Impact Posted May 17, 2012 Author Share Posted May 17, 2012 I am sure Avengers wont be nominated, even if it should be. TDKR will probably be, though it has to live up to TDK (which I know people will be disapointed by TDKR even if its the best film ever)Anyway my earliest predictions:BraveDark Knight RisesDjango UnchainedHobbitLawlessLife of PiLincolnThe MasterOne ShotSome movie we don't know about yet (I am sure nobody had Artist at this point) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted May 17, 2012 Author Share Posted May 17, 2012 I wonder if Prometheus has a chance? Probably not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Any summer film is an extreme long shot. You need (in rough order): ( a ) a prestige factor (the people involved, ( b ) the sense that it's "about something" (more than just an adventure), ( c ) good critical reception, and ( d ) big box-office gross.AVENGERS gets C and D, but misses on A and B.PROMETHEUS and TDKR *might* get A and B, but C and D are still unknowns (though TDKR basically gets D unless a total catastrophe happens). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted May 17, 2012 Author Share Posted May 17, 2012 Actually Avengers does have a A, remember there are tons of Oscar nominees in the film Just saying Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 I'm not talking actors. ;)Otherwise every piece of crap Ben Kingsley appeared in might be a contender. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 I'd switch the places of the prestige factor and being "about something". None of the creatives behind The Help had much to their names. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 I'd switch the places of the prestige factor and being "about something". None of the creatives behind The Help had much to their names.That's true. On occasion, B can trump A if the subject is "important enough". So in that case, ZOMG WE WILL LEARN ABOUT RACISM was the most important factor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 As I've been saying forever, if tdkr is at least BB level, it'll be Nominated. For God's sake, D9 and the blind side were nominated and we had 9 nominees last year even with the new rule. Only way it misses is if it gets like a 50 RT score, and even then look at ELIC. I still think it's the Master's to lose at this point . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted May 17, 2012 Author Share Posted May 17, 2012 Jack and Jill should of won last year then since it did have Al PacinoAnd yeah I was playing as you could tell.Also-does any of this matter? If its Harvey Wienstien and/or Sean Penn doing a film about sitting on the toilet the Academy go nuts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Remember I do not think a lot of summer blockbuster will be the number 1 on a lot people's list this year. There is a lot of competition. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted May 18, 2012 Author Share Posted May 18, 2012 As I've been saying forever, if tdkr is at least BB level, it'll be Nominated. For God's sake, D9 and the blind side were nominated and we had 9 nominees last year even with the new rule. Only way it misses is if it gets like a 50 RT score, and even then look at ELIC. I still think it's the Master's to lose at this point .I liked both of those films :PAlso if the Master wins it be further proof Harvey is doing something with the Academy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 I wouldn't be surprised if TDKR snags a BP nom but Nolan gets snubbed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted May 18, 2012 Author Share Posted May 18, 2012 Right now I see for director:JacksonLee (Life of PI)SpielbergNolanAnd someone else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 (edited) I see:HooperJacksonNolanTarantinoWrightMaybe if Brave turns out great people will consider seriously pushing Mark Andrews Edited May 18, 2012 by tribefan695 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted May 18, 2012 Author Share Posted May 18, 2012 Flight is another film that could make it in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 I wouldn't be surprised if TDKR snags a BP nom but Nolan gets snubbed.Agreed I can't see happening. Nolan going have to do a small film to get a Best Director nomination. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted May 18, 2012 Author Share Posted May 18, 2012 You know, what would happen if Harvey got fired from the Oscars? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 I liked both of those films :PAlso if the Master wins it be further proof Harvey is doing something with the Academy Don't get me wrong, I liked them too, but no way bp level, especially blind side. As for the master winning. If it does I think it'll be more of a PTA is due kind of situation like NCFOM was for the Coens. Oh, and because it'll be great Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 I predict the winner will be a film that is entirely in sign language that nobody will watch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Also-does any of this matter? If its Harvey Wienstien and/or Sean Penn doing a film about sitting on the toilet the Academy go nuts Especially if Stephen Daldry directed it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
