keysersoze123 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 7 minutes ago, FTF said: No doubt? I mean it could, but there's a lot of doubt. its logical considering its critical and bo reception. it would be hard to ignore. Avatar made it and it was no masterpiece(critical reception was weaker). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 25 minutes ago, Clef Ment said: I think Disney would be happy to have the "First movie to reach $1B DOM". As I am pretty sure a $1b movie would get laid under a microscope by anti-fans for searching for faults and am guessing Disney is aware of that... (see the $100m OW by a competitor not that far in the past) I am having doubts they would do that based on that alone. But as they seem to be not typical / known as to fudge, I doubt that anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) If Mad Max, TFA, and Stallone all get noms it would probably be the most interested I'd be in the Oscars since ever. Edited December 30, 2015 by Orestes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Sorry, but I just don't see how this movie does, minimum, 730m in 3 weeks but can't manage another 270m to hit 1b over the coarse of another 2-3 months. This movie will play in theaters well into March. It's doing a Billion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 when was the last time the highest grossing film of all time missed a nom? research time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 lol, somehow BP was a new hopes only nomination, the academy elitists doing what the do best 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 BOM just updated a bunch of foreign territories. It seems Venezuela is the 1st territory where TFA passed Avatar. Ven updated to 9.2 mil much more than the 5.1 mil Avatar had or the 6 mil Titanic had. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTF Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 2 minutes ago, B J said: lol, somehow BP was a new hopes only nomination, the academy elitists doing what the do best lol you just jinxed it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MasterDodsen Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 4 minutes ago, B J said: when was the last time the highest grossing film of all time missed a nom? research time. There was a little Batman movie in 2008 that missed a Best Picture nomination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSoxRox Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) Jurassic Park had only technical nominations, but it also only had the worldwide record. Domestically, it was still #2 behind ET (which was nominated). Edited December 30, 2015 by ChiSoxRox Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 2 minutes ago, MasterDodsen said: There was a little Batman movie in 2008 that missed a Best Picture nomination. Wasn't the highest grossing movie of all time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 1 minute ago, MasterDodsen said: There was a little Batman movie in 2008 that missed a Best Picture nomination. was not the highest grossing movie all time and that unacceptable snub is the reason I will never watch another asscar broadcast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 19 minutes ago, DAR said: Fargo was easily the best thing on tv the last two years I got three episodes left of season 2, I'm really excited to finish it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harpospoke Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 I love the Oscars for a couple of reasons. One being that it proves every year art can't be measured for quality. The post show reactions are always "They got it wrong!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) since the academy started every film to become the best U.S. BO hit has indeed been nominated for BP. Timeline of the highest-grossing film record Established Title Record setting gross Reference(s) 1915[50] The Birth of a Nation $5,200,000R [# 89] 1940 $15,000,000R‡ [# 295] 1940[24] Gone with the Wind $32,000,000R [# 296] 1963 $67,000,000R‡ [# 297] 1966[50] The Sound of Music $114,600,000R [# 211] 1971[50] Gone with the Wind $116,000,000R‡ [# 298] 1972[50] The Godfather $127,600,000–142,000,000R [# 238][# 299] 1976[73][74] Jaws $193,700,000R [# 250] 1978[75][76] Star Wars $410,000,000/$268,500,000R [# 300][# 238] 1982 $530,000,000 ‡ [# 255] 1983[77] E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial $619,000,000–664,000,000 [# 255][# 266] 1993 $701,000,000 ‡ [# 301] 1993[50] Jurassic Park $914,691,118 [# 35] 1998[78] Titanic $1,843,201,268 [# 3] 2010[79][80] Avatar $2,749,064,328 [# 1] $2,787,965,087 ‡ Edited December 30, 2015 by B J 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSoxRox Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) So worldwide, the only new top film not nominated for Best Picture was Jurassic Park. (Spielberg still won Best Director for Schindler's List.) Domestically, it'd have to be before Gone With the Wind. (GWTW --> Jaws --> Star Wars --> ET --> Titanic --> Avatar iirc) Edited December 30, 2015 by ChiSoxRox 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Case rested, The Force Awakens will be nominated fo sho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 2 minutes ago, B J said: Timeline of the highest-grossing film record Established Title Record setting gross Reference(s) 1915[50] The Birth of a Nation $5,200,000R [# 89] 1940 $15,000,000R‡ [# 295] 1940[24] Gone with the Wind $32,000,000R [# 296] 1963 $67,000,000R‡ [# 297] 1966[50] The Sound of Music $114,600,000R [# 211] 1971[50] Gone with the Wind $116,000,000R‡ [# 298] 1972[50] The Godfather $127,600,000–142,000,000R [# 238][# 299] 1976[73][74] Jaws $193,700,000R [# 250] 1978[75][76] Star Wars $410,000,000/$268,500,000R [# 300][# 238] 1982 $530,000,000 ‡ [# 255] 1983[77] E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial $619,000,000–664,000,000 [# 255][# 266] 1993 $701,000,000 ‡ [# 301] 1993[50] Jurassic Park $914,691,118 [# 35] 1998[78] Titanic $1,843,201,268 [# 3] 2010[79][80] Avatar $2,749,064,328 [# 1] $2,787,965,087 ‡ And with the exception of BON and JP the rest received a BP nod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 More analysis! This time an in-depth look at Avatar and Jurassic WorldAvatar 2nd week, 3rd weekend: $70.91 million / $68.49 million = $139.4 million 3rd week, 4th weekend: $28.43 million / $50.31 million = $78.74 million 4th week, 5th weekend: $19.62 million / $42.79 million = $62.41 million 5th week, 6th weekend: $23.55 million / $34.94 million = $58.49 million Weekday drops, week over week: 60% from Week 2 to Week 3, 31% from Week 3 to 4 and it gained 20% from Week 4 to 5 (Monday is holiday) Weekend drops, week over week: 27% from 3rd to 4th, 15% from 4th to 5th, and 18% from 5th to 6th. Jurassic World 2nd week, 3rd weekend: $43.04 million / $54.53 million = $97.57 million 3rd week, 4th weekend: $26.93 million / $29.24 million = $56.17 million 4th week, 5th weekend: $15.99 million / $18.15 million = $34.14 million 5th week, 6th weekend: $9.08 million / $11.46 million = $20.54 million Weekday drops, week over week: 37% from Week 2 to 3, 41% from week 3 to 4 and 41% from Week 5 to 6 Weekend drops, week over week: 54% from 3rd to 4th, 38% from 4th to 5th, and 37% from 5th to 6th. Now, lets say TFA splits the difference in these drops (It's a December/Holiday release like Avatar but's more front loaded like Jurassic World). Assuming a $108 million 2nd week and $92 million 3rd weekend for TFA, we get the following results...... 2nd week, 3rd weekend: $108 million / $92 million = $200 million 3rd week, 4th weekend: $52.5 million / $59.5 million = $112 million 4th week, 5th weekend: $33.8 million / $45.6 million = $79.4 million 5th week, 6th weekend: $31 million / $34.7 million = $65.7 million Through 10 days, TFA was at $540 million (give or take). My numbers put us at $997 million through 38 days. I'm more thoroughly convinced than ever that we are hitting $1 billion. Hope ya'll enjoyed my estimations and analysis 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSoxRox Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Also, good lord Birth of a Nation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...