WKND Est. - Hobbit 56M, NATM 17M, Annie 16M, Exodus 8M, Mockingjay 7M, John Wick 115K, Interview 0M

[kayumanggi]

NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: SECRET OF THE TOMB opened with an estimated $5.63M on Friday. #NightAtTheMuseum

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 20, 2014

[Dingdong123]

Deadlines's report:

 

8). Big Hero 6 (DIS), 2,407 theaters (-369) / $929K Fri. (-29%) / 3-day cume: $3.5M (-41%)/ Total cume: $190.5M /Wk 7

Just what I expected for BH6. Although it can go a little higher if it follows WiR's pattern on the same weekend.

[kayumanggi]

EXODUS: GODS AND KINGS took in an estimated $2.28M on Friday. Domestic total stands at $33.11M. #ExodusGodsAndKings

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 20, 2014

[kayumanggi]

WILD took in an estimated $1.18M on Friday. Domestic total stands at $4.24M. #Wild

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 20, 2014

[eXtacy]

Thats a great number for The Hobbit!

[kayumanggi]

THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 took in an estimated $2.28M on Friday. Domestic total stands at $283.76M. #Mockingjay

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 20, 2014

[BadAtGender]

Why are people so sure that WICKED will be a hit? Its stage popularity? Phantom, The Producers, and Rent were all huge stage monsters, yet big flops.

 

There's Broadwas successful, and then there's Wicked on Broadway successful. There really isn't much that compares to it, except probably The Lion King.

 

It's not the material that's lacking, it's the execution.  None of those directors were qualified to do a film musical [stroman had tons of Broadway experience but none on film and it showed].  Rob Marshall seems to be considered the go to guy now in Hollywood and he did Nine.

 

They should snap up one of the Disney musical animated directors. Like Ron Clements.

 

Kevin Lima could probably do it justice, either animated (Tarzan) or live action (Enchanted). He's ostensibly working on his Bollywood Musical for DWA, but who knows what's going to happen there.

 

If Stephen Daldry is still attached, I dunno. His stage work for Billy Elliot the Musical was fantastic, but nearly everyone I've spoken to who's seen both says that the movie is considerably worse. (I haven't seen the film, so I don't know.)

 

Am I the only one who thinks that's actually a pretty terrific number for Hobbit?

 

It's pretty good. While the actual OW isn't as large as either AUJ or DOS, it's also not going to see anything close to their second weekend drops, either. Even if it drops 40%, it'd still have a bigger second weekend than DOS, and should gross more in the end.

[Dementeleus]

BOFTA probably won't do a 30% leap on Saturday, but with that solid Friday number, it's still looking like an 85m+ weekend. Whatever its 5-day OW is, figure about a 3-3.2x multiplier from that for its total.

Edited December 20, 2014 by Telemachos

[FilmBuff]

Seeing hobbit at 3 today.

[Elessar]

It's pretty good. While the actual OW isn't as large as either AUJ or DOS, it's also not going to see anything close to their second weekend drops, either. Even if it drops 40%, it'd still have a bigger second weekend than DOS, and should gross more in the end.

 

But its 3rd weekend (and a couple days after) will be substantially lower. It will likely come short of DOS.

[baumer]

Its not increaaing 30% today.

[John Marston]

Desolation of Smaug started to lose theaters rapidly starting from MLK weekend. I think this movie won't

[kayumanggi]

TOP FIVE took in an estimated $1.05M on Friday. Domestic total stands at $9.94M. #TopFive

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 20, 2014

[kayumanggi]

BOFTA probably won't do a 30% leap on Saturday, but with that solid Friday number, it's still looking like an 85m+ weekend. Whatever its 5-day OW is, figure about a 3-3.2x multiplier from that for its total.

 

So a minimum of 255 M.

[Dingdong123]

883k for BH6 as BOM is saying. Damn it was brutally hit by Annie and NATM3 after its terrific weekday holds. I guess 3.5M is the most reasonable expectation for it. That's -42% of last weekend.

[TalismanRing]

883k for BH6 as BOM is saying. Damn it was brutally hit by Annie and NATM3 after its terrific weekday holds. I guess 3.5M is the most reasonable expectation for it. That's -42% of last weekend.

 

WIR did a 4.67 multiplier - that would give BH6 $4.1m

[kayumanggi]

ANNIE opened with an estimated $5.3M on Friday. #Annie

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

December 20, 2014

[Ezen Baklattan]

883k for BH6 as BOM is saying. Damn it was brutally hit by Annie and NATM3 after its terrific weekday holds. I guess 3.5M is the most reasonable expectation for it. That's -42% of last weekend.

On the other hand, it's now ahead of POM, which was hit even harder.

[kayumanggi]

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies	WB	$16,575,000	+67%	-	3,875	$4,277	$50,982,000	3
2	-	Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb	Fox	$5,625,000	-	-	3,785	$1,486	$5,625,000	1
3	-	Annie (2014)	Sony	$5,300,000	-	-	3,116	$1,701	$5,300,000	1
4	3	The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1	LGF	$2,280,000	+110%	-39%	3,174	$718	$283,757,000	29
5	2	Exodus: Gods and Kings	Fox	$2,275,000	+86%	-74%	3,503	$649	$33,112,000	8
6	10	Wild (2014)	FoxS	$1,175,000	+701%	+146%	1,061	$1,107	$4,236,000	17
7	6	Top Five	Par.	$1,050,000	+139%	-58%	1,307	$803	$9,936,000	8
8	8	Big Hero 6	BV	$883,000	+119%	-36%	2,407	$367	$187,761,000	43
9	4	Penguins of Madagascar	Fox	$875,000	+74%	-44%	2,717	$322	$61,522,000	24
10	5	Interstellar	Par.	$715,000	+55%	-52%	1,550	$461	$169,548,000	45
-	7	Horrible Bosses 2	WB	$670,000	+63%	-54%	1,902	$352	$46,245,000	24
-	14	The Imitation Game	Wein.	$218,000	+169%	-12%	34	$6,412	$2,515,000	22
-	-	Inherent Vice	WB	$38,000	+33%	-71%	5	$7,600	$491,000	8

 

[Dingdong123]

WIR did a 4.67 multiplier - that would give BH6 $4.1m

And about 3.8M with Madagascar 2 increases on the same weekend. I guess we can still get it higher. But I'll keep my projections low at 3.5-3.7 atm to avoid disappointment.