Furious 7 Weekend Numbers: Revised Official Estimate - 146.5M (Sunday underestimated) | Official OS Estimate - 240.4M

[Neo]

Except no.  Like I said, I gave you five years of examples.

Except yes. Those movies do have a 'pattern'. Show me examples of TA's staying true to the May openers of the past 3 years or Frozen like movies like movie of the past 3 years or Avatar like performance of the past 3 years. There are outliers and F7 right now is an outlier.

[Incarnadine]

I expect a little fudging this weekend.

I'll say 150.2 estimates with actuals coming in around 146.8.

[baumer]

Except yes. Those movies do have a 'pattern'. Show me examples of TA's staying true to the May openers of the past 3 years or Frozen like movies like movie of the past 3 years or Avatar like performance of the past 3 years. There are outliers and F7 right now is an outlier.

 

Except TA never had Easter Sunday to deal with.  

 

Like, I said, let's bet on it.  Go to the Casino thread, and bet me.  I'll bet you 100 points that F7 falls more than 37.5% on Sunday, you take less.  You want to be ballsy and ignore history, then go for it.  Bet me.

[The Stingray]

47 on Sat, 29 on Sun. Bank on it.

[Mr Terrific]

Does the winner get the other guy's car?

[baumer]

Does the winner get the other guy's car?

 

Nope, it's just the casino game.

[pepsa]

WW OW?

 

Was talking about OW Dom, but i was just a joke.

[Neo]

Except TA never had Easter Sunday to deal with.  

 

Like, I said, let's bet on it.  Go to the Casino thread, and bet me.  I'll bet you 100 points that F7 falls more than 37.5% on Sunday, you take less.  You want to be ballsy and ignore history, then go for it.  Bet me.

No bet. Its that you are so hardened on the fact that it has to do 40%+ or whatever you are predicting lost track, but I am saying it can do lower. I see no reason for a bet here, just that it can go lower than your '40%' and doesn't have to follow 'history' as my examples above were ones where was that history you talked about. I think treeroy posted something which I thought was obvious and are other reasons which should be obvious too.

[baumer]

No bet. Its that you are so hardened on the fact that it has to do 40%+ or whatever you are predicting lost track, but I am saying it can do lower. I see no reason for a bet here, just that it can go lower than your '40%' and doesn't have to follow 'history' as my examples above were ones where was that history you talked about. I think treeroy posted something which I thought was obvious and are other reasons which should be obvious too.

 

Well, of course there's no bet, because you are just talking shit now.  Box office is all about patterns.  History is followed more times than not.

[CoolioD1]

you guys are cracking me up rn.

[John Wars]

oehhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

 

MODFIGHT

[Jonwo]

The thing is if Easter weekend becomes a spot for mega tentpoles one year you could have the possibility of the March record going down and April the next

BvS is the next film to get the Easter weekend slot so it's possible. April 14th 2017 it's Ghost in the Shell that has that slot. I think Fast 8 if they can get it ready by 2017 should be an April release, either move Pacific Rim 2 to August and take April 7th or move the Universl Monster film and take April 21st.

[sfran43]

HOME earned an estimated $11.3M on Friday. Domestic total is now $79.52M. #Home

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

April 4, 2015

[Poseidon]

I like the comparison with COTT, that one also had evening previews in 2009.

If F&F7 followed that one, it would come in around $136m. That's where I see it, between $135m and $140m.

[baumer]

Neo's just choosing to be difficult.  He does this from time to time.  

 

I gave five years worth of examples and the way it looks 90% of the movies fall more than 37% on Easter Sunday (in the top 10).  And many fall more than 40%.  

I like the comparison with COTT, that one also had evening previews in 2009.

If F&F7 followed that one, it would come in around $136m. That's where I see it, between $135m and $140m.

 

Way too low.

[ecstasy]

Interesting debate going on here. Will F7 follow history and have a Sat/Sun drop in line with other Easter weekend releases OR

will it defy the tradition and become an outlier like Avatar, Avengers, Frozen and follow its own path to Easter glory?

 

Stay tuned...

[Neo]

Well, of course there's no bet, because you are just talking shit now.  Box office is all about patterns.  History is followed more times than not.

You are very very hard headed. I am talking facts which you ignore and btw I opened those links you posted. Patterns lol. So what pattern was The Avengers, Avatar, Titanic, Frozen following. The pattern of X2, TND or Ninja Assassin, Hugo.

[baumer]

Interesting debate going on here. Will F7 follow history and have a Sat/Sun drop in line with other Easter weekend releases OR

will it defy the tradition and become an outlier like Avatar, Avengers, Frozen and follow its own path to Easter glory?

 

Stay tuned...

 

Ok, good point.  Avatar, in it's 100th week, fell 35%.  Clash of the Titans fell 35% on its first Easter Sunday.  So there's one film in 6 years that bucked the trend.  So I could be wrong and Neo could be right.

[Neo]

Neo's just choosing to be difficult.  He does this from time to time.  

 

I gave five years worth of examples and the way it looks 90% of the movies fall more than 37% on Easter Sunday (in the top 10).  And many fall more than 40%.  

 

Way too low.

No I am not. I posting my peace which you seem to have a problem with, so you are being the difficult one. Wow nice data.

[baumer]

You are very very hard headed. I am talking facts which you ignore and btw I opened those links you posted. Patterns lol. So what pattern was The Avengers, Avatar, Titanic, Frozen following. The pattern of X2, TND or Ninja Assassin, Hugo.

 

You're just being obtuse now