Weekend Actuals: Sully 35M, WTBB 14.2M, DB 8.25M, SS 5.72M

[a2k]

So SP will be ~8 away from 100 after a ~2 weekend.

 

Spectre was ~6 away from 200 after a 1.4 weekend. Next weekend SP will be in a similar/slightly worse position. 1-1.2 weekend and ~6 away from 100.

 

Dec 18–20	11	$1,433,957	-64.6%	1,225	-1,415	$1,171	$193,910,089	7
Dec 25–27	21	$887,122	-38.1%	372	-853	$2,385	$196,268,667	8

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Jan 1–3	19	$730,706	-17.6%	331	-41	$2,208	$197,833,291	9
Jan 8–10	20	$403,519	-44.8%	379	+48	$1,065	$198,500,048	10
Jan 15–17	25	$291,401	-27.8%	288	-91	$1,012	$198,951,014	11
Jan 15–18	25	$351,289	-12.9%	288	-91	$1,220	$199,010,902	11
Jan 22–24	30	$170,228	-41.6%	217	-71	$784	$199,270,555	12
Jan 29–31	39	$132,751	-22.0%	195	-22	$681	$199,475,816	13
Feb 5–7	43	$67,322	-49.3%	115	-80	$585	$199,591,466	14
Feb 12–14	51	$37,813	-43.8%	47	-68	$805	$199,658,147	15
Feb 12–15	50	$42,473	-36.9%	47	-68	$904	$199,662,807	15
Feb 19–21	37	$108,423	+187%	340	+293	$319	$199,778,275	16
Feb 26–28	59	$23,156	-78.6%	92	-248	$252	$199,847,683	17
Mar 4–6	54	$29,757	+28.5%	63	-29	$472	$199,890,642	18
Mar 11–13	51	$41,979	+41.1%	16	-47	$2,624	$199,948,480	19
Mar 18–20	52	$44,791	+6.7%	9	-7	$4,977	$200,011,902	20
Mar 25–27	49	$39,235	-12.4%	14	+5	$2,803	$200,069,186	21
Apr 1–3	77	$4,600	-88.3%	5	-9	$920	$200,074,175	22

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

So SP will be ~8 away from 100 after a ~2 weekend.

 

Spectre was ~6 away from 200 after a 1.4 weekend. Next weekend SP will be in a similar/slightly worse position. 1-1.2 weekend and ~6 away from 100.

 

Dec 18–20	11	$1,433,957	-64.6%	1,225	-1,415	$1,171	$193,910,089	7
Dec 25–27	21	$887,122	-38.1%	372	-853	$2,385	$196,268,667	8

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Jan 1–3	19	$730,706	-17.6%	331	-41	$2,208	$197,833,291	9
Jan 8–10	20	$403,519	-44.8%	379	+48	$1,065	$198,500,048	10
Jan 15–17	25	$291,401	-27.8%	288	-91	$1,012	$198,951,014	11
Jan 15–18	25	$351,289	-12.9%	288	-91	$1,220	$199,010,902	11
Jan 22–24	30	$170,228	-41.6%	217	-71	$784	$199,270,555	12
Jan 29–31	39	$132,751	-22.0%	195	-22	$681	$199,475,816	13
Feb 5–7	43	$67,322	-49.3%	115	-80	$585	$199,591,466	14
Feb 12–14	51	$37,813	-43.8%	47	-68	$805	$199,658,147	15
Feb 12–15	50	$42,473	-36.9%	47	-68	$904	$199,662,807	15
Feb 19–21	37	$108,423	+187%	340	+293	$319	$199,778,275	16
Feb 26–28	59	$23,156	-78.6%	92	-248	$252	$199,847,683	17
Mar 4–6	54	$29,757	+28.5%	63	-29	$472	$199,890,642	18
Mar 11–13	51	$41,979	+41.1%	16	-47	$2,624	$199,948,480	19
Mar 18–20	52	$44,791	+6.7%	9	-7	$4,977	$200,011,902	20
Mar 25–27	49	$39,235	-12.4%	14	+5	$2,803	$200,069,186	21
Apr 1–3	77	$4,600	-88.3%	5	-9	$920	$200,074,175	22

 

Yeah, but Spectre had the greatest fudgejob in history to help it out.

 

SP will need quite the erection to outfudge the Fudgeasaurus itself in Spectre.

[baumer]

3 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Looking at CP and BoS, it should do a little more than 3x real Friday plus previews. 34-35m

 

 

Sunday is the first NFL Sunday.  Drops will be about 45-47%.  It's not doing 34-35.  CP opened in October.

[baumer]

Going with a 15% bump today and a 45% drop tomorrow and it could get close to 34.

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, Bishop54 said:

Beckinsale as Selene is the only role audiences give a shit about. She should just keep cranking those out.

She was fantastic in Love & Friendship. Definitely her best performance ever. A probable Golden Globe nomination will hopefully lead to better roles for now on for her.

[Bishop54]

5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

She was fantastic in Love & Friendship. Definitely her best performance ever. A probable Golden Globe nomination will hopefully lead to better roles for now on for her.

And maybe a slight award nomination bump for Underworld: Blood Wars?

[ACSlater]

12 minutes ago, Baumer loves Oogieloves said:

 

Sunday is the first NFL Sunday.  Drops will be about 45-47%.  It's not doing 34-35.  CP opened in October.

 

First NFL Sunday is a glorious day...most of the United States is drunk by the time the second game comes around...

[filmlover]

Just now, Bishop54 said:

And maybe a slight award nomination bump for Underworld: Blood Wars?

If she's nominated (and I hope to god she is, still the best performance of the year so far IMO), it'll certainly make for good additional exposure as she promotes Underworld (since the Globe nominations will occur in December).

[The Futurist]

So I guess the scent in the theater between a Sully showing and a Twilight movie showing must be pretty different.

 

[filmlover]

Also: Clint, 86 and still slaying at the box office. Your favorites would never.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

So SP will be ~8 away from 100 after a ~2 weekend.

 

Spectre was ~6 away from 200 after a 1.4 weekend. Next weekend SP will be in a similar/slightly worse position. 1-1.2 weekend and ~6 away from 100.

 

Dec 18–20	11	$1,433,957	-64.6%	1,225	-1,415	$1,171	$193,910,089	7
Dec 25–27	21	$887,122	-38.1%	372	-853	$2,385	$196,268,667	8

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Jan 1–3	19	$730,706	-17.6%	331	-41	$2,208	$197,833,291	9
Jan 8–10	20	$403,519	-44.8%	379	+48	$1,065	$198,500,048	10
Jan 15–17	25	$291,401	-27.8%	288	-91	$1,012	$198,951,014	11
Jan 15–18	25	$351,289	-12.9%	288	-91	$1,220	$199,010,902	11
Jan 22–24	30	$170,228	-41.6%	217	-71	$784	$199,270,555	12
Jan 29–31	39	$132,751	-22.0%	195	-22	$681	$199,475,816	13
Feb 5–7	43	$67,322	-49.3%	115	-80	$585	$199,591,466	14
Feb 12–14	51	$37,813	-43.8%	47	-68	$805	$199,658,147	15
Feb 12–15	50	$42,473	-36.9%	47	-68	$904	$199,662,807	15
Feb 19–21	37	$108,423	+187%	340	+293	$319	$199,778,275	16
Feb 26–28	59	$23,156	-78.6%	92	-248	$252	$199,847,683	17
Mar 4–6	54	$29,757	+28.5%	63	-29	$472	$199,890,642	18
Mar 11–13	51	$41,979	+41.1%	16	-47	$2,624	$199,948,480	19
Mar 18–20	52	$44,791	+6.7%	9	-7	$4,977	$200,011,902	20
Mar 25–27	49	$39,235	-12.4%	14	+5	$2,803	$200,069,186	21
Apr 1–3	77	$4,600	-88.3%	5	-9	$920	$200,074,175	22

SP will be just about 7m away on Sunday.  Close to 5m next sunday. They made it there with This is the End with a post labor day expansion. It was 1.179m weekend at 5.57m away. Maybe they do a double feature

Jul 12–14	11	$2,850,571	-51.4%	1,394	-710	$2,045	$91,639,011	5
Jul 19–21	16	$1,179,821	-58.6%	622	-772	$1,897	$94,429,913	6
Jul 26–28	20	$503,525	-57.3%	270	-352	$1,865	$95,617,810	7
Aug 2–4	22	$319,393	-36.6%	168	-102	$1,901	$96,219,815	8
Aug 9–11	33	$116,816	-63.4%	159	-9	$735	$96,505,193	9
Aug 16–18	38	$89,298	-23.6%	58	-101	$1,540	$96,677,932	10
Aug 23–25	46	$45,696	-48.8%	38	-20	$1,203	$96,771,093	11
Aug 30–Sep 1	44	$102,642	+125%	34	-4	$3,019	$96,907,996	12
Aug 30–Sep 2	46	$119,145	+161%	34	-4	$3,504	$96,924,499	12
Sep 6–8	13	$1,901,825	+1,753%	2,161	+2,127	$880	$98,847,912	13
Sep 13–15	16	$792,857	-58.3%	1,333	-828	$595	$100,434,259	14
Sep 20–22	25	$323,754	-59.2%	527	-806	$614	$101,099,114	15
Sep 27–29	36	$122,431	-62.2%	205	-322	$597	$101,362,894	16
Oct 4–6	46	$48,496	-60.4%	97	-108	$500	$101,470,202

[That One Girl]

Damn, I underestimated Sully.  I expected it'd get a low to mid 20s OW and finish with 70M at the most.  Given how it's having great WoM and a 30M+ OW is incoming...Jesus Christ, that could be a 120M total

 

Time to stop underestimating Eastwood directorial flicks.

[WrathOfHan]

Clint Eastwood multipliers:

 

American Sniper (including the platform): 3.78x

Jersey Boys: 3.53x

J Edgar: 3.33x

Hereafter: 2.66x

Invictus: 4.4x

Gran Torino: 3.66x

Changeling: 3.57x

 

100M is locked

 

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Clint Eastwood multipliers:

 

American Sniper (including the platform): 3.78x

Jersey Boys: 3.53x

J Edgar: 3.33x

Hereafter: 2.66x

Invictus: 4.4x

Gran Torino: 3.66x

Changeling: 3.57x

 

100M is locked

 

 

Even with a 33M OW and Hereafter legs, it'd still get an 88M cum.  Pretty damn great.

[That One Girl]

Wild Life better finish below 5M.  It just needs to hit that sub 2x and underperform on Sat. and Sun  

[Krissykins]

With Sully, Blair Witch, Bridget Jones, Mag 7 and Deepwater Horizon, we could have a decent September.

 

Only ones I'll see are Blair Witch and Bridget though. 

 

Unless my Mum wants to see Sully. 

[mahnamahna]

Just now, Krissykins said:

With Sully, Blair Witch, Bridget Jones, Mag 7 and Deepwater Horizon, we could have a decent September.

 

Only ones I'll see are Blair Witch and Bridget though. 

 

Unless my Mum wants to see Sully. 

Storks will make more than Bridget Jones, Deepwater Horizon and Blair Witch. 

 

Should get a $30-40 million OW and $105-145 million DOM. 

 

I think Blair Witch will do $75-85 million, while Bridget and Deepwater will probably both do $50-60 million 

[mahnamahna]

Just now, No Prisoners said:

http://deadline.com/2016/09/sully-glides-in-with-1-35m-for-warner-bros-thursday-box-office-1201815274/

 

1). Sully  (WB), 3,525 theaters / $12.2M Fri  /3-day cume: $34M/ Wk 1

2). When the Bough Breaks  (SONY), 2,246 theaters / $5.4M Fri  /3-day cume: $14.7M / Wk 1

3). Don’t Breathe (SONY), 3,384 theaters (+333) / $2.3M (-44%) Fri /3-day cume: $7.6M(-52%)/Total:$66.2M / Wk 3

4). Suicide Squad (WB), 3,103 theaters (-189) / $1.45M Fri. (-37%)/ / 3-day cume: $5.2M (-47%) /Total cume: $307M/ Wk 6

5). Kubo and the Two Strings (FOC), 2,335 theaters (-650)/ $659K Fri (-53%)/ 3-day cume: $3.2M (-50%)/Total cume: $40.8M/ Wk 4

6). Pete’s Dragon (DIS), 2,685 theaters (-587)/ $661K Fri. (-55%)/3-day cume: $3.1M (-50%)/Total cume: $70.2M/Wk 5

7.) Bad Moms (STX), 1,888 theaters (-418)/ $869K Fri. (-32%)/3-day cume: $2.8M (-41%)/Total cume: $107.5M/ Wk 7

8.) The Wild Life  (LG), 2,493 theaters / $750K Fri  /3-day cume: $2.7M / Wk 1

9). Hell or High Water (CBS/Lionsgate), 1,445 theaters (+142) / $681K Fri. (-41%) / 3-day cume: $2.26M (-49%)/Total Cume: $19.5M/ Wk 5

10).Sausage Party (SONY/APP), 2,071 theaters (-695) / $633K Fri. (-54%)/ 3-day cume: $2.1M (-60%)/Total cume: $92.9M/Wk 5

11) Light Between Oceans (DIS/DWA), 1,500 theaters / $561K Fri (-60%)  /3-day cume: $2M (-58%)/Total cume:$9.6M/ Wk 2

 

NOTABLES:

The Disappointments Room  (REL), 1,554 theaters / $450K Fri  /3-day cume: $1.2M / Wk 1

No Manches Frida (LG/PANT), 465 theaters  (+103) / $296K Fri (-725)/3-day cume: $1.2M (-68%)/Total cume: $6.4M/  Wk 2

Morgan (20TH), 2,020 theaters / $143k Fri (-77%) /3-day cume: $464K(-77%) /Total cume: $3.6M/  Wk 2

Author: The JT LeRoy Story  (MAG), 5 theaters / $8K Fri  /PTA: $5k/3-day cume: $25K / Wk 1

Sully is looking strong

 

$33 million (slightly weaker than their OW predict)

$21.5 million ($65 million)

$11.5 million ($82 million)

$7.5 million ($93 million)

$6 million ($103 million)

$3.25 million ($108 million)

$2 million ($111 million)

$1 million ($112 million)

$120 million (due to Oscar push later on)

 

If Mag 7 and Storks both do $120 million+ DOM and Blair Witch breaks out, this will be a solid September. 

[lab276]

Nice to see a mid-budget movie make good amount. Actually there's a few of them in the top 10, so that's good. A nice turn around from earlier in the year.

Edited September 10, 2016 by lab276

[CJohn]

RIP SP. No 100M for you.

 

LMAO at Morgan's drop.