2015 Best Picture predictions!

[filmlover]

I'm not really feeling Mad Max anymore (and can we please not go crazy if it misses please? We know a section of voters won't care for it).  If Miller misses at DGA tomorrow it's probably over. The fact it's made it this far would be commendable enough.

[TStechnij]

I'm thinking:

Spotlight

The Big Short

The Revenant

The Martian

Mad Max: Fury Road

Bridge of Spies

Carol

Brooklyn

 

Outside chances

Room, followed by Trumbo, followed by Straight outta Compton followed by Sicario

[Impact]

On ‎1‎/‎6‎/‎2016 at 2:29 PM, Impact said:

Probably final, Brooklyn is back in and added Compton.

 

The Big Short

Brooklyn

Carol

Inside Out

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight

Straight outta Compton

 

Alt: Star Wars

 

BTW-I don't want to add or remove Martian or Mad Max from any cats-as it seems I have them both tied for the most noms (well along with Revenant), just think it be epic if the 2 most nominated films were Sci-Fi's.

 

edit: Hmmm seems like I have 10 films, was not paying attention to that, might need to remove one but not sure what yet..

Okay likely my final final, though I am tempted to remove Room and put Spies in. I am still putting Inside Out as a alt-I hate to see it miss. Either way-I don't know what to say at this point!

The Big Short

Brooklyn

Carol

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight

Straight outta Compton

 

Alt: Inside Out

[filmlover]

Just watch there be only 7 nominees this year lol. It feels like we're moving back to 5 eventually.

Edited January 12, 2016 by filmlover

[The Panda]

This feels like a year where there could be 9-10 nominees, lots of love for lots of different movies.  

[stripe]

1 hour ago, The Panda said:

This feels like a year where there could be 9-10 nominees, lots of love for lots of different movies.  

 

Agree.

 

And we may have some surprises! As Tstechnij said, Trumbo is a possibility. But also Ex machina or even Inside Out.

[Ezen Baklattan]

Here are my final predictions:

BEST PICTURE

• The Big Short
• Bridge of Spies
• Brooklyn
• Carol
• Mad Max: Fury Road
• The Martian
• The Revenant
• Sicario
• Spotlight

BEST DIRECTOR

• Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant)
• Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)
• Adam McKay (The Big Short)
• George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)
• Ridley Scott (The Martian)

BEST ACTOR

• Bryan Cranston (Trumbo)
• Steve Carell (The Big Short)
• Matt Damon (The Martian)
• Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
• Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

BEST ACTRESS

• Cate Blanchett (Carol)
• Emily Blunt (Sicario)
• Brie Larson (Room)
• Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
• Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

• Christian Bale (The Big Short)
• Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)
• Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
• Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
• Jacob Tremblay (Room)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

• Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
• Rooney Mara (Carol)
• Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)
• Helen Mirren (Trumbo)
• Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

• Bridge of Spies
• Ex Machina
• The Hateful Eight
• Inside Out
• Spotlight

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

• The Big Short
• Carol
• The Martian
• Room
• Steve Jobs

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

• Carol
• Bridge of Spies
• Mad Max: Fury Road
• The Revenant
• Sicario

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

• Bridge of Spies
• Carol
• Cinderella
• The Danish Girl
• Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

• Carol
• Cinderella
• The Danish Girl
• Mad Max: Fury Road
• The Revenant

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

• The 100-Year Old Man Who Climbed Out The Window and Disappeared
• Black Mass
• Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

• Ant-Man
• Ex Machina
• Mad Max: Fury Road
• Star Wars: The Force Awakens
• The Walk

BEST FILM EDITING

• The Big Short
• Mad Max: Fury Road
• The Revenant
• Spotlight
• Sicario

BEST SOUND MIXING

• The Hateful Eight
• Mad Max: Fury Road
• The Revenant
• Sicario
• Straight Outta Compton

BEST SOUND EDITING

• Mad Max: Fury Road
• The Martian
• The Revenant
• Sicario
• Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

• Carter Burwell (Carol)
• Ennio Morricone (The Hateful Eight)
• Thomas Newman (Bridge of Spies)
• Howard Shore (Spotlight)
• John Williams (Star Wars: The Force Awakens)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

• “Better When I’m Dancin’” (The Peanuts Movie)
• “See You Again” (Furious 7)
• “Simple Song #3” (Youth)
• “Til It Happens To You” (The Hunting Ground)
• “Writing’s On The Wall” (Spectre)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

• Anomalisa
• The Good Dinosaur
• Inside Out
• The Peanuts Movie
• Shaun the Sheep Movie

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

• Amy
• Cartel Land
• Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
• The Hunting Ground
• The Look of Silence

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

• The Brand New Testament
• Embrace of the Serpent
• Mustang
• Son of Sal
• Viva

[MinaTakla]

Right now I would argue the most likely winners of BP are in order of likelihood of winning:

1. BIG SHORT

2. REVENANT

3. SPOTLIGHT

4. MARTIAN

5. MAD MAX

[Jake Gittes]

1. The Big Short

2. Spotlight

3. The Martian

4. The Revenant

5. Mad Max: Fury Road

 

[WrathOfHan]

In terms of chances of winning:

 

1. The Big Short

2. The Revenant

3. The Martian

4. Spotlight

 

Mad Max has no chance of winning, too many members are going to put it at the bottom of their list or forgo it.

[Alpha]

Final predictions before Thursday:

 

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Brooklyn

Carol

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Spotlight

 

I'm thinking 8 nominees like last year. 

 

If there's nine: Sicario

If there's ten: Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Possible spoilers: Straight Outta Compton, Inside Out, Room

Edited January 12, 2016 by Alpha

[TStechnij]

Spotlight is still the frontrunner... And Bridge of Spies is locked at 5th or 6th. It has overperformed at EVERY precursors. 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, TStechnij said:

Spotlight is still the frontrunner... And Bridge of Spies is locked at 5th or 6th. It has overperformed at EVERY precursors. 

I'd say it's near locked. I'll be very surprised if it misses though.

[Impact]

16 hours ago, Impact said:

Okay likely my final final, though I am tempted to remove Room and put Spies in. I am still putting Inside Out as a alt-I hate to see it miss. Either way-I don't know what to say at this point!

The Big Short

Brooklyn

Carol

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight

Straight outta Compton

 

Alt: Inside Out

Should I remove Room?

[Ezen Baklattan]

Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Carol

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Spotlight

 

If it's 8, add Brooklyn. 9, add Sicario. 10, add one of Straight Outta Compton, Star Wars (could pull and ELIAC), Ex Machina, or Room

[Impact]

I have no nominations for Ex-Machina.

I guess I'll make my final final final update with Spies replacing Room now!

[Blankments]

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Carol

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight

 

Then Carol, Brooklyn, Straight Outta Compton, and Star Wars in that order.

[Impact]

1 minute ago, Blan Solo said:

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Carol

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight

 

Then Carol, Brooklyn, Straight Outta Compton, and Star Wars in that order.

You have Carol twice.

[Impact]

Probably final vote count for me:

On ‎12‎/‎22‎/‎2015 at 5:56 PM, Impact said:

Current nom count for me:

 

Mad Max: Fury Road: 9

The Martian: 9 (+1 alt)

The Revenant: 9 (+2 alt)

The Big Short: 6

Carol: 6

Star Wars: The Force Awakens: 6

The Hateful 8: 5

Inside Out: 5 (+1 alt)

Brooklyn: 4

Spotlight: 4 (+1 alt)

Bridge of Spies: 3 (+1 alt)

Cinderella: 2

Creed: 2

The Danish Girl: 2 (+1 alt)

The Peanuts Movie: 2

Room: 2

Sicario: 2
Steve Jobs: 2

Straight Outta Compton: 2 (+1 alt)

45 Years: 1

99 Homes: 1

Anomalisa: 1

Ant-Man: 1

Beasts of No Nation: 1

Black Mass: 1

Crimson Peak: 1

Furious Seven: 1

The Good Dinosaur: 1 (+1 alt)

Jurassic World: 1

Shaun the Sheep: 1

Spectre: 1

Suffragette: 1

Trumbo: 1 (+1 alt)

Youth: 1

 

Films that are listed as a alt only:

Avengers: Age of Ultron, Everest, Fifty Shades of Grey, Joy, Love and Mercy, Mr. Holmes and Trainwreck

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Likely final predictions:

 

 

Spoiler

Picture: 

 

1. The Big Short

2. The Revenant

3. The Martian

4. Spotlight

5. Mad Max: Fury Road

6. Bridge of Spies

7. Sicario

8. Straight Outta Compton

9. Carol

Spoilers: Brooklyn; Room; Star Wars; Ex Machina

 

Director:

 

1. Ridley Scott, The Martian

2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant

3. Adam McKay, The Big Short

4. George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

5. Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Spoilers: Steven Spielberg, Bridge of Spies; Dennis Villeneuve, Sicario

 

Actor:

 

1. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

2. Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

3. Matt Damon, The Martian

4. Steve Carell, The Big Short

5. Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Spoiler: Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

 

Actress:

 

1. Brie Larson, Room

2. Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

(3. Rooney Mara, Carol)

3. Cate Blanchett, Carol

4. Emily Blunt, Sicario

5. Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

(5. Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl)

Spoilers: Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years; Sarah Silverman, I Smile Back

 

Supporting Actor:

 

1. Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

2. Christian Bale, The Big Short

3. Sylvester Stallone, Creed

4. Benicio Del Toro, Sicario

5. Michael Shannon, 99 Homes

Spoilers: Paul Dano, Love and Mercy; Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation; Jacob Tremblay, Room; Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

 

Supporting Actress:

 

1. Rooney Mara, Carol

2. Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

3. Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

(3. Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina)

4. Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

5. Helen Mirren, Trumbo

(5. Rachel McAdams, Spotlight)

 

Original Screenplay:

 

1. Spotlight

2. Bridge of Spies

3. Inside Out

4. Sicario

5. Straight Outta Compton

Spoilers: Ex Machina; The Hateful Eight

 

Adapted Screenplay:

 

1. The Big Short

2. The Martian

3. Steve Jobs

4. Room

5. Brooklyn
Spoiler: Carol

 

Animated Feature:

 

1. Inside Out

2. Anomalisa

3. The Peanuts Movie

4. When Marnie Was There

5. The Good Dinosaur

Spoilers: The Prophet; Shaun the Sheep Movie

 

Cinematography:

 

1. The Revenant

2. Mad Max: Fury Road

3. Sicario

4. Carol

5. The Hateful Eight

Spoilers: Bridge of Spies; The Martian

 

Editing:

 

1. Mad Max: Fury Road

2. The Big Short

3. The Martian

4. The Revenant

5. Sicario

Spoiler: Bridge of Spies

 

Score:

 

1. The Hateful Eight

2. Bridge of Spies

3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

4. Steve Jobs

5. Inside Out

Spoilers: Mad Mad: Fury Road; The Revenant; Sicario

 

Song:

 

1. See You Again, Furious 7

2. Waiting For My Moment, Creed

3. Simple Song #3, Youth

4. Til It Happens to You, The Hunting Ground

5. None of Them Are You, Anomalisa

Spoilers: Love Me Like You Do, Fifty Shades of Grey; Writings on the Wall, Spectre

 

Visual Effects:

 

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

2. Mad Max: Fury Road

3. The Martian

4. Ant-Man

5. Ex Machina

Spoilers: The Revenant; The Walk

 

Production Design:

 

1. Crimson Peak

2. Cinderella

3. Mad Max: Fury Road

4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

5. Bridge of Spies

Spoilers: The Martian; Ex Machina; The Revenant

 

Costume Design:

 

1. Cinderella

2. Mad Max: Fury Road

3. Crimson Peak

4. Brooklyn

5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Spoilers: The Revenant; Carol

 

Makeup:

 

1. Mad Max: Fury Road

2. The Revenant

3. Black Mass

Spoiler: Legend

 

Sound Editing:

 

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

2. Mad Max: Fury Road

3. Sicario

4. The Martian

5. The Revenant

Spoilers: Inside Out; Bridge of Spies

 

Sound Mixing:

 

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

2. Mad Max: Fury Road

3. Straight Outta Compton

4. The Martian

5. The Revenant

Spoilers: Love and Mercy; Bridge of Spies; Sicario

 

Nomination count:

 

10- Mad Max: Fury Road (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Editing, Visual Effects, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)

8- The Martian (Picture, Director, Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing), The Revenant (Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography, Editing, Makeup, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)

7- Sicario (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Sound Editing)

6- The Big Short (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Editing), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Score, Production Design, Costume Design, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)

5- Bridge of Spies (Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Score, Production Design)

4- Carol (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Cinematography), Steve Jobs (Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Score), 

3- Brooklyn (Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Costume Design), The Hateful Eight (Supporting Actress, Cinematography, Score), Inside Out (Original Screenplay, Animated Feature, Score), Spotlight (Picture, Director, Original Screenplay), Straight Outta Compton (Picture, Original Screenplay, Sound Mixing)

2- Anomalisa (Animated Feature, Song), Cinderella (Production Design, Costume Design), Creed (Supporting Actor, Song), Crimson Peak (Production Design, Costume Design), Room (Actress, Adapted Screenplay), Trumbo (Actor, Supporting Actress)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited January 12, 2016 by WrathOfHan