Baumer's Summer Game - Darkelf #1, Grim22 #2, laguy03 #3..final words from baumer pg 95

[chasmmi]

Oh the swings and roundabouts of following general forum consensus.

 

My original prediction had Ted 2 down doing barely 100M but due to 22JS and general expectations that it could do maybe even past 200M, I upped it to 181M as it seemed the group knew better.

 

On the otherhand, if it hadn't have been for exactly the same thought process and mind changing shown above, I would not have had Pitch Perfect 2 in my top 15 at all as I also expected that to be a failure.

[JJ-8]

Mine isn't great either....  

 

1) Avengers: Age of Ultron - 622.3m Way over on this one... lol

2) Jurassic World - 304.9m Way under ... yep.. can i swap 1 & 2

3) Inside Out - 304.8m fairly happy with this one... so far

4) Ant-Man - 262.4m 

5) Minions - 254.3m

 

6) Tomorrowland - 192.1m  hahahahahaha... WTF was i thinking.

7) San Andreas - 164.1m Pretty happy with this prediction, a little high maybe, but happy

8) Ted 2 - 160.2m yeah this is gonna be high... urg

9) Terminator: Genisys - 141.0m

10) Fantastic Four - 133.6m

 

11) Mad Max: Fury Road - 129.8m i'm under but not too horrible in my mind

12) Pixels - 118.5m 

13) Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - 109.8m

14) Pitch Perfect 2 - 81.4m just glad i put in the top 15... .lol

15) Spy - 73.3m going under here.. but not as bad as it could be and i think it may yet sneak into the top 15.

[Mattrek]

Top 15:

1) Avengers 520m Stupid Tele, had it at 480m and would've been the only one to get points grrrr

2) Jurassic World 300m LOL whooboy

3) Inside Out 290m Not too bad, still be off by 40m+

4) Ted 2 245m hahaha no

5) Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation 235m

6) Minions 215m

7) Pitch Perfect 2 170m I got one right!

8) Terminator Genisys 160m

9) Fantastic Four 150m

10) Antman 145m

11) Magic Mike 140m

12) San Andreas 125m Pretty happy with it

13) Trainwreck 120m

14) Paper Towns 110m

15) Straight Outta Compton 105m

Edited June 27, 2015 by Mattrek Loves Del Toro

[Blankments]

FUCK I just realized I didn't put a number for Man From UNCLE D:

 

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - 583M TOO HIGH

2. Minions - 307M

3. Jurassic World - 271M TOO LOW

4. Inside Out - 267M SHOULD BE OKAY IF A BIT LOW

5. Ant-Man - 219M

6. Pixels - 215M

7. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - 212M

8. Ted 2 - 183M LOL

9. Spy - 175M LOLOL

10. Fantastic Four - 174M

11. Terminator: Genisys - 160M

12. Pitch Perfect 2 - 156M THIS IS GOOD

13. San Andreas - 145M ALSO GOOD

14. The Man From U.N.C.L.E.

15. Magic Mike XXL - 115M

 

16. Tomorrowland - 112M HAHAHAHAHAHAH

17. Paper Towns - 106M

[Empire]

I am not even going to bother looking back at my predictions. I know they are awful outside of Inside Out.

[MovieMan89]

Top 15 Domestic

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - $530m Still one of the lowest in the game, so I'll take it

2. Jurassic World - $335m Still one of the highest in the game, but damn I wish I'd gone balls to the wall and put 400 like I considered
3. Minions - $308m
4. Inside Out - $274m Decent, could end up getting points still
5. Mission Impossible: Rouge Nation - $225m

6. Tomorrowland - $196m Triple face palm fail

7. Ant-Man - $175m
8. Ted 2 - $164m Ugh, and here I thought I was lowballing it. Should've known lightning wouldn't strike twice here
9. Pitch Perfect 2 - $160m Pretty good, one of the higher in the game

10. Spy- $140m Not good, though at least it will hit 100
11. Magic Mike XXL - $127m
12. Pixels - $118m
13. San Andreas - $115m Too low, might lose points
14. Fantastic Four - $106m

15. Terminator: Genisys - $92m

 

16. Vacation - $90m

17. Trainwreck - $85m

 

Not happy about my Minions and Pixels predictions. Wish I had significantly raised them. Probably should've gone with Trainwreck in the top 15 over Terminator.

Edited June 27, 2015 by MovieMan89

[Ethan Hunt]

1. The Avengers: Age of Ultron- 541M

2. Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation- 278M

3. Inside Out- 266M

4. Jurassic World- 249M

5. Minions - 238M

6. Ted 2- 217M

7. Fantastic Four- 192M

8. Ant-Man- 161M

9. Pitch Perfect 2- 154M

10. Pixels- 140M

11. Tomorrowland- 128M

12. Spy- 124M

13. Magic Mike XXl- 118M

14. San Andreas- 106M

15.Paper Towns-97M

Here's. Mine not looking great

[Wrath]

I think you're a little early on the Under on AoU ww, Baumer.

[grim22]

I think you're a little early on the Under on AoU ww, Baumer.

 

Unless it majorly breaks out in Japan, Under 1.425B WW is a done deal. It has almost closed in every other territory.

[Mattrek]

Looking at 15,000 this weekend and in the running for bonus 2. With how badly I botched my thinking on Ted 2 that's nothing short of a miracle.

[Dementeleus]

I think I'm looking at 29,000 this weekend, assuming the estimates hold and that I miss both bonuses.

[The Panda]

Top 15 is likely to look like

1.Jurassic World - 656.2m

2.Avengers: Age of Ultron - 460m

3.Inside Out - 378.7m

4.Minions - 374.6m

5.Pixels - 206.4m

6.Pitch Perfect 2 - 184.2m

7.Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation - 182.4m

8.Ant-Man - 180.1m

9.Mad Max: Fury Road - 153m

10.San Andreas - 152.7m

11.Fantastic Four - 138.2m

12.Terminator: Genisys - 124.3m

13.Vacation - 124.2m

14.Spy - 117.1m

15.Straight Outta Compton - 107.4m

16.Ted 2 - 105.4m

17.Magic Mike XXL - 100.4m

[Jake Gittes]

Baumer, about SOTM 6:

 

5) How much more will JW finish with WW? ERROR room of 7%

 

If I'm reading that right, do you mean the answer should be how much it makes worldwide between the deadline and Labor Day? Or should "more" not be in the question? (I see that Alpha and kayu both answered with figures over $1.5 billion. I'll do the same for now, then check this thread again before the deadline). 

[Dementeleus]

"Finish with" always means by the deadline of the end of the game, even if a movie continues to gross additional money after that point.

[baumer]

Game runs until Labour Day.

[kayumanggi]

Baumer, about SOTM 6:

5) How much more will JW finish with WW? ERROR room of 7%

If I'm reading that right, do you mean the answer should be how much it makes worldwide between the deadline and Labor Day? Or should "more" not be in the question? (I see that Alpha and kayu both answered with figures over $1.5 billion. I'll do the same for now, then check this thread again before the deadline).

I also understood that way but Baumer said it's the total gross by the end of the game. Edited June 30, 2015 by kayumanggi

[The Panda]

Question, certain questions pertain to Wednesday grosses, does that mean we need to have our answers for that question in before thursday?

[baumer]

Question, certain questions pertain to Wednesday grosses, does that mean we need to have our answers for that question in before thursday?

 

No.

[Alpha]

So depending on Magic Mike XXL's preview numbers, SOTM3 could really fuck up some people's summer game.

Edited July 1, 2015 by Alpha

[Empire]

Looks like I am going to be correct on SOTM3. Just need San Andreas to hit 150M or Inside Out to secure the best legs.