eddyxx Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 (edited) That range right between 200 and the record is funny. I wonder what Disney will estimate if it looks like it's going to come in around 205m or so. Do they announce that it's at 208 or something so they can claim new record? But then if the actuals come in lower, it looks bad, right? So do they actually go ahead and fudge it to get the record? (I'm not aware of Disney doing any fudging in the past, but who knows.) Similarly, if it seems to be coming in at the high 190s do they announce a 200m estimate? Do they fudge it to get up there? Eh. They could've fudged TWS to 260 Edited May 1, 2015 by Eddy Targaryen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Increasing like TA means around 90m. He meant like TA estimates went from high 60's to low 70s and finally to 80M+. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
water Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 mcu os is very interesting tbh im: 267 tih: 129 im2: 312 thor: 268 ca: 194 ta: 895 im3: 806 thor2: 438 ca2: 455 gotg: 441 aou: 1.1b? sad that outside team-ups only iron man makes big bucks when he's the lamest of the team 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Eh. They could've fudged TWS to 260 That wouldn't have been any kind of milestone, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I am still sticking with my 212M OW prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 1, 2015 Author Share Posted May 1, 2015 TA increased from low 70s to 81 dude.. From the original early estimates. But those actuals are now being used to predict TA2. As of right now, it's probably grossed somewhere in the 20s, and they're expecting a big push (like TA) to get other 40m through the till. (Numbers being pulled out of my ass, but along the lines of what Spizzer posted much earlier today). When they're using TA as one of the trackers, posting the range of numbers they did means that it's essentially tracking along the same path as TA did... around the same level of matinee performance. So the numbers are expecting a huge jump in the evenings/west coast. For TA2 to overperform would mean an additional jump above and beyond what TA did. It's possible -- TA2 has more shows and theaters are more prepared for the demand -- but it isn't guaranteed by any stretch of the imagination. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I think it will cruise past 210 so it won't even be an issue, but hell yes they are bound to fudge the thing if it gets within a few mill of the record. Paramount has set a trend here lately with two Transformers fudge jobs on opening weekend. Disney has every right to do the same if necessary.of course. they will. om sure tw fudged a bit for hp 7od also lol. whats crazy is disney has 2 films with 1.4 + b ww potential with sw7. having 2b potential. and tomm land which could do 500-800m or morh more at the bo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainJackSparrow Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 of course. they will. om sure tw fudged a bit for hp 7od also lol. whats crazy is disney has 2 films with 1.4 + b ww potential with sw7. having 2b potential. and tomm land which could do 500-800m or morh more at the bo I'm thinking the second highest grossing film this month will be San Andreas, huge potential there as Dwayne is very popular plus we haven't had a big budget disaster flick since 2012. Speaking of San Andreas, what do we think of the legs for Avengers 2 and if it will be hurt by competition? Schedule looks nice for Avengers 2 if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I am still sticking with my 212M OW prediction.that is history! my 230m ow is far more likely ;-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 of course. they will. om sure tw fudged a bit for hp 7od also lol. whats crazy is disney has 2 films with 1.4 + b ww potential with sw7. having 2b potential. and tomm land which could do 500-800m or morh more at the bo DH2's OD wasn't fudged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
water Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I'm thinking the second highest grossing film this month will be San Andreas, huge potential there as Dwayne is very popular plus we haven't had a big budget disaster flick since 2012. Speaking of San Andreas, what do we think of the legs for Avengers 2 and if it will be hurt by competition? Schedule looks nice for Avengers 2 if you ask me. san andreas will break out to 150 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 san andreas will break out to 150 higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
75Live Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 not too shabby an opening day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I'm thinking the second highest grossing film this month will be San Andreas, huge potential there as Dwayne is very popular plus we haven't had a big budget disaster flick since 2012. Speaking of San Andreas, what do we think of the legs for Avengers 2 and if it will be hurt by competition? Schedule looks nice for Avengers 2 if you ask me. well san andreas, jpw, tommland. a few leg killers are out there. legs will be way off and yay titans dom and ww stats are safe capt jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 that is history! my 230m ow is far more likely ;-) Nope. It isn't more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 If today was December 16 with this exact level of hype, I'd say Star Wars makes 170M OW. No idea what to expect with the rest of Disney's campaign though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I'm thinking the second highest grossing film this month will be San Andreas, huge potential there as Dwayne is very popular plus we haven't had a big budget disaster flick since 2012. Speaking of San Andreas, what do we think of the legs for Avengers 2 and if it will be hurt by competition? Schedule looks nice for Avengers 2 if you ask me. 100M 2nd weekend! Avengers should take over #1 for the year by next Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 (edited) not too shabby an opening day 75 budddy and my movie brother yur alive! alive! lol https://youtu.be/dTlbYvOzbCs Edited May 1, 2015 by Superman001 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I said a few times that I wish to experience what you guys did during TA weekend back in '12 with AoU this time. Yeah, I take that all back. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jse Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 (edited) However when on the eve of a movie opening weekend record has a studio done a gutsy call such as 200+?? Like to me its confidence? If memory serves, Marvel/Disyney was low-balling the whole time 3 years ago and it was other studios that was raising expectations with higher in-house estimates. I think Marvel/Disney ended up underestimating the weekend by over 7M (200.3M est -> 207.4M actual). The fact that they're saying it outright now, possibly means Marvel/Disney have it pegged higher internally... Edited May 1, 2015 by jse 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
