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Weekend Actuals: Sully 35M, WTBB 14.2M, DB 8.25M, SS 5.72M

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Sully flys high to the top spot this weekend! While When The Bough Breaks did below past films. But The Wild Life and The Dissapointment's Room both bombed.                Overall the top 12 was at $85.8 million which was is up 8% from last year. Which isn't bad for a typical post-Labor Day weekend.               Sully debuted high this weekend with an estimated $35.5 million. That debut is Warner Bros best debut for a film in the month of September! It is also the 5th highest grossing debut of September! Not only that it's actor Tom Hanks best live-action debut since Angels & Demons back in 2009, and is director Clint Eastwood's second best nationwide debut behind American Sniper. With solid word of mouth by audiences(an over 80% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes), and not any real competition for the adult audiences this month Sully will hold up just fine and should make over $110 million domestic.       Stalker Thriller When The Bough Breaks had a decent start this weekend with an estimated $15 million. That debut is right on-par with The Boy Next Door. But below Sony's past thrillers such as No Good Deed, and The Perfect Guy which both  debuted north of $20 million. With ok word of mouth, the film should probably drop off like this past two films but Sony shouldn't complain since its reported budget was around $10 million. Look for When The Bough Breaks to break around $40 million.               Fellow Sony thriller, Don't Breathe saw a solid hold this weekend below 50%. While Blair Witch comes out this Friday, Dont Breathe should hold up fine and make around $85 million domestic.         Suicide Squad held up fine for the weekend with a below 45% drop, without any real mega blockbusters, look for Suicide Squad to shoot up around $320 million domestic.                                                At number five, animated film The Wild Life bombed hard with an estimated $3.3 million for the weekend. That debut is less than half of Lionsgate's last animated feature Alpha & Omega which was released in Septmeber of 2010. Overall Lionsgate needs to make some choices this year, although they have Blair Witch and Boo! A Medea Halloween to help them out maybe for the Fall season and La La Land to be a possible awards contender. Look for Wild Life to fall short of $10 million domestic.          

  All the way into the 17th spot, Relativity's horror film The Dissapointment's Room bombed with an estimated $1.4 million for the weekend which is just a little better than Creature from the same weekend five years ago. But Relativity is struggling big time, and should probably close their doors by the end of this year. Since they poorly market their films, and dump them. Relativity really needs to maybe release their films onto VOD, digital media formats(Netflix), and possibly DVD/bluray which are all probably better markets for them than theaters. Dissapointment's Room should around $2-$3 million domestic.

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34 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Glad Don't Breathe passed Lights Out. Miles better.

 

 

I haven't seen DB but found LO to be just average. The ghost and the concept were very cool but I lot interest some ways into it.

Edited by a2knet
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3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Both weren't screened for critics at all.

Yeah they just have 7-9 reviews.

 

Bough has a 10m budget so a 15m ow is a big win anyway.

Edited by a2knet
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9 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Why is Sully doing so much better than Flight?

 

Does Tom Hanks have more pull than Denzel?

 

Is the biography more compelling than Flight's story?

 

Is Sully that much better quality wise?

 

 

I've heard of Sully (irl) and have no idea what Flight was.  Don't know if that is a common reaction, but there it is....

 

Edited by trifle
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11 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Why is Sully doing so much better than Flight?

 

Does Tom Hanks have more pull than Denzel?

 

Is the biography more compelling than Flight's story?

 

Is Sully that much better quality wise?

Flight was R, not based on a true story and it was dumped by Paramount in 1800 theaters.

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18 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Why is Sully doing so much better than Flight?

 

Does Tom Hanks have more pull than Denzel?

 

Is the biography more compelling than Flight's story?

 

Is Sully that much better quality wise?

Marketing was strong, reviews were very good, marketplace was wide open, Hanks is still a reliable draw, and Eastwood most likely had a lot of goodwill coming off of American Sniper (plus he's 86, so we don't know how much longer new movies from him will be coming).

Edited by filmlover
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19 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Flight was R, not based on a true story and it was dumped by Paramount in 1800 theaters.

 

Still don't understand why Paramount chickened out on it. The PTA was huge so there clearly was interest.

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53 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Why is Sully doing so much better than Flight?

 

Does Tom Hanks have more pull than Denzel?

 

Is the biography more compelling than Flight's story?

 

Is Sully that much better quality wise?

No no no. Denzel and Hanks do solid numbers for actors over the age of 60. They still can bring north of $20 million debuts. Flight was released in much smaller screens, and less marketing. It had decent word of mouth to rely on it, and debuted higher than expectations. Denzel does fine with R-rated films(action and drama), and Hanks does fine with dramas or thrillers . 

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37 minutes ago, cookie said:

 

Still don't understand why Paramount chickened out on it. The PTA was huge so there clearly was interest.

 

I'm not really sure Paramount had much of a choice. Apparently a lot of theaters just strangely weren't interested in picking the film up. Guess they figured that people weren't interested in a film about a alcoholic pilot. 

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1 hour ago, filmlover said:

I honestly have no idea how Blair Witch will do next weekend. Could see it doing $30M, could see it doing $12M. You never know how these movies will pan out at the box office until they actually open.

It could debut like 10 Cloverfield Lane. But yeah it's hard to tell, there's a lot of stuff for it. 

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I wouldn't say Flight was dumped exactly, but the screen count was strangely conservative, even as they expanded it:

 

 

Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekend
Gross
%
Change
Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
Nov 2–4 2 $24,900,566 - 1,884 - $13,217 $24,900,566 1
Nov 9–11 3 $14,785,097 -40.6% 2,047 +163 $7,223 $47,455,396 2
Nov 16–18 5 $8,802,881 -40.5% 2,612 +565 $3,370 $61,523,691 3
Nov 23–25 8 $8,451,144 -4.0% 2,638 +26 $3,204 $74,718,990 4
Nov 30–Dec 2 9 $4,479,067 -47.0% 2,603 -35 $1,721 $81,465,903 5
Dec 7–9 9 $3,130,305 -30.1% 2,431 -172 $1,288 $86,202,541 6
Dec 14–16 11 $1,910,666 -39.0% 1,823 -608 $1,048 $89,418,704 7
Dec 21–23 17 $678,171 -64.5% 742 -1,081 $914 $90,957,858 8
Dec 28–30 20 $438,479 -35.3% 400 -342 $1,096 $91,873,236

9

Edited by BoxOfficeChica
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