Not So Fantastic Weekend Thread | MI5 29.4, F4 26.2, Gift 12, Ricki 7, Shaun 4, Vac 9, AM 7.8

[Krissykins]

3,450+ for The Man from UNCLE ?? Lol, WB just throwing money at shit to see if it sticks.

[a2k]

I already worked (then part-time) as Star Wars IV got released... . As my younger brother (not a twin to me) got born JFK was still alive....

How long have you waited for a good F4 film?

[CJohn]

Not quite. $80/$190m would break even. Budget wise.

Not including marketing. This is a turkey.

If you want to include marketing you have to include DVD, Bluray, TV rights and VOD. So it will turn a profit anyway. 

[a2k]

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-fantastic-four-floundering-813724

 

low 30s seems like a boon now. take it and run fox, take it and run.

 

edit: though they say 12m friday including previews. can't see it touching low 30s with that.

 

2.7 + 9.5 + 9.5 + 7 = 28.7

Edited August 7, 2015 by a2k

[Krissykins]

If you want to include marketing you have to include DVD, Bluray, TV rights and VOD. So it will turn a profit anyway.

Then include the cost for marketing those.

The marketing budget would be ~$100m worldwide.

I don't see this film making a profit. DVD sales are in the shitter.

[Krissykins]

Looks like the PTA will be just $500 more than Catwomans adjusted.

[Clef Ment]

FF isn't even getting released in China, right?

[terrestrial]

I said it had more than Ant-Man... Not necessarily a lot

 

FF Twitter

Date # Tweets Pos:Neg Ratio

Aug 07, 2015 45588 0:1

Aug 06, 2015 81899 0:1

Aug 05, 2015 46347 2:1

 

Yep, has some tweets.

Never before saw such bad positive to negative ratio with so many tweets... for a movie

 

How long have you waited for a good F4 film?

 

Hmm, before X-Men 1 I didn't even think about a Marvel based movie, so I guess since then. But I do not think that part 1 is really bad, but it's no 10/10 movie neither

We were 2005 during a real bad heat wave in Andalucia (earnestly dying people hot), the only 'room' with an air condition was in a small cinema nearby. Not even the mall there had one

Only 2 movies to chose, we saw FF 1 rather oft during the worst time of the day - in Spanish, not understang more than a very few words. Might have grown on me bcs of that, as I was really grateful to not to have to torture myself with the only other movie they offered (romatic comedy, for me the worst genre ever)

Edited August 7, 2015 by terrestrial

[terrestrial]

If you want to include marketing you have to include DVD, Bluray, TV rights and VOD. So it will turn a profit anyway. 

 

I do not think so based on your ww guess, but I think it's way too early to predict especially OS details, as e.g. translation can strongly influence the movies BOs. Maybe in one major country the translation will help? Or the humor... of a country sees it in a better / another way?

 

Sometimes a movie badly doing in the cinemas makes way over average money via HV... as people that didn't find friends to accompany them to a cinema will buy a DVD / VOD /... instead.

[Maxmoser3]

Like I said earlier Straight Outta Compton will make some $$$$ next weekend hopefully that and U.N.C.L.E have good starts next weekend because we need it bad. By the way I want Straight Outta Compton to do well and get 100 domestic.

[Frozen]

@BoxOffice: Early domestic opening projection: $31 million-$33 million for #FantasticFour.

[WrathOfHan]

<10m OD coming up. Seeing theaters where matinees are even with/behind MI5.

 

EDIT: Remember this is super duper early and things could change every hour, but I'm reeeeaaalllyyy not optimistic.

 

[Maxmoser3]

@BoxOffice: Early domestic opening projection: $31 million-$33 million for #FantasticFour.

thats rough it needs 35 million in order to be forgivable for the studio.

[dudalb]

FF isn't even getting released in China, right?

Up in the air.

China has a strict quota of foreign made films that are allowed in each year,and American Studios have a "Gentlemen's Agreement" dividing up the available slots among the studios. Fox can only release so many films in China. Boils down to which it thinks has the best chance in China. IF FF bombs,it chances of getting a slot are low.

[Master Scottb]

So, anyone else looking forward to November 6?

[a2k]

Hmm, before X-Men 1 I didn't even think about a Marvel based movie, so I guess since then. But I do not think that part 1 is really bad, but it's no 10/10 movie neither

We were 2005 during a real bad heat wave in Andalucia (earnestly dying people hot), the only 'room' with an air condition was in a small cinema nearby. Not even the mall there had one

Only 2 movies to chose, we saw FF 1 rather oft during the worst time of the day - in Spanish, not understang more than a very few words. Might have grown on me bcs of that, as I was really grateful to not to have to torture myself with the only other movie they offered (romatic comedy, for me the worst genre ever)

 

Yeah, I thought both the Fantastic Fours were watchable. (Didn't read the comics so anyway didn't know what the potential was.)

[CJohn]

thats rough it needs 35 million in order to be forgivable for the studio.

FOX said it needs a number with a 4 in front of it, so 35M isn't good either.

[Maxmoser3]

I just heard a radio ad for F4. Really Fox? Really?

[filmlover]

FF Twitter

Date # Tweets Pos:Neg Ratio

Aug 07, 2015 45588 0:1

Aug 06, 2015 81899 0:1

Aug 05, 2015 46347 2:1

 

Yep, has some tweets.

Never before saw such bad positive to negative ratio with so many tweets... for a movie

 

 

Hmm, before X-Men 1 I didn't even think about a Marvel based movie, so I guess since then. But I do not think that part 1 is really bad, but it's no 10/10 movie neither

We were 2005 during a real bad heat wave in Andalucia (earnestly dying people hot), the only 'room' with an air condition was in a small cinema nearby. Not even the mall there had one

Only 2 movies to chose, we saw FF 1 rather oft during the worst time of the day - in Spanish, not understang more than a very few words. Might have grown on me bcs of that, as I was really grateful to not to have to torture myself with the only other movie they offered (romatic comedy, for me the worst genre ever)

My goodness. When was the last time a really major comic book/event movie like this drew such a ghastly level of buzz? Never?

[terrestrial]

To give a comparison for the FF Twitter post above:

out of my Ant-Man Twitter list

July 19, 2015      56932    22:1 (estm $57.5m)

July 18, 2015      65816    22:1 (Sa)

July 17, 2015      78157    6:1 (official US release date)

July 16, 2015      63975    21:1 ($6.4m pre's)