ZOOTOPIA | 682.5 M overseas ● 1023.8 M worldwide

[Jason]

Overseas total updated to $630M.

 

Update: Domestic total also revised upwards to $328.2M, WW as of Sunday May 8 now $958.2M.

Edited May 9, 2016 by Jason

[Giesi]

I think IO's boxoffice performance is more mind-blowing to me, IO doesn't play it "safe" with some cute animals, and I really thought its abstract storytelling would alienate the audience. Nevertheless, Zootopia is an awesome movie and deserves the global success.

[cannastop]

1 hour ago, Giesi said:

I think IO's boxoffice performance is more mind-blowing to me, IO doesn't play it "safe" with some cute animals, and I really thought its abstract storytelling would alienate the audience. Nevertheless, Zootopia is an awesome movie and deserves the global success.

Well, I'm not an Inside Out fanboy, but I will say that its domestic performance clearly outshines Zootopia's, and it was a tougher sell.

 

But I don't think Zootopia played it safe, outside of telling the story with animals.

[Fullbuster]

I couldn't watch it and sad about it, it seems so good

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

I couldn't watch it and sad about it, it seems so good

Apparently, it's playing somewhere in France. It might be too far away for you, though.

[Fullbuster]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

Apparently, it's playing somewhere in France. It might be too far away for you, though.

Yep it's not playing around my place anymore. I'll catch up in a few months ^^

[movieboner]

How likely will it reach $1 billion worldwide? It's so close to that target, if Disney doesn't push it then they will miss a huge opportunity for another $1 billion grosser.

[cannastop]

8 minutes ago, movieboner said:

How likely will it reach $1 billion worldwide? It's so close to that target, if Disney doesn't push it then they will miss a huge opportunity for another $1 billion grosser.

Japan looks encouraging, I'll tell you that much.

[seduh]

It had a great hold in Japan, I still think it will reach the billion mark, just wait for a couple of weeks and we will be there

[Agafin]

Excellent hold for Zoo.

 

The yen has been weakening for a few days now though and if it persists, that will surely hurt Zoo.

[fastclock]

6 minutes ago, Agafin said:

Excellent hold for Zoo.

 

The yen has been weakening for a few days now though and if it persists, that will surely hurt Zoo.

 

I thought conversion is mostly done based on the opening day exchange rate?

 

At this point, don't go too much into details for these international results. Don't agonize with the numbers and don't get too pessimistic over numbers. Just enjoy the numbers when they come in. If it gets to $1B, that is great. If not, it is still pretty good result. 

[Planodisney]

Looking at other March animated releases, it's not hard to calculate that Zootopia will finish about 340 domestic almost on the nose.

That leaves 30 million from os including Japan that it will need as of today.

Have no idea if that's doable or not but that's the number.

[Olive]

If only this  had made 20M more in UK, 1B would be locked at this point.

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, Olive said:

If only this  had made 20M more in UK, 1B would be locked at this point.

If only a lot of things. Even a better release date might not have gotten that result.

[Planodisney]

The difference in current Venezuelan ER.

[cannastop]

Just now, Planodisney said:

The difference in current Venezuelan ER.

Or Russia ER. Or Argentina ER. Or the entire Eurozone ER. Or a bunch of other things.

[Planodisney]

It looks like 24 million more from Japan would guarantee 1 billion.

That would be a 51 million total.

Wonder what the chances are of that.  50/50?  40/60?

[NYer4Life]

I'm not understanding why so much is needed from Japan?

 

Zootopia is pretty much the first movie I've tracked WW grosses; however, didn't the movie make another $10+ million outside of Japan Worldwide last week?

 

Is the movie expected to fall off a cliff from this point forward outside of Japan and domestically?

 

Zootopia continues its upwards adjustment from $956.4 to $959 million today on boxofficemojo. (That's $3 million added in 3 days!)

 

The hold domestically has been great and can still add another $9-$11 million. That'd bring the total to $970 million.

 

Japan's holds look promising even with only about another $20 (total of around $47 million) million would bring the total to $990 million.

 

Arent the rest of the WW markets still expected to bring in more cash?! 

 

Then there's also still Turkey...

[LMAbacus]

18 minutes ago, NYer4Life said:

Arent the rest of the WW markets still expected to bring in more cash?!

 

Angry Birds is being released in most of Europe this week, and that'll likely put a severe crimp into its numbers.

Edited May 10, 2016 by LMAbacus

[Jason]

6 hours ago, movieboner said:

How likely will it reach $1 billion worldwide? It's so close to that target, if Disney doesn't push it then they will miss a huge opportunity for another $1 billion grosser.

 

Okay, so here's how Zootopia has been doing for the past few weeks:

 

Cume ($M) as of:	24-Apr		01-May		08-May
Domestic	316.4	(+9.0)	323.8	(+7.4)	328.2	(+4.4)
OS-Japan	588.1	(+11.8)	595.5	(+7.4)	602.1	(+6.6)
Japan	4.0		13.5		27.9
Total	908.5		932.8		958.2

 

I calculated OS-Japan by substracting Japan's total from the OS total. I didn't bother to show the weekly gain for Japan or the total since it isn't particularly meaningful.

 

Domestically, Zootopia's legs have been great so far, but it will lose screens with the Angry Birds release (May 20) and the dvd is coming out on June 7. I think a final domestic estimate of $336M is pretty reasonable.

 

Overseas holds have also been very good so far, but again, Angry Birds is releasing this week in many overseas territories. With most of the overseas territories not being individually tracked it's harder to predict future performance. However, I think there's a good chance we could get another $10M, for a total OS-Japan of $612M. This also doesn't include Turkey.

 

Turkey is opening June 10. Based on how other Disney animated films have done, $3M seems like a reasonable estimate.

 

I think these estimates are somewhat conservative, although I'd welcome feedback. They result in a total of $951M, requiring $49M total from Japan for $1B.

 

In the Japan thread, cannastop quoted Corpse: "[Zootopia's] chances of reaching the ¥5 billion ($45 million+) blockbuster milestone are very good."

 

At this point, I'd say that it's more likely than not that Zootopia will reach $1B.

 

 

Edited May 10, 2016 by Jason