Christmas Eve Awakens: SW 27.5-28.5m (Rth) So this is how Avatar dies, with thunderous applause

[Dementeleus]

Just now, CJ Ren said:

I am thinking the same. A good hold on MLK weekend is inevitable but after that it disappears fast.

 

Even then, it's still crossing a billion. With THE HOBBIT's multiplier it's at 996m.

[The Futurist]

13 minutes ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said:

It's been tracking with (or even surpassing) AVATAR's drops all week. Why would this day be an exception, especially since it was one of the biggest presale days (only below sneak previews and opening day).

 

That s the millions dollar question isn't it ?

 

This thing is gonna show a sign of weakness at some point, right.

 

Right ?

 

 

[terrestrial]

6 minutes ago, Ash Skywalker said:

PACK HOUSE My friend. We'll discuss more in the appropriate section.

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Scenes with BB-8 had got very good laughs. Han solo cameo got a huge applause,whistles. People LOVED IT. 

 

 

Hey, you finally got to see it!

Happy to hear you liked it. Fingers crossed we will get soon some first estimates for your country too!

[filmlover]

Just now, James said:

Using the epicness of a LOTR speech to describe some average franchise should be punishable by law

[Dementeleus]

1 minute ago, James said:

Using the epicness of a LOTR speech to describe some average franchise should be punishable by law

 

It's your loss you can't take in and embrace the beauty and power of the Force.  

[MJL]

[terrestrial]

5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

There already lots of sell-outs for the openers (in particular: The Big Short, Concussion, and Joy) and Star Wars for today and it isn't even noon yet. But then the openers aren't on any of the biggest screens and are only on one screen each, so...

 

Also: MERRY CHRISTMAS!

 

For which area did you check this? Lordmans deep tells another situation at 'his' theater (a bit), as in my impression of the formulation ~ busy, but not compareable to the earlier crazyness / numbers

[smerfy01]

13 minutes ago, Ash Skywalker said:

PACK HOUSE My friend. We'll discuss more in the appropriate section.

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Scenes with BB-8 had got very good laughs. Han solo cameo got a huge applause,whistles. People LOVED IT. 

 

I look forward to your TOTAL THEATER ENHANCED EXPERIENCE ^TM in the proper thread then

[Dark 33Legend of the Sith]

Just now, MJL said:

 

Lol.

 

James Cameron has probably already seen TFA 3 times in the theatre.

[filmlover]

I wanna see James Cameron's face when this thing takes down Avatar.

 

Meanwhile, I'm seeing Sisters and Concussion tomorrow. Merry Christmas!

[CJohn]

I am playing Uncharted 2 for 2 and a half hours now  

[The Panda]

8 minutes ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said:

 

Even then, it's still crossing a billion. With THE HOBBIT's multiplier it's at 996m.

 

Think about it... SW7 DOM Over every Hobbit movie WW!! 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, terrestrial said:

 

For which area did you check this? Lordmans deep tells another situation at 'his' theater (a bit), as in my impression of the formulation ~ busy, but not compareable to the earlier crazyness / numbers

It's only one theater really that happens to be closest by me. Granted, said theater (Cinemark Palace) is always a zoo (mostly because it's both a movie theater and a restaurant- the 6 biggest auditoriums have VIP balcony levels), so I'm not surprised there are already sell-outs for everything.

[smerfy01]

1 minute ago, The Panda Menace said:

 

Think about it... SW7 DOM Over every Hobbit movie WW!! 

Pshhh let's shoot for the moon. SW7 DOM over ROTK WW or bust!

[Ash Skywalker]

2 minutes ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said:

 

Glad to hear it's getting a good response in India. 

Mee too Absolutely Tele.
If one cares About CRITICS,they are in praise for it. Very positive reviews overall. GA reaction will be coming soon. Although i can see the reactions are over the roof. And all i can tell about B.O is, that it got good amount of screens -1280 [Dilwale-1800,Bajirao-2300] 

[druv10]

21 minutes ago, CJ Ren said:

Because... this has to stop at some point? Idk anymore Tele, this thing is too beastly to be true. I think Disney and Universal are just pulling JW and SW numbers from their asses. None of this is real. 

 

So we're in the Matrix? 

[terrestrial]

Hmmm, a part of the dom all time chart... for the next $100m results overtakes

 

6	Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace	Fox	$474,544,677	1999^
7	Star Wars	Fox	$460,998,007	1977^
8	Avengers: Age of Ultron	BV	$459,005,868	2015
9	The Dark Knight Rises	WB	$448,139,099	2012
10	Shrek 2	DW	$441,226,247	2004
11	E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial	Uni.	$435,110,554	1982^
12	The Hunger Games: Catching Fire	LGF	$424,668,047	2013
13	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest	BV	$423,315,812	2006
14	The Lion King	BV	$422,783,777	1994^
15	Toy Story 3	BV	$415,004,880	2010
16	Iron Man 3	BV	$409,013,994	2013
17	The Hunger Games	LGF	$408,010,692	2012
18	Spider-Man	Sony	$403,706,375	2002
19	Jurassic Park	Uni.	$402,453,882	1993^
20	Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen	P/DW	$402,111,870	2009
21	Frozen	BV	$400,738,009	2013
22	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$391,051,329	2015
23	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2	WB	$381,011,219	2011
24	Finding Nemo	BV	$380,843,261	2003^
25	Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith	Fox	$380,270,577	2005^
26	The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King	NL	$377,845,905	2003

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, LinksterAC said:

 

You're using an arbitrarily assumed "ceiling" of demand, and working backwards from that to posit heavier-than-Avatar drops.  

 

But doesn't it make more sense to let the evidence guide your analysis?  If there's a ceiling for demand, the drops (holds) so far clearly indicate that SW7 hasn't hit it. 

The ceiling is evident in BO history. 50m tickets

Is the mark for me where i say it can't sustain avatar hold. Referring to earlier post- Using current evidence bankrupted millions when buying houses at 30 times rent, double the norm, assuming it will continue to go. Throwing out a number on current evidence is more a projection than a prediction. I am predicting something, that's less obvious. 

Look, someone posted 120 and some replied what's the reason. I posted 159 and gave a reason. And gave it to prevent disappointed. 

The forums average OW predict ton was 230m. Bom an BO stated 230 as well and it outperformed. Many were thinking JWs 26m for monday, maybe 30m. Again short. Then 33% or more drop for thursday. Outperformed again. I was a little high on all of those days expecting get overperformance. Now Bom and BO are saying 178 and 167 and many here are jumping on the bandwagon. We have flipped. And I say look out!!! Beware of the kool-aid. 

[Dementeleus]

2 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

Hmmm, a part of the dom all time chart... for the next $100m results overtakes

 

6	Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace	Fox	$474,544,677	1999^
7	Star Wars	Fox	$460,998,007	1977^
8	Avengers: Age of Ultron	BV	$459,005,868	2015
9	The Dark Knight Rises	WB	$448,139,099	2012
10	Shrek 2	DW	$441,226,247	2004
11	E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial	Uni.	$435,110,554	1982^
12	The Hunger Games: Catching Fire	LGF	$424,668,047	2013
13	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest	BV	$423,315,812	2006
14	The Lion King	BV	$422,783,777	1994^
15	Toy Story 3	BV	$415,004,880	2010
16	Iron Man 3	BV	$409,013,994	2013
17	The Hunger Games	LGF	$408,010,692	2012
18	Spider-Man	Sony	$403,706,375	2002
19	Jurassic Park	Uni.	$402,453,882	1993^
20	Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen	P/DW	$402,111,870	2009
21	Frozen	BV	$400,738,009	2013
22	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$391,051,329	2015
23	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2	WB	$381,011,219	2011
24	Finding Nemo	BV	$380,843,261	2003^
25	Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith	Fox	$380,270,577	2005^
26	The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King	NL	$377,845,905	2003

 

It'll pass most of those today.  

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

However today turns out, be happy! If it comes in at $45 million because supply has started to meet demand or $65 million because it's an anomalous freak of a movie, just enjoy what we're seeing. Personally I'm banking on $53 million today for a $160 million weekend, though I'm hoping BOM's prediction of $178 million+ holds true.

 

Merry Christmas everyone!