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Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

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My goodness. Look at those openings. Wait for INSIDE OUT and the rest of the year (SPECTRE, THG: MJ II and SW: TFA)

 

1 Jurassic World Uni. $208,806,270 64.2% 4,274 $48,855 $325,212,000 6/12/15 2 Avengers: Age of Ultron BV $191,271,109 42.8% 4,276 $44,731 $447,288,953 5/1/15 3 Furious 7 Uni. $147,187,040 41.9% 4,004 $36,760 $351,032,910 4/3/15 4 American Sniper WB $89,269,066 25.5% 3,555 $25,111 $350,118,902 1/16/15 5 Fifty Shades of Grey Uni. $85,171,450 51.3% 3,646 $23,360 $166,167,230 2/13/15 6 Pitch Perfect 2 Uni. $69,216,890 39.5% 3,473 $19,930 $175,364,000 5/15/15 7 Cinderella (2015) BV $67,877,361 34.0% 3,845 $17,653 $199,488,593 3/13/15 8 The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water Par. $55,365,012 34.0% 3,641 $15,206 $162,994,032 2/6/15 9 San Andreas WB $54,588,173 43.3% 3,777 $14,453 $126,169,000 5/29/15 10 The Divergent Series: Insurgent LG/S $52,263,680 40.3% 3,875 $13,487 $129,693,892 3/20/15 11 Home (2015) Fox $52,107,731 30.0% 3,708 $14,053 $173,672,542 3/27/15 12 Mad Max: Fury Road WB $45,428,128 32.1% 3,702 $12,271 $141,507,000 5/15/15

 

 

You should only consider $60M or above. Those are exceptional

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6TH UPDATE, Sunday 12:10AM: Saturday’s business for JW is looking to be up 34% with an industry average of $38.9M vs. Friday’s $29.1M. The Universal/Legendary franchise title will likely fall 15% on Sunday. By E.O.D. Sunday, it appears that JW will be within a whisper of $400M with $397M-$399M. As we mentioned previously, even if JW hits $400M on Monday, it will still beat Avengers as the fastest film to that mark.

IO slipped an estimated 7% today from its $34.3M Friday with about $31.8M. Everyone but Disney is seeing this film with a $90M+ weekend.  They think it’s in a mid-to-high $80M range and frankly for IO to do that number, it would need to fall off a cliff  tomorrow, and given the holiday and the Pixar pic’s pace — that just ain’t gonna happen.    

 

 

Nah, I like Rth's numbers better.

 

He was right yesterday when they kept underestimating IO.

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