Ray G Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 I read the Crimson Peak script a while back and found it pretty mediocre, but I also totally dismissed Gravity's chances after reading that script a couple years ago SO DON'T LISTEN TO ME. Well, clearly for this to happen, Crimson Peak has to be both excellent and a box office breakout. I just think the Academy might be more likely to bite in that case than they would for Tomorrowland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Coens will be up for Screenplay this year already for St. James Place, if it's good. Tomorrowland, I expect will be one of the year's best reviews blockbusters, but it won't be nominated. Now the big-budget film that I think might have an outside chance? Crimson Peak. Sure, a horror movie getting nominated is unlikely, but it has happened before - The Exorcist, even a winner in Silence of the Lambs - and Crimson Peak is a gothic period piece ghost story with an all-star cast. That's my dark horse. The best-case scenario for Tomorrowland is MIGP average rating, imo. That's not going to be enough. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray G Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 (edited) The best-case scenario for Tomorrowland is MIGP average rating, imo. That's not going to be enough. Given the creative pedigree involved here, I could easily see this having a GOTG-like critical reception and breaking out at the box office. I doubt even that would be enough for the Academy to nominate a sci-fi blockbuster released on Memorial Day, though. Edited January 19, 2015 by Ray G 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 If The Force Awakens delivers, I can see it having a legit shot at a BP nom. All three LotR movies got in on the same release date, as did Avatar (would it have a BP nom had it been released summer?). And, if TFA gets amazing BO, it's chances of getting a nom go up really good. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 If Silence is any good, good luck to the other movies. Talk about total Oscar bait. But that can backfire too if it's a mediocre film, though that seems unlikely coming from Scorsese. The story sounds very pro-christian but Scorsese is Scorsese. Last time he did a religious movie people threw molotov cocktails inside a theatre. Maybe he won't do a straight adaptation and twist it in a way that will piss off Christians. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray G Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 The story sounds very pro-christian but Scorsese is Scorsese. Last time he did a religious movie people threw molotov cocktails inside a theatre. Maybe he won't do a straight adaptation and twist it in a way that will piss off Christians. The subject matter makes me doubtful it'll be a big contender either way. Of course, any movie could wind up disappointing, but St. James Place seems to have the best pedigree this coming year, with Trumbo not far behind. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 I know Jay Roach has some political cred on TV but I don't think that makes him an Oscar contender. Trumbo could easily go the way of The Judge. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 That's What I'm Talking About is another film to consider, but it doesn't have the ground breaking nature of Boyhood. It could still go for something like Screenplay or some Acting categories. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Never should forget that films that sound like the most obvious contenders on paper regularly end up being nothing special. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Never should forget that films that sound like the most obvious contenders on paper regularly end up being nothing special. Of course, that doesn't necessarily preclude them from being nominated 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Of course, that doesn't necessarily preclude them from being nominated *cough*Theory of Everything*cough* 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Sure, but for every Theory or Imitation Game you have The Butler or Unbroken or Nine or August Osage County. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Sure, but for every Theory or Imitation Game you have The Butler or Unbroken or Nine or August Osage County. All the same, any Oscar bait mediocre enough to completely fall off just gets replaced by slightly less mediocre Oscar bait. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Boy, it's so much easier if you're British. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Well I just saw that John Cussak is playing Brian Wilson, that could be a contender. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 In other news: "Streep to sit in a chair for 2 straight hours-this years major Oscar contender" 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChD Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 This Meryl Street getting nominated each year shit is getting ridiculous at this point. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 This Meryl Street getting nominated each year shit is getting ridiculous at this point. Many say ridiculous. Riczhang says fabulous. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 (edited) Many say ridiculous. Riczhang says fabulous. In the chair sitting film with Steep, the chick from Amour appears in it, what would happen then? (Or do I really want to know?) Edited January 23, 2015 by Impact 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 (edited) To be fair, Streep playing an aging rock star in a film directed by Jonathan Demme and written by Diablo Cody potentially sounds like her most inspired and interesting role/project since Adaptation. Which was in 2002. (I'm not counting Fantastic Mr. Fox). Edited January 23, 2015 by Jake Gittes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...