sad thing is, the biggest film this year could be the lowest number one film since 2007. Actually the lowest film since 2001. Spider-Man 3 made $336M in 2007. This is also looking to be the lowest OW since 2005 and ROTS opened on a Thurs. that year with a $158M 4-Day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I feel like DOFP tonight! Like DOFP tonight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil18 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Exodus over 400 million! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
