Monday #s SS about 1.05-1.1

[WrathOfHan]

I need this to hit 300M so I can get a fuckload of point in CSG 

[a2k]

If SS does 300 by LD after a 9m 3-day (12m 4-day) then a 45% drop from the 3-day weekend will give 4.95 6th weekend.

45% sounds less for a post holiday drop but movies dropped less than that in 2014 and 2015. (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2015&wknd=37&p=.htm)

 

So 300 + 1.35 (Tue-Thu : -80% Tue, -35% Wed, -10% Thu) + 4.95 (6th weekend) = 306.3

That would put it on track for around 320 give or take a couple.

Edited August 30, 2016 by a2knet

[abra]

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
-	(8)	Bad Moms	STX Entertainment	$545,410	-60%	2,565	$213	$95,812,478	32

[abra]

Daily Domestic Chart for Monday August 29th, 2016

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Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
-	(3)	Kubo and the Two Strings	Focus Features	$660,106	-73%	3,279	$201	$25,516,306	11
-	(6)	Mechanic: Resurrection	Lionsgate	$634,899	-69%	2,258	$281	$8,091,424	4
-	(8)	Bad Moms	STX Entertainment	$545,410	-60%	2,565	$213	$95,812,478	32
-	(9)	Jason Bourne	Universal	$432,850	-67%	2,445	$177	$149,701,130	32
-	(11)	The Secret Life of Pets	Universal	$374,865	-68%	2,091	$179	$353,715,050	53
-	(12)	Hell or High Water	Lionsgate	$362,289	-64%	909	$399	$8,753,319	18
-	(-)	Nine Lives	EuropaCorp	$43,505	-73%	532	$82	$18,287,025	25
-	(-)	Ice Age: Collision Course	20th Century Fox	$41,874	-75%	455	$92	$61,759,015	39

[Kathemy]

$320m domestic would be pretty fantastic for SS. I agree, 700m is a lock.

[TalismanRing]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

If SS does 300 by LD after a 9m 3-day (12m 4-day) then a 45% drop from the 3-day weekend will give 4.95 6th weekend.

45% sounds less for a post holiday drop but movies dropped less than that in 2014 and 2015. (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2015&wknd=37&p=.htm)

 

So 300 + 1.35 (Tue-Thu : -80% Tue, -35% Wed, -10% Thu) + 4.95 (6th weekend) = 306.3

That would put it on track for around 320 give or take a couple.

 

The issue is this Sept has a lot more competition than GOTG did and all these wide openers will be grabbing screens

[a2k]

320 d/405 os/725 ww for SS probably? With those numbers you feel with China 800 could have happened.

[Kathemy]

Just having Suicide Squad beat Man of Steel is rather epic to be honest.

[AHepBurn]

53 minutes ago, a2knet said:

320 d/405 os/725 ww for SS probably? With those numbers you feel with China 800 could have happened.

I think those numbers are $5mil - $10mil too high and I don't feel like Suicide Squad would necessarily play well in China. But considering BvS hit $95mil in China, if SS played like a CBM there I would say yes with those numbers.

[Krissykins]

Monday drops are shockingly bad for all releases.

 

September has arrived! 

[BluRayHiDef]

1 hour ago, Kathemy said:

Just having Suicide Squad beat Man of Steel is rather epic to be honest.

 

Not necessarily considering that ticket prices are more expensive today than they were when MOS was released. 

[TalismanRing]

Daily Domestic Chart for Monday August 29th, 2016

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Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Don’t Breathe	Sony Pictures	$2,346,558	-64%	3,501	$670	$28,758,264	4
2	(2)	Suicide Squad	Warner Bros.	$1,061,144	-69%	3,582	$296	$284,082,210	25
3	(5)	Sausage Party	Sony Pictures	$807,222	-61%	3,135	$257	$80,676,387	18
4	(7)	War Dogs	Warner Bros.	$703,864	-65%	3,258	$216	$28,228,808	11
5	(3)	Kubo and the Two Strings	Focus Features	$660,106	-73%	3,279	$201	$25,516,306	11
6	(6)	Mechanic: Resurrection	Lionsgate	$634,899	-69%	2,258	$281	$8,091,424	4
7	(4)	Pete’s Dragon	Walt Disney	$607,387	-72%	3,244	$187	$55,482,223	18
8	(8)	Bad Moms	STX Entertainment	$545,410	-60%	2,565	$213	$95,812,478	32
9	(9)	Jason Bourne	Universal	$432,850	-67%	2,445	$177	$149,701,130	32
10	(10)	Ben-Hur	Paramount Pictures	$432,223	-67%	3,084	$140	$20,015,925	11
11	(11)	The Secret Life of Pets	Universal	$374,865	-68%	2,091	$179	$353,715,050	53
12	(12)	Hell or High Water	Lionsgate	$362,289	-64%	909	$399	$8,753,319	18
13	(13)	Florence Foster Jenkins	Paramount Pictures	$332,017	-60%	1,324	$251	$20,152,838	18
14	(15)	Star Trek Beyond	Paramount Pictures	$221,531	-65%	1,277	$173	$151,113,111	39
15	(-)	Hands of Stone	Weinstein Co.	$152,105	-69%	810	$188	$1,903,493	4
-	(-)	Finding Dory	Walt Disney	$72,396	-58%	345	$210	$479,673,179	74
-	(-)	Lights Out	Warner Bros.	$53,849	-65%	603	$89	$65,522,444	39
-	(-)	Ghostbusters	Sony Pictures	$52,583	-64%	434	$121	$125,008,736	46
-	(-)	Nine Lives	EuropaCorp	$43,505	-73%	532	$82	$18,287,025	25
-	(-)	Ice Age: Collision Course	20th Century Fox	$41,874	-75%	455	$92	$61,759,015	39
-	(-)	Nerve	Lionsgate	$40,207	-65%	455	$88	$36,828,173	34
-	(-)	Café Society	Lionsgate	$38,569	-61%	216	$179	$10,027,574	46
-	(-)	The Jungle Book	Walt Disney	$30,567	-70%	352	$87	$363,588,872	137
-	(-)	The Legend of Tarzan	Warner Bros.	$27,394	-66%	288	$95	$125,928,302	60
-	(-)	The BFG	Walt Disney	$26,876	-67%	235	$114	$54,346,502	60
-	(-)	Captain Fantastic	Bleecker Street	$22,321	-71%	122	$183	$5,064,152	53
-	(-)	Anthropoid	Bleecker Street	$14,951	-63%	124	$121	$2,780,286	18
-	(-)	Central Intelligence	Warner Bros.	$14,451	-72%	206	$70	$127,394,512	74
-	(-)	A Tale of Love and Darkness	Focus World	$11,645	-67%	26	$448	$177,910	11
-	(-)	Captain America: Civil War	Walt Disney	$9,292	-62%	93	$100	$407,840,414	116
-	(-)	Mike and Dave Need Wedding …	20th Century Fox	$7,769	-53%	94	$83	$45,736,861	53
-	(-)	Hillary’s America: The Se…	Quality Flix	$7,453	-59%	80	$93	$12,481,625	46
-	(-)	Independence Day: Resurgence	20th Century Fox	$6,159	-66%	112	$55	$102,878,417	67
-	(-)	Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie	Fox Searchlight	$5,212	-52%	38	$137	$4,660,667	39
-	(-)	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle…	Paramount Pictures	$2,576	-84%	73	$35	$81,990,192	88
-	(-)	Swiss Army Man	A24	$1,389	+86%	7	$198	$4,182,740	67
-	(-)	Morris from America	A24	$1,352	-61%	9	$150	$36,840	11
-	(-)	Gleason	Open Road	$1,072	-73%	35	$31	$577,661	32
-	(-)	Alice Through the Looking G…	Walt Disney	$906	-71%	25	$36	$77,038,541	95
-	(-)	Sea of Trees	A24	$411	-16%	2	$206	$2,288	4

[miketheavenger]

3 hours ago, BluRayHiDef said:

 

Not necessarily considering that ticket prices are more expensive today than they were when MOS was released. 

It's been just three years, so the difference isn't that big. But I think Kathemy meant that a movie about completely unknown characters (save for Joker and a Batman cameo) is gonna make more than a Superman film, which is a great achievement for it.

[Brainiac5]

35 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

It's been just three years, so the difference isn't that big. But I think Kathemy meant that a movie about completely unknown characters (save for Joker and a Batman cameo) is gonna make more than a Superman film, which is a great achievement for it.

I believe in today's market Man of Steel would have made 305mil domestic.

Or something close to it but definitely over 300.

[baumer]

5 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Monday drops are shockingly bad for all releases.

 

September has arrived! 

 

They are pretty much in line with other years......there's nothing really bad about the drops.  

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2014-08-25&track=marvel2014a.htm&p=.htm

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2015-08-31&track=minions.htm

[Fancyarcher]

1 hour ago, miketheavenger said:

It's been just three years, so the difference isn't that big. But I think Kathemy meant that a movie about completely unknown characters (save for Joker and a Batman cameo) is gonna make more than a Superman film, which is a great achievement for it.

 

The film was sold heavily on Joker and Batman was featured in all the trailers, so I'm not sure it's a great achievement per-say, it is a pretty dang good number though.

[Johnny Tran]

A movie with a 27% on RT legging it out to $300M+ is quite the achievement and says that the audience for this either didn't pay attention to the reviews or simply didn't care. That is if you believe critics have an impact

Edited August 31, 2016 by Johnny Tran

[UrosepsisFace]

50 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:

A movie with a 27% on RT legging it out to $300M+ is quite the achievement and says that the audience for this either didn't pay attention to the reviews or simply didn't care. That is if you believe critics have an impact

 

Critics definitely had an impact. How much of an impact though? Other factors were just stronger. I can't wait till Wonder Woman to see the large second weekend drop and the continued cries of the "sky is falling" next year followed by another 160m+ post-OW performance.

[Brainiac5]

1 hour ago, UrosepsisFace said:

 

Critics definitely had an impact. How much of an impact though? Other factors were just stronger. I can't wait till Wonder Woman to see the large second weekend drop and the continued cries of the "sky is falling" next year followed by another 160m+ post-OW performance.

I believe WW will do 303 domestic off an 100mil o.w. It will be DC's first flim to earn an 3x.

I'm hoping JL has that 200mil o.w that I was hoping BVS would do.

[Krissykins]

6 hours ago, Baumer loves Oogieloves said:

 

They are pretty much in line with other years......there's nothing really bad about the drops.  

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2014-08-25&track=marvel2014a.htm&p=.htm

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2015-08-31&track=minions.htm

 

This is the first Monday we've had 60%+ drops across the board. Comparing to rest of summer. 

 

Thats why I said September is coming.