July OS madness: Pick your winner

[Bluebomb]

The problem is TDKR even probably wont get a release in China.

Because of Christian Bale?

[Noctis]

SM3 grossed only 15% less than OOTP in 2007. So TASM coming close to DH2 is certainly possible,

"Only 15% less" still means $90m less. Besides, this is a reboot. Like I said, I expect it to explode in Asia and South America, but I do not see it achieving the heights of Spider-Man 3 in Europe. Not until the sequel. Still, $700m is something I can see.

[Robertron]

Why would it do that well in China? Most films don't do that kind of business there

Call me crazy but it reminds of every film that does well there, and I have a gut feeling the Chinese will eat it up!

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Because of Christian Bale?

Yeah, TDK wasnt and now Bale......

[A Marvel Fanboy]

I agree that TDKR would do very well in China if it could get released here.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

The Dark Knight Rises 475mThe Amazing Spider-Man 520mIce Age 820m

[snitch]

As of todayIce Age- 820mThe Dark Knight Rises- 665mThe Amazing Spider-man- 480m

[John Marston]

actually Ice Age 4 probably won't increase that much everyone. Ice Age 3 WAS in 3D so 3D is not a new thing that is being introduced to the franchise. Also 3D doesn't seem to help animated film that much, as it seems animated films in 3D tend to gross the same as you would think they would in 2D not really anything more. It actually might decrease or if it increases I think it will be a small increase

[Master Scottb]

TDK only made $468.6m overseas ($64.7m less than it made in the US), I don't see why people are predicting TDKR to make over $600m let alone $700m overseas.

[Neo]

If it gets a SM2>SM3 increase, 600M+ is possible.

[Bluebomb]

actually Ice Age 4 probably won't increase that much everyone. Ice Age 3 WAS in 3D so 3D is not a new thing that is being introduced to the franchise. Also 3D doesn't seem to help animated film that much, as it seems animated films in 3D tend to gross the same as you would think they would in 2D not really anything more.It actually might decrease or if it increases I think it will be a small increase

Russia expansion + Europe. Asia has grown as well...you can't forget about China either. This will most likely get a China release. Russia + China = $100m alone, IMO.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

No no...Ice Age 4 might do 100M in Russia alone and it also can do at least 80M in China.

[snitch]

TDK only made $468.6m overseas ($64.7m less than it made in the US), I don't see why people are predicting TDKR to make over $600m let alone $700m overseas.

If it gets a China release i think 600 is locked. I think there were reports that it was one of the most pirated movies in China. And really, TDK didn't overperform in that many markets.

[Bluebomb]

Yeah, TDK wasnt and now Bale......

I know that TDK wasn't because they thought that it was not culturally suitable for the Chinese market. Plus the movie was at the height of the Edison scandal. But TDKR's doesn't have the same excuse. Not filmed in China (ie China doesn't get destroyed) and no Edison so it should be able to get a release in China. Edited February 11, 2012 by Bluebomb

[grey ghost]

TASM should get a nice 3D bump.People will lose interest in Ice Age a little.I'm guessing TASM will win with 725 m to Ice Age's 675 m.

[Cedarpoint1111]

I think Ice Age has got this in the bag and Spiderman will come in second giving Batman a run for his money.Yes to 2B OS in July.

[Juby]

TASM - $720M-$780M

IA4 - $720M

TDKR - $570M

More than $2B combined? YES

[CJohn]

Ice Age 4 moved here, to June 28th. Not sure if this is happening everywhere.

[kayumanggi]

I think this is just between TASM and IA: CD.

[Fake]

I just can't wait for July. It will surprise most people.