MEH-MORIAL DAY WEEKEND BOX OFFICE | Abandon all hope, the box office is dead. 3 day weekend #s X-Men 65M, Alice 28.1M, Angry Birds 18.7M, Civil War 15.1M, Neighbors 9.1M. Bad openings, horrible holdovers.

[Fancyarcher]

3 minutes ago, DAR said:

Can't be worse than the original.

 

The original's pretty mediocre. The remake doesn't even look like it's following the original at all, so I'd say that's a fair point.

Edited May 27, 2016 by Daniel Dylan Davis

[WrathOfHan]

My top 15 from the summer game:

 
1) Captain America: Civil War: 550M
2) Finding Dory: 460M 
3) Suicide Squad: 280M
4) The Secret Life of Pets: 270M
5) Jason Bourne: 250M
6) X-Men Apocalypse: 220M

7) Independence Day Resurgence: 180M
8) Star Trek Beyond: 170M
9) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows: 155M

10) Alice Through the Looking Glass: 140M

11) The Conjuring 2: 135M
12) Ice Age Collision Course: 130M
13) Central Intelligence: 125M
14) The BFG: 120M

15) The Angry Birds Movie: 115M

 

I shouldn't have put Alice back in, but at least pretty much everyone else is getting screwed on that. BFG is going to screw me too.

[CJohn]

5 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

In retrospect, it is now pretty clear that Alice rode the 3D wave post Avatar WW. Same with HTTYD (which granted, had some amazing 3D effects and was actually a really good movie) and Clash of the titans which both fell with their sequels.

Yup, those 3 movies got lucky to be the main trio in the format after Avatar.

[JohnnyGossamer]

6 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

In retrospect, it is now pretty clear that Alice rode the 3D wave post Avatar WW. Same with HTTYD (which granted, had some amazing 3D effects and was actually a really good movie) and Clash of the titans which both fell with their sequels.

I kind of thought that was always clear. But, this just cements it. Agreed.

[Krissykins]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

My top 15 from the summer game:

 
1) Captain America: Civil War: 550M
2) Finding Dory: 460M 
3) Suicide Squad: 280M
4) The Secret Life of Pets: 270M
5) Jason Bourne: 250M
6) X-Men Apocalypse: 220M

7) Independence Day Resurgence: 180M
8) Star Trek Beyond: 170M
9) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows: 155M

10) Alice Through the Looking Glass: 140M

11) The Conjuring 2: 135M
12) Ice Age Collision Course: 130M
13) Central Intelligence: 125M
14) The BFG: 120M

15) The Angry Birds Movie: 115M

 

I shouldn't have put Alice back in, but at least pretty much everyone else is getting screwed on that. BFG is going to screw me too.

 

I think $280m is a bit high for a film called SUICIDE Squad.

 

It looks incredible. But...families.

[Chewy]

7 minutes ago, DAR said:

Alice 1 is still one of those films where its success completely vexed me.

 

First 3D release post-Avatar

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Krissykins said:

 

I think $280m is a bit high for a film called SUICIDE Squad.

 

It looks incredible. But...families.

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, DAR said:

I am getting a feeling that Central Intelligence could be a 22 Jump Street level hit.

Even my mom thinks it looks hilarious. Gonna be huge.

[grim22]

3 minutes ago, DAR said:

I am getting a feeling that Central Intelligence could be a 22 Jump Street level hit.

 

I am expecting a 50M OW from that. Kevin Hart and The Rock alone can open movies to 20-30M as evidenced by The Wedding Ringer and Hercules. This is a two-hander and they both bring in their own fanbases, adding to that the movie is the first big comedy of summer as well.

[Krissykins]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

HA! Good point!

[cookie]

Can't see Suicide Squad do more than $200m tbh.

[DAR]

2 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

First 3D release post-Avatar

Yeah, I'm looking from the spectrum of it was terrible

[John Marston]

First Alice was also the first big release of 2010, had Depp and Burton when their names still meant something and also kicked off the live action fairy tale trend 

[mahnamahna]

25 minutes ago, Chewy said:

oh god, why did i go so high on X-Men. I knew it was dropping.

 

And the BFG, lol. Damn you Spielberg

 

1) Captain America: Civil War 450
2) Finding Dory 375
3) Secret Life of Pets 305
4) Suicide Squad 300
5) X-Men Apocalypse 245
6) Independence Day: Roland's Reckoning 215
7) Jason Bourne 185
8) Star Trek Beyond 165
9) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 150
10) Ghostbusters 145

11) Central Intelligence 125
12) The BFG 125
13) Legend of Tarzan 115
14) Angry Birds 105
15) Warcraft 98

 

Not too bad of a predict. I'd bump Tarzan and Warcraft for Pete's Dragon and The Founder. Less competition in August, and I've got a feeling both will get decent WOM, going into Labor Day weekend. I also think Central Intelligence will be the breakout hit/comedy of Summer 2016 ($175 million+ DOM). 

 

Didn't play Summer Game, but my top 15 would go like this (based on Memorial Day Weekend): 

1. Finding Dory: $445 million 
2. Captain America - Civil War: $420 million 
3. Suicide Squad: $315 million 
4. The Secret Lives of Pets: $275 million 
5. Central Intelligence: $225 million 
6. Independence Day - Resurgence: $215 million 
7. Star Trek Beyond: $190 million
8. X-Men - Apocalypse: $185 million 
9. Jason Bourne: $165 million 
10. The Angry Birds Movie: $135 million 
11. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - Out of the Shadows: $125 million 
12. Pete's Dragon: $115 million 
13. Ghostbusters: $110 million
14. The BFG: $105 million 
15. The Conjuring 2: $100 million 

 

 

[Ethan Hunt]

11 minutes ago, DAR said:

I am getting a feeling that Central Intelligence could be a 22 Jump Street level hit.

Maybe 21 J-Street. Can't quite see 22

[filmlover]

I really liked the first Alice (sue me) but it didn't need a sequel, especially one as untimely as this is by a good 3-4 years. 

[Ethan Hunt]

The first Alice is okay

[John Marston]

I think most has X men over 200m and that likely won't happen 

[Chewy]

Just now, John Marston said:

I think most has X men over 200m and that likely won't happen 

 

Yep, clearly won't have the wom the last two had

 

And they weren't exactly leggy to begin with

[RichWS]

26 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Deadline and their love of Cinemascore

 

 

Extrapolating based on CinemaScore is so dumb, I almost admire them for continuing to do every week.