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Best Supporting Actor predictions-2015

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Is Del Toro considered a pretty good shot to get a nod for Sicario? It's scary how easy he made that role look. Haven't followed this race much tbh

People think SICARIO is going to get shot out but there is in faith in a nom it is Deakins (at least somewhat likely) and Del Toro (not very likely.)

The supporting actor race is hard as hell this year and the big ensemble pieces like Spotlight, The Hateful Eight, The Big Short (if it becomes a player) and Joy don't help.

PS Joy screened and apparently Edgar Ramirez is co-lead and stellar? I don't know if they'll push him lead so DOR can land a performance in each category again or keep him in supporting but he'd directly compete with their Hardy and De Niro there. We'll see!

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Bradley Cooper, Joy

Robert De Niro, Joy

Tom Hardy, The Revenant

Samuel L. Jackson, The Hateful Eight

Harvey Keitel, Youth

 

Alternates:

Michael Keaton, Spotlight

Seth Rogen, Steve Jobs

Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation

Kurt Russell, The Hateful Eight

 

As usual, this category is the toughest.

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Predictions:

Mark Rylance (winner, according to early reviews and tweets he is fannntastic in it, and the highlight of the movie. Seems like someone they wanna reward)

Michael Keaton

Harvey Keitel

Elba

One of the Hateful Eight guys OR Hardy

 

There's a ton of other guys in contention, with Del Toro putting on a spectacular performance, Ruffalo offering himself up as a contender again, Edgerton getting a ton of praise of Black Mass, Mitchell's hugely popular performance in Compton, Oscar Issac proving how fucking great he is again in Ex Machina, Tremblay getting heavy praise, Rogen earning his stripes, and whoever they push from Joy or Big Short sure to be in contention. Most interesting this category has been in YEARS. And that's ignoring well-regarded performances like Shannon in 99 Homes and Robert Redford in Truth.

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With only a tiny break of the embargo it may be premature to declare Rylance the frontrunner. We'll know more in a few hours.

Of course, it's only a few tweets and leaked reviews. He's my personal front-runner, mostly because I've had him up there higher than most for awhile and because he's a vet in the kind of role/movie vets win for. But in a race this stacked, there's by no means a consensus front runner, no matter how strong his reviews are. 

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