Weekend Thread | The Jungle Book - Early Weekend Estimates 101m - 103m (DHD - Page 59) (Fri 32m, Sat 41.5m-42m) | RTH Saturday Early Est = 40-44M (Page 46) | Barbershop TNC - Est 20.4m (DHD) | Boss -59% | Hardcore Henry epic -71%

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, stripe said:

So tired/bored with all those BvS discussions. Why the necessity to still talk about it? Everything about that movie is meh for me, from quality to BO.

BvS's run is amazing in the polar opposite way  of zoo , less than 2x OW vs greater than 4x.  People are still talking about zoo, why not bvs.

[GiantCALBears]

Disney stock> $100. Made a quick double on my options I bought Friday thanks to Jungle Book. Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!

[The Futurist]

12 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

BvS's run is amazing in the polar opposite way  of zoo , less than 2x OW vs greater than 4x.  People are still talking about zoo, why not bvs.

 

Logic.

They hates it.

[MCKillswitch123]

So we've just seen the 3rd 100M+ debutant of the year, after Deadpool and BVS. Currently, the record of most 100M openers is being held by last year w/6 (Star Wars, Jurassic World, Age Of Ultron, Furious 7, Minions and Mockingjay 2). W/half that number matched without even breaking into Summer season, is it safe to say that 2016 will comfortably break that record? We've already got Deadpool, BVS and Jungle Book. Civil War, Finding Dory and Rogue One are locks for 100M+ too. So, w/a few breakouts here or there (I'm imagining something like Suicide Squad, or maybe, just maybe, Independence Day), it could become #1.

[CJohn]

Just now, MCKillswitch123 said:

So we've just seen the 3rd 100M+ debutant of the year, after Deadpool and BVS. Currently, the record of most 100M openers is being held by last year w/6 (Star Wars, Jurassic World, Age Of Ultron, Furious 7, Minions and Mockingjay 2). W/half that number matched without even breaking into Summer season, is it safe to say that 2016 will comfortably break that record? We've already got Deadpool, BVS and Jungle Book. Civil War, Finding Dory and Rogue One are locks for 100M+ too. So, w/a few breakouts here or there (I'm imagining something like Suicide Squad, or maybe, just maybe, Independence Day), it could become #1.

Rogue One is not a lock. Not even Finding Dory. Only Civil War.

 

With this I am not saying those won't make 100M OW, I am pretty sure they will. I am just saying they are not locks. 

 

[MCKillswitch123]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

Rogue One is not a lock. Not even Finding Dory. Only Civil War.

 

With this I am not saying those won't make 100M OW, I am pretty sure they will. I am just saying they are not locks. 

 

 

I disagree w/that, I think they are locks indeed. Finding Dory is the sequel to one of the most beloved animation films of all time, has a heavy nostalgiarific feel to it thanks to the 13 years of distance from Nemo (TS3 was separated 11 years from TS2, and that didn't hurt it), will probably have TONS of publicity steeming from Ellen alone, and it's by far the biggest animation tentpole of the year. Whereas Rogue One... it has Star Wars in the name. And it has Darth Vader in it. That's all you need to know.

 

We'll just agree to disagree, though 

[Merkel]

I agree, Dory and Rogue One are as locked for a 100M OW as they come

[La Binoche]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya  5m5 minutes ago

#TheJungleBook bit above what #Disney projected. SUN off just 25% from SAT. Towering $104M opening wknd + solid buzz going forward

[MCKillswitch123]

Not that much of a rise, but still a rise, so

[Jonwo]

11 hours ago, tribefan695 said:

Antz made 170 mil worldwide on a 105 mil budget. If it's a "moderate success" then so is The Good Dinosaur

 

 

That must have lost money for Dreamworks, luckily The Prince of Egypt which cost less made more money. 

[Ethan Hunt]

1 hour ago, ThatOneGuy said:

So, a bit off topic, but I think I've found a pretty good way to predict scores for movies on RT before they get released.  Basically, it works like this:

 

-Compile together every director, writer (only counting people who wrote the final script), producer, and main 6 leading actors in the film.

-Go through each of their filmographies.  Give a point whenever a film they produced, wrote, directed, or acted in got a positive score on RT.  Give a penalty point (-1) when there was a negative score.

-Don't count TV series, TV movies, films labeled as "video" on IMDb, non-theatrical documentaries, or films where they were uncredited in.  If it says "additional screenplay material" for a writer or something like that, it's still fair game.

-If the film doesn't have a score and has no reviews, no points will be added or removed.  However, the film still does not count if there's 4 or less reviews.  There has to be at least 5.

-If a film ends in the positive numbers, then that means it ends being fresh.  If it's in the negative numbers, it ends being rotten.

 

This might not end up being perfect, but it's worth a shot.  If you guys want me to try this out on any future films, then please let me know.

 

[EmpireCity]

21 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Rogue One is not a lock. Not even Finding Dory. Only Civil War.

 

With this I am not saying those won't make 100M OW, I am pretty sure they will. I am just saying they are not locks. 

 

 

Rogue One is the most stone cold lock of the entire list.  

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, nilephelan said:

 

Rogue One is the most stone cold lock of the entire list.  

It is my opinion. Nobody is forced to agree with it.

[Mojoguy]

Can someone fix the topic's title?

It is REALLY hard to read. Just initials for the movies and numbers would be fine.

Edited April 18, 2016 by Mojoguy

[EmpireCity]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

It is my opinion. Nobody is forced to agree with it.

 

I know that.  You can put mine down as opinion and fact though.  Rogue One is a lock for a $100m opening.  

[SWXII]

Rogue is a lock for 100M opening weekend.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Would think all 3 are a lock for 100m OW. Well, maybe Dory only has a 99% chance 

Edited April 18, 2016 by Jayhawk

[EmpireCity]

1 minute ago, SWXII said:

Rogue is a lock for 100M opening weekend.

 

Dory is as well.  Inside Out opened to $90m and Dory has a lot more buzz and awareness going for it and it will only go up in the next 2 months.  

[Ethan Hunt]

Dory is locked. 

[GiantCALBears]

1 minute ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Dory is locked. 

 

If TJB could do $104m OW, floor for Dory would be $125m at a min.