FilmBuff Posted November 22, 2015 Share Posted November 22, 2015 900 mil is dead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted November 22, 2015 Share Posted November 22, 2015 2 minutes ago, FilmBuff said: 900 mil is dead. 900M isn't dead yet.......it's obviously hater-talk. And i have said this before....(even though not many people listens).....just because you hate a movie.....doesn't mean that you wishfully want it to make less because of it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted November 22, 2015 Share Posted November 22, 2015 On 11/8/2015, 1:58:40, IMojammer said: Skyfall's first two weekends it opened everywhere except Australia, china and the US: Oct 28: $80m Nov 4: $287m Nov 11: $518m (Dom OW) Nov 18: $668m Nov 25: $792m (Aus added) Dec 2: $868m Dec 9: $918m Dec 16: $950m Dec 23: $974m Dec 30: $1000m Spectre Nov 1: $80m Nov 8: $289m Nov 15: $543.8m Nov 22: $677.8m My rough guess Nov 29: $760m Dec 6: $805m (japan shows up) Dec 13: $830m Dec 20: $845m Dec 27: $860m Jan 3: $875m Jan 10: $885m To me it looks like 900 is uncertain. Depends on how big of a bite Star Wars takes out of it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted November 22, 2015 Share Posted November 22, 2015 Rentrak Spectre #s Weekend: W/W: $80,300,000 O/S: $65,700,000 Dom: $14,600,000 Total: WW $677,802,879 O/S: $524,100,000 DOM: $153,702,879 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Out of the $65.7, $17m comes from China+India...... they will add another $15-18m. So rest of the markets did $48.7m weekend....... I'd guess another 100-110m from there. Japan may add another 20-25m. So it should finish around 670m OS or so. 700m OS looks difficult unless it develops some crazy legs. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Agree. $670-680 mln OS is the target. Maybe $690 mln. $900 mln WW is dead with its domestic underperforming (probably only $185 mln). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ash Skywalker Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 On 11/6/2015, 3:21:55, Ash said: No matter what but SPECTRE will do gangbuster numbers here in India. It does have a competition(mockingjay part 2) but it's not much of a threat. Expecting a 30-32 Cr weekend ($4.5-$5m) SPECTRE did 31.9 cr in INDIA 1st weekend it's about as expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vignette123 Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 6 hours ago, Juby said: Agree. $670-680 mln OS is the target. Maybe $690 mln. $900 mln WW is dead with its domestic underperforming (probably only $185 mln). Obviously you have NO idea of what you're talking about. With the current domestic of $153 Mill and with Thanksgiving this week, are saying that the BO will generate an additional 30 Mill plus from here? Here's a toast to Mr. Clueless --- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Spectre daily breakdown: Thur (previews): 3.1 Cr Fri: 8.3 Cr Sat: 9.9 Cr Sun: 10.6 Cr Total: 31.9 Cr ($4.8m) Monday had a big drop, slightly less than 4 Cr. It will probably finish with the same amount as Skyfall ($11m). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted November 24, 2015 Share Posted November 24, 2015 Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $154,146,608 22.8% + Foreign: $523,235,363 77.2% = Worldwide: $677,381,971 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 29, 2015 Share Posted November 29, 2015 Spectre reaches US$750M worldwide! 007 stayed on target as SPECTRE dipped just -15% w/ $12.8M, $176M total, $750M+ worldwide. — Exhibitor Relations (@ERCboxoffice) November 29, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 29, 2015 Share Posted November 29, 2015 #SPECTRE has now broken $750M worldwide incl $575M+ from intl mkts led by UK & China. 77% of global take from intl. — Gitesh Pandya (@giteshpandya) November 29, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted November 29, 2015 Share Posted November 29, 2015 Spectre had yet another drop of (much) more than 50% (1 - 30.4 / 65.3 = 53.4%). Its worldwide weekend (including NA) was $43.2M. It looks like it can muster an additional $70M (43.2 * 1.3 / 0.5 - 43.2 = 69.12) worldwide from existing markets (including NA). Japan is the only market left to open and I doubt it can make more than $30M there. After all, Skyfall made $32M there when the exchange rate was way better. By and large, Spectre cannot make more than $100M at the worldwide box office, meaning it won't even surpass Inside Out ($851.5M) or $850M. Please let me know if you notice any significant flaw in the above argument. 1.3 is the average ratio of weekly-to-weekend grosses 0.5 is the average weekend % drop from now on Both are predictions based on prior data and upcoming competition 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted November 30, 2015 Share Posted November 30, 2015 + $41-45 mln from current markets + $20-25 mln from Japan = max. $640-645 mln OS, and maybe $840 mln WW. :P 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vignette123 Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 14 hours ago, Juby said: + $41-45 mln from current markets + $20-25 mln from Japan = max. $640-645 mln OS, and maybe $840 mln WW. Think hard and give us another update in 30 minutes. Wait, that won't work.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vignette123 Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 On 11/29/2015, 11:22:00, quigquag33 said: Spectre had yet another drop of (much) more than 50% (1 - 30.4 / 65.3 = 53.4%). Its worldwide weekend (including NA) was $43.2M. It looks like it can muster an additional $70M (43.2 * 1.3 / 0.5 - 43.2 = 69.12) worldwide from existing markets (including NA). Japan is the only market left to open and I doubt it can make more than $30M there. After all, Skyfall made $32M there when the exchange rate was way better. By and large, Spectre cannot make more than $100M at the worldwide box office, meaning it won't even surpass Inside Out ($851.5M) or $850M. Please let me know if you notice any significant flaw in the above argument. 1.3 is the average ratio of weekly-to-weekend grosses 0.5 is the average weekend % drop from now on Both are predictions based on prior data and upcoming competition Approx 40 Mill from the US and 100 Mill plus from the rest of the world. I'd still wager that this will end up over 900 Mill. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 10 hours ago, vignette123 said: Approx 40 Mill from the US and 100 Mill plus from the rest of the world. I'd still wager that this will end up over 900 Mill. That doesn't really help cuz u're not explaining how u got those numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vignette123 Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 4 hours ago, quigquag33 said: That doesn't really help cuz u're not explaining how u got those numbers. After the thanksgiving weekend of 2012, Skyfall did just over 60 Mill till the end of its run. QoS did 26 Mill in the same timeframe, and its legs were much weaker already. I'm expecting Spectre to settle somewhere in between these 2 numbers. With regards to Intl, UK should generate another 10 Mill. Japan maybe 20 Mill and throw in around 75 Mill in the rest of the markets till the end of it's run in 2016. That's my rationale for the 900 Mill figure. The biggest ? is how much Star Wars would affect this once it is out in a couple of weeks' time and I expect a significant impact and that unknown is what may tip the scales against SP. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 (edited) Well, no one's explaining why people here, right now, suddenly want this film to make lower than expected, after being letdown by it.....which i don't think works. It's mostly that this film gets a lot more haters than lovers. If the film finishes at the WW-gross we'll get in later weeks....then we can say that it finished it's run. And for the next Bond-film.....don't get too disappointed if it isn't as what you expect. We usually go in with overinflated expectations and then sometimes, somehow a movie can easily disappoint people. If you don't want to be letdown....keep your expectations lower next time. Not every blockbuster can be perfect. Edited December 1, 2015 by MrFanaticGuy34 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 (edited) 3 hours ago, vignette123 said: After the thanksgiving weekend of 2012, Skyfall did just over 60 Mill till the end of its run. QoS did 26 Mill in the same timeframe, and its legs were much weaker already. I'm expecting Spectre to settle somewhere in between these 2 numbers. With regards to Intl, UK should generate another 10 Mill. Japan maybe 20 Mill and throw in around 75 Mill in the rest of the markets till the end of it's run in 2016. That's my rationale for the 900 Mill figure. The biggest ? is how much Star Wars would affect this once it is out in a couple of weeks' time and I expect a significant impact and that unknown is what may tip the scales against SP. O/S did $30m last w/e. To expect $85m off of that would be to give it far better legs than it's so far had with SW coming in 2 weeks. I think $60m + $20m in Japan is a reasonable target for around $655m O/S Domestically, I'd estimate $25-30m more for a $200-205m total. The w/es with Skyfall and QOS don't line up well for comparisons since their 4th w/es were a week after Thanksgiving after an already 53%-64% drop that Spectre hasn't had yet. QOS's 4th w/e (12/7) did $6.7m for a $151.6m total. It made $16.8m more Skyfall's 6th w/e (12/16) did $6.5m for a $271.9m total. It made $33m more with a combination of great holds and being more than week closer to the lucrative Christmas Holidays. Spectre's 5th (12/6) weekend will be around $5.5m-6m (for a total about $184m). It needs to do 20% better than QOS off a 15-20% smaller w.e in the face of Star Wars to make $20m more after next w/e. So, $30m more from now is on the high end. My WW estimate: $855-60m Edited December 1, 2015 by TalismanRing 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...