Thursday Numbers | 10.4 M THG: MOCKINGJAY II | 6.56 M THE GOOD DINOSAUR | 6.46 M CREED

[stripe]

Very good for MJ2 if that 11M is true!

 

53 / 55M is the goal

 

[misafeco]

2 minutes ago, stripe said:

Very good for MJ2 if that 11M is true!

 

53 / 55M is the goal

 

Deadline says 10.4. Still ok.

[filmlover]

Victor Frankenstein would've bombed no matter when it opened. It looked awful.

[Jandrew]

53 minutes ago, misafeco said:

TGD dropped 33%. That's not good. Sub 200M?

 

Its been out 2 days...

[misafeco]

1 minute ago, jandrew said:

 

Its been out 2 days...

Frozen was 26M at the same point. Frozen's Thu almost doubled TGD's. I'm not too optimistic about TGD's chances to 200M.

[grey ghost]

18 minutes ago, Infernus said:

Thats really great for Creed. Movies usually increase at least 2.2 times (120%) on Thanksgiving friday, family movies even increase 2.5/2.6. That increase would mean atleast a 35m weekend for Creed. Fantastic

 

6

6.46

14.2

13.2

7.9

35.3m Weekend

47.8m 5-day

 

150m+ Dom confirmed

 

I think Creed will end up around Peanuts DOM, 135 m.

[kayumanggi]

I just find it ridiculous when people compare TGD to FROZEN. lol

[grey ghost]

11 minutes ago, Yandereprime101189 said:

Everything is doing well except Victor Frankenstein

 

Shit, even I, Frankenstein did better.

 

I, Frankenstein OW over Victor DOM.

[a2k]

1 hour ago, RyneOh1040 said:

no way!  most films drop on Thanksgiving, around 25%.

 

that's a FANTASTIC number for Creed.

 

Most movies, especially children's films drop.

Baumer had pointed out Life of Pi a day or two back. That had not dropped either. It had also opened on Wed in Thanksgiving week like Creed.

[John Marston]

That's actually normal for Good Dinosaur. Tangled dropped about 33% on Thanksgiving 

[PenguinHyphy]

1 hour ago, FilmBuff said:

Maybe it's me, but that seems like a terrible number.

 

Uh, the majority of films decrease substantially on Thanksgiving. How is that number terrible? 

[Jandrew]

16 minutes ago, misafeco said:

Frozen was 26M at the same point. Frozen's Thu almost doubled TGD's. I'm not too optimistic about TGD's chances to 200M.

 

Frozen was a phenomenon out of the gate. TGD was never going to come close. Seeing the 3rd weekend drop is best, but at least wait a week before you ask such questions. 

 

I don't care how good anyone is at extrapolating, you cant tell the movies final total after 48 hours...

[a2k]

10.4m is a 24.36% drop. MJ1 dropped 24.2%.

Even with the actual numbers, the drop will be close to MJ1s.

MJ2's Mon-Thu hold from the ow is marginally better than MJ1.

[Tau Ceti]

A chance Creed sneaks into second place this weekend. The positive WOM is coming fast and furious and the five-day weekend is perfect for a movie like that. Extrapolating from Penguins of Madagascar last year, TGD may be as low as $41.5 on the 3 day. That's beatable.

[a2k]

13 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

I just find it ridiculous when people compare TGD to FROZEN. lol

 

It's fair to compare the 5-day long weekend of TGD with Frozen. Only after a few days did Frozen started showing abnormally strong legs which puts it out of any comparisons. But for the 5-day period it's fair to use it as a comparison.

Edited November 27, 2015 by a2knet

[Yandereprime101189]

Good Dinosaur will either come in and do $55-$60 million during the 5 day week or it could potentially break out on the three day million and bring that total to $70 million+ for the five day. Honestly, anything is possible with the Good Dinosaur. Will it be as big a hit as Inside Out? Probably not, but it will still do well.

 

Plus, it pretty much has the family market covered until I guess Alvin, (which will be dealing with Star Wars on its opening week anyway).

[misafeco]

14 minutes ago, a2knet said:

10.4m is a 24.36% drop. MJ1 dropped 24.2%.

Even with the actual numbers, the drop will be close to MJ1s.

MJ2's Mon-Thu hold from Sunday is marginally better than MJ1.

MJ2's hold from the OW is way better than MJ1.

[Webslinger]

The problem with The Good Dinosaur (insofar as there is a problem for a film that is doing pretty well, Pixar's track record aside) is that it wasn't really marketed as a major event. The teaser, which dropped just five months before release, didn't sell the film's concept in a particularly memorable way, and the marketing seemed quiet relative to Frozen and Inside Out.

[misafeco]

	MJ1	MJ2	%
Fri	55,14	45,58	82,66
Sat	40,91	33,84	82,73
Sun	25,85	23,25	89,92
1st weekend	121,90	102,67	84,22
Mon	8,98	8,54	95,12
Tue	12,13	11,36	93,60
Wed	14,62	13,75	94,05
Thu	11,08	10,40	93,86
1st week	168,71	146,71	86,96
Gross to date	168,71	146,71	86,96
Legs	1,38	1,43	103,25

[MrFanaticGuy34]

1 hour ago, Spaghetti said:

Creed looks on track for $25m+ this weekend. TGD looks to be the lowest 3-day weekend since A Bug's Life.

 

Creed: $30m

11/27: $11.8m (+83%)

11/28: $11.8m (--)

11/29: $6.4m (-46%)

 

Good Dinosaur: $41.2m

11/27: $16.4m (+147%)

11/28: $15.6m (-5%)

11/29: $9.2m (-41%)

 

Also, I definitely think Creed can beat TGD over weekdays next week.