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Best Supporting Actor predictions-2015

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New predictions:

 

Very likely:

 

1. Mark Rylance

 

Likely: 

 

2. Sylvester Stallone

3. Jacob Tremblay

 

Though Sly wasn't nominated at SAG, screeners weren't sent so it doesn't hurt him too much. Out of the remaining 4 SAG nominees, Tremblay is the most likely.

 

Last two spots:

 

4. Mark Ruffalo 

5. Tom Hardy

6. Walton Goggins

7. Michael Keaton

8. Christian Bale

9. Idris Elba

10. Michael Shannon

 

A vote split happened with Ruffalo and Keaton at SAG, so be prepared for one here. Elba and Shannon still seem like longshots, but the field has been narrowed down at least.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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I think Hardy might be out, DiCaprio got a nomination from the Revenant, and Hardy missed to outsiders.  

 

Stallone has a chance, but I think he's far from a sure-thing.

 

Mark Ruffalo and Keaton could easily vote split again in a crowded field.  I think it's possible they cancel each other out and others get in.

 

Locked

1.Mark Rylance

 

Competing for the Rest in a Jumbled Field

2.Christian Bale

3.Stallone

4.Tremblay

5.Elba

6.Ruffalo

7.Keaton

8.Hardy

9.Shannon

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I'd wager

 

Christian Bale

Idris Elba

Michael Keaton

Mark Rylance

Sylvester Stallone.

 

think keaton wins out between the spotlight guys. feel like overall i've seen more kudos for the work and he's just that bit more respected.

Edited by CoolioD1
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I think Ruffalo and Keaton are out of the race because of the vote split.  Christian Bale and Elba should be in now, Shannon is competing.

 

1.Mark Rylance

2.Christian Bale

3.Idris Elba

4.Michael Shannon

5.Sylvester Stallone 

Outskirts

6.Tremblay

7.Dano

8.Ruffalo

9.Keaton

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Bale is so supporting. They only did that at the Globes because the race was desolate.

 

Tom Hardy is godawful in The Revenant. The worst of H is hammy tendencies multipled by ten. It was like he was in a whole different movie. He won't happen. If Fox had any sense they'd push Poutler who is great-- cast standout even ahead of Leo. 

 

It seems like it'll be Rylance, Stallone, Elba and some combination of Bale, Tremblay, Shannon, Keaton and Ruffalo for the last two spots. Praying for no Ruffalo!

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Christian Bale for The Big Short

Tom Hardy for The Revenant

Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies

Michael Shannon for 99 Homes

Sylvester Stallone for Creed

 

Alt: Paul Dano for Love and Mercy

 

Took me a while to think of who to put!

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God, this category is a tough nut to crack this year. There's like 15 guys. I wouldn't even be stunned at all if on nomination morning, we wake up and they went for someone out of left field at this point like Isaac or Del Toro or Jason Mitchell. For now...

 

1. Rylance

2. Stallone

3. Elba

4. Shannon

5. Dano

First ones out are the two Spotlight guys and Bale, with Tremblay and Hardy trailing behind in a group with Mitchell, Del Toro, Sam Elliot, Isaac, Jason Segel (if they put him here) and Goggins. 

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On ‎12‎/‎13‎/‎2015 at 6:45 PM, Impact said:

Christian Bale for The Big Short

Tom Hardy for The Revenant

Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies

Michael Shannon for 99 Homes

Sylvester Stallone for Creed

 

Alt: Paul Dano for Love and Mercy

 

Took me a while to think of who to put!

Likely my final:

Christian Bale for The Big Short

Idris Elba for Beasts of No Nation

Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies

Michael Shannon for 99 Homes

Sylvester Stallone for Creed

 

Alt: Paul Dano for Love and Mercy

 

Although I'm not 100% sure about Shannon, though who knows. I thought about putting one of the Spotlight men here, but was not sure which one or who he would replace.

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52 minutes ago, solaris said:

Sad not to see Del Toro in the running for Sicario. That was one of the best performances I've seen in years.

After how Sicario is performing at the guilds, he's definitely in the running. He's fourth in my predictions right now.

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