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druv10

Monday Numbers (Rth) IO 4.95M, JW 4.15M & TG 3.42M

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Inside Out could get close to 255 today, Jurassic World could get close 565 today, and Terminator maybe 50 who knows. But the first two are rocking it, but will collapse on Thursday because of Minions at 7 or 8 at night. Which Minions should probably do between 10 and 12 million from previews and then go on from there.

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Inside Out could get close to 255 today, Jurassic World could get close 565 today, and Terminator maybe 50 who knows. But the first two are rocking it, but will collapse on Thursday because of Minions at 7 or 8 at night. Which Minions should probably do between 10 and 12 million from previews and then go on from there.

 

If Minions has $10-12m in previews, a2k's $160m weekend prediction becomes a lot more likely than most of us expect.

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^^^

It needs another $100m or so, yes. 

That's a lot to still muster up. 

 

Avengers made $100m after Day 25. Part of the problem in comparing them though is that JP4's fourth weekend was deflated by July 4th and the World Cup while TA1's fourth weekend was juiced to the heavens by Memorial Day. If JP4 can come close to matching TA1's fifth weekend ($20.49m), it is very much on the right track for $660m total.

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^^^

It needs another $100m or so, yes. 

That's a lot to still muster up. 

Or if it doesn't beat Titanic's total gross(with th 3D re-release) we could always say it beat its original  runs gross, unadjusted. lol

Edited by kowan
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If JP4 can come close to matching TA1's fifth weekend ($20.49m), it is very much on the right track for $660m total.

 

 

$20.5M sounds pretty do-able coming off of this past weekend.

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$20.5M sounds pretty do-able coming off of this past weekend.

 

Between the deflationary events on Saturday/Sunday and the fact Universal is definitely going to fudge some money from Minions (as they did from JP4 with PP2/F&F7), a 30% drop seems a lot more possible than I would usually expect.

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If Minions has $10-12m in previews, a2k's $160m weekend prediction becomes a lot more likely than most of us expect.

 

Minions won't do 10-12M in previews. It doesn't need to either, DM2 started with 4.7M previews, this needs to do in that range and it should be on target for a great weekend. Currently there are 153 showings of Minions in previews in OC (and most places only have a 7pm and a 8:30pm showtime so it can significantly increase by Thursday. Terminator + Magic Mike was 162 showings a day before release.

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Inside Out crosses $250 million on Day 18!

 

Largest DOMESTIC Totals – After Day 18

1) Jurassic World – $506,899,800 (Mon - $6,526,380)

2) Marvel’s The Avengers - $463,353,451 (Mon - $5,687,934)

3) The Dark Knight - $400,038,494 (Mon - $6,287,429
4) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $375,466,255 (Mon - $3,435,547)

5) Avatar - $360,209,452 (Mon - $8,094,554)

6) The Dark Knight Rises - $358,660,592 (Mon - $4,725,498)

7) Iron Man 3 - $340,868,034 (Mon - $3,206,057)

8) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - $337,794,484 (Mon - $1,943,642)

9) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - $332,127,039 (Sat - $9,476,273)

10) Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $326,203,444 (Mon - $4,304,211

11) Harry Potter 7b:  Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $321,839,842 (Mon - $3,328,240)

12) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $307,892,961 (Sun - $7,555,982)

13) The Hunger Games - $306,593,939 (Mon - $4,143,217)

14) Shrek 2 - $302,608,864 (Sat - $15,563,658)

15) Toy Story 3 - $301,883,298 (Mon - $12,777,105)

16) Furious 7 - $296,532,315 (Mon - $2,021,640)

17) Transformers: Dark of the Moon - $296,487,753 (Sat - $8,622,714)

18) Spiderman 2 - $294,579,826 (Sat - $9,941,993

19) Spiderman - $289,882,492 (Mon- $4,308,824

20) Spiderman 3 - $284,729,332 (Mon - $2,349,677

21) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $283,395,934 (Sat - $10,563,221

22) Despicable Me 2 - $268,595,595 (Sat - $10,027,475)

23) Alice in Wonderland - $268,193,975 (Mon - $2,760,338)

24) The Twilight Saga:  Eclipse - $260,969,703 (Sat - $5,134,441)

25) The Hunger Games:  Mockingjay Part 1 - $259,591,489 (Mon - $1,437,896)

26) Shrek The Third - $258,553,839 (Mon - $2,626,056)

27) The Twilight Saga:  New Moon - $256,392,782 (Mon - $1,029,730)
28) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 2 - $255,813,342 (Mon - $1,214,476)

29) Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End - $255,610,936 (Mon - $2,169,213)

30) Lord Of The Rings: TT - $254,290,037 (Fri - $10,699,493)

31) The Passion Of The Christ - $253,792,087 (Sat - $13,452,908)

32) Iron Man 2 - $253,241,439 (Mon - $2,215,378)

33) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $253,014,750 (Sun - $6,614,468

34) Man of Steel - $251,621,616 (Mon - $3,044,020)

35) Inside Out - $250,845,401 (Mon - $4,954,006)

36) American Sniper - $250,397,650 (Mon - $2,645,109)(1)

37) Harry Potter 6:  HBP - $249,893,845 (Sat - $6,755,356)

38) Transformers -

$248,561,249 (Fri - $6,097,746)

39) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $248,073,698 (Mon - $1,147,289)

40) Harry Potter 7a:  Deathly Hallows Part 1 - $245,657,482 (Mon - $1,138,366) -4

41) Star Wars 1: TPM - $245,134,578 (Sat - $13,854,324)

42) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $236,845,162 (Sat - $7,073,211

43) The Matrix: Reloaded - $232,701,046 (Sun - $4,454,316)

44) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $232,324,823 (Sun - $6,488,254)  

45) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $230,406,014 (Mon - $1,139,298)

46) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - $228,546,604 (Mon - $6,919,722) +2  NYE

47) Iron Man - $226,196,567 (Mon - $3,072,182)

48) Guardians of the Galaxy - $225,546,287 (Mon - $2,884,902)

49) Skyfall - $223,067,688 (Mon - $1,923,566)

50) The Amazing Spider-Man - $221,171,631 (Fri - $3,447,317) 
51) Harry Potter 1: SS - $220,931,289 (Mon - $1,261,000)

52) Monsters University - $218,814,952 (Mon - $2,560,973)

53) The Hangover Part II - $215,727,461 (Sun - $4,384,646)

54) The Hobbit:  Battle of the Five Armies - $215,307,016 (Sat - $8,135,890)

55) Transformers:  Age of Extinction - $210,850,231 (Mon - $2,016,518)

56) Fast & Furious 6 - $204,960,175 (Mon - $2,147,595)

57) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $203,913,170 (Mon - $1,668,518
58) Captain America: The Winter Soldier - $203,096,637 (Mon - $2,595,127)

 

1)     Includes $3.4 million before wide release

·         The Dark Knight crosses $400 million on Day 18, the third fastest to do so.

·         Avatar joins the top 5 taking down The Dark Knight Rises.

·         The surprising Shrek 2 gains another 3 spots and enters the top 15.

·         Tobey Maguire’s Spiderman movies occupy the 18th, 19th and 20th positions on Day 18 as well.

·         The Passion of the Christ, with a strong $13+ million Saturday rockets up 9 spots.

·         Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 drops 4 spots to #40.

·         The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey on NYE gains another 2 spots.

·         Crossing $300 million on Day 18:  Shrek 2 and Toy Story 3.

·         Crossing $250 million on Day 18:  Inside Out, Lord Of The Rings: TT, The Passion Of The Christ,  Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull, Man of Steel and American Sniper.

Edited by e1828
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Largest DOMESTIC Totals – After Day 25

1) Jurassic World – $560,692,030 (Mon - $4,149,050)

2) Marvel’s The Avengers - $523,907,202 (Mon - $10,535,543)

3) The Dark Knight - $445,370,695 (Mon - $3,742,198

4) Avatar - $435,957,707 (Mon - $5,111,193)

5) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $411,369,385 (Mon - $6,507,209)

6) The Dark Knight Rises - $391,932,219 (Mon - $2,344,003)

7) Iron Man 3 - $372,775,931 (Mon - $5,368,815)

8) Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $361,089,168 (Mon - $2,603,407

9) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - $359,894,705 (Sat - $5,596,085)

10) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - $358,823,252 (Mon - $1,319,589)

11) Shrek 2 - $346,511,753 (Sat - $9,030,317)

12) Harry Potter 7b:  Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $344,890,382 (Mon - $1,804,337)

13) Toy Story 3 - $342,040,500 (Mon - $2,799,643)

14) The Hunger Games - $338,063,318 (Mon - $1,396,955)

15) Spiderman - $333,641,492 (Mon - $7,306,740

16) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $332,109,171 (Sun - $4,577,194)

17) Spiderman 2 - $324,088,209 (Sat - $6,165,611

18) Transformers: Dark of the Moon - $322,208,872 (Sat - $4,839,708)

19) Furious 7 - $321,241,725 (Mon - $1,160,150)

20) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK -

$308,228,208 (Sat - $6,439,410

21) Spiderman 3 - $307,754,583 (Mon - $3,776,825

22) Despicable Me 2 - $301,650,860 (Sat - $6,395,840)

23) Alice in Wonderland - $295,513,657 (Mon - $1,978,722)

24) The Passion Of The Christ - $289,004,202 (Sat - $7,970,160)

25) Star Wars 1: TPM - $288,582,722 (Sat - $10,555,346)

26) Shrek The Third - $283,095,177 (Mon - $1,635,112)

27) American Sniper - $282,979,594 (Mon - $1,590,242)(1)

28) Iron Man 2 - $279,653,149 (Mon - $4,617,249)

29) Lord Of The Rings: TT - $279,199,045 (Sat - $6,637,982)

30) The Hunger Games:  Mockingjay Part 1 - $277,996,824 (Mon - $1,111,833)

31) The Twilight Saga:  Eclipse - $277,753,614 (Sat - $2,760,065)

32) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $276,524,265 (Sun - $5,368,910

33) Transformers - $276,334,484 (Fri - $3,300,479)

34) Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End - $275,607,610 (Mon - $1,462,100)

35) Harry Potter 6:  HBP - $270,977,685 (Sat - $3,475,562)

36) Man of Steel - $272,461,943 (Mon - $1,273,493)

37) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 2 - $269,403,203 (Mon - $712,174)

38) The Twilight Saga:  New Moon - $268,024,129 (Mon - $703,152)

39) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - $265,146,005 (Mon - $1,311,112)

40) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $260,051,891 (Mon - $649,222)

41) Harry Potter 7a:  Deathly Hallows Part 1 - $258,393,849 (Mon - $721,128)

42) Iron Man - $258,278,546 (Mon - $5,663,877)

43) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $257,955,350 (Sat - $3,787,937

44) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $255,106,406 (Sun - $4,398,774)

45) Guardians of the Galaxy - $253,118,471 (Mon - $1,662,402)

46) The Matrix: Reloaded - $247,778,753 (Sun - $2,635,597)

47) Skyfall - $246,712,819 (Mon - $1,127,736)

48) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $244,763,756 (Mon - $694,451)

49) Harry Potter 1: SS - $240,527,542 (Mon - $868,000)

50) Monsters University - $239,289,059 (Mon - $1,518,056)

51) The Amazing Spider-Man - $237,148,066 (Fri - $1,895,456)

52) The Hobbit:  Battle of the Five Armies - $233,763,132 (Sat - $4,229,048)

53) The Hangover Part II - $233,110,617 (Sun - $2,778,872)

54) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - $230,360,654 (Mon - $1,301,012)

55) Inception - $230,168,703 (Mon - $2,531,134)

56) I Am Legend - $229,118,908 (Mon - $1,063,246)

 

1)     Includes $3.4 million before wide release

·         Marvel’s The Avengers takes in a massive $10.5 million on Memorial Day Monday 2012 and shortens the gap to Jurassic World to less than $40 million for the first time since Day 12.

·         Memorial Day 2015, allows Avengers: Age of Ultron to extend its lead over The Dark Knight Rises to nearly $20 million.

·         On Memorial Day 2002, Spiderman overtakes Revenge of the Sith with a cool $7.3 million Monday.

·         Despicable Me 2 crosses $300 million on Day 25.

·         Furious 7 drops 2 spots while Spiderman 2 gains 2.

·         Star Wars Episode 1: The Phantom Menace jumps up 2 spots to #25 and looks to threaten The Passion of the Christ.

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Minions won't do 10-12M in previews. It doesn't need to either, DM2 started with 4.7M previews, this needs to do in that range and it should be on target for a great weekend. Currently there are 153 showings of Minions in previews in OC (and most places only have a 7pm and a 8:30pm showtime so it can significantly increase by Thursday. Terminator + Magic Mike was 162 showings a day before release.

The magic number I have in mind is $125M. $10M in previews would guarantee that, but only like, $7ishM is needed to reach $125M for the weekend, no?

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