ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[Porthos]

5 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

So why aren't RTH's numbers being put in the topic title?

 

Because it's only been a few minutes?

[MovieMan89]

I have to admit, I am extremely happy it won't be reaching the 170m+ heights  a few posters who know who they are were being so condescending about being "locked" this past week. 

[XXR & Friends]

Overall Thoughts

 

Doesn't come in over TFA for me, but it's back 1/3 was probably best of any SW movie. It was the most visually beautiful Star Wars movie to date, and certainly lived up to my expectations! I think my $156m OW / $490m DOM predictions are looking good. 

[elcaballero]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

From Fandango:

 

ARE YOUR KIDS READY FOR 'ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY'?

 

(slightly slightly SLIGHTLY spoilery article)

 

Their conclusion:

 

 

Take that from what it's worth.  But considering this is on the R1 page on Fandango, I suspect more than a few parents will be reading it.

"Bright beach activity?" Haha, if they want to call it that, more power to them.

[DeeCee]

68 it is. 

[Mojoguy]

Because it's only been a few minutes?

Tele can speed read though.

[grey ghost]

2 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

140m-ish OW.

 

Not Bad.

 

 

 

 

What's the measure of success for this thing?

 

Is Disney happy with 50% of TFA's global take?

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Just now, Mojoguy said:

Tele can speed read though.

He's old, it takes a while to put on his glasses.

[redfirebird2008]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I have to admit, I am extremely happy it won't be reaching the 170m+ heights  a few posters who know who they are were being so condescending about being "locked" this past week. 

 

Pretty crazy to see the total change of direction from your posts with TFA and now this new movie. Surprised by it.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Just now, grey ghost said:

 

What's the measure of success for this thing?

 

Is Disney happy with 50% of TFA's global take?

Yes.

[Elessar]

6 minutes ago, hw64 said:

 

No, absolutely not. It's ridiculous and completely wrong to assume that every December movie gets a good multiplier because of December and the holidays. TFA only maintained such a multiplier because of its insane word-of-mouth, as other people have mentioned. If it didn't have that word-of-mouth and released in December to $248m, it would have gotten probably a 3.0 or sub-3 multiplier, at best. TFA was a phenomenon both because of the opening weekend and because of the multiplier it sustained despite that huge opening weekend. It had the best of both worlds.

 

Given that Rogue One won't have that kind of universal appeal and that kind of word-of-mouth that TFA had, and given that it's still opening probably 60-70% higher than any other non-TFA December release, a 3.5x multiplier certainly is not the worst it can do.

 

I maintain that a sub 3 multi is very difficult for a movie in mid December. Maybe saying close to 3.5 at worst for RO is pushing it but over 3 for sure.

[Valonqar]

10 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

It's gonna be a long night everyone.

 

Immeasurably long.  

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Just now, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Pretty crazy to see the total change of direction from your posts with TFA and now this new movie. Surprised by it.

It's because Gareth Edwards IS SATAN

[Daxtreme]

Just now, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Pretty crazy to see the total change of direction from your posts with TFA and now this new movie. Surprised by it.

 

There's a word for it

 

bi-polar  

 

 

[SWXII]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I have to admit, I am extremely happy it won't be reaching the 170m+ heights  a few posters who know who they are were being so condescending about being "locked" this past week. 

 

It took a polar vortex to save baumer. His luck will soon run out. And then we will put an end to his little rebellion. Or something like that.

[redfirebird2008]

Just now, Valonqar said:

 

Immeasurably long.  

 

That's what she said.

[CoolioD1]

hmm, the only reasonable thing to do is assume it's definitely 100% the higher end and then freak out when it's the lower end.

[Rthmessiah]

17 minutes ago, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said:

 

64-68

 

just realised flaw , 69—73

[CoolioD1]

i'm glad i got my joke in just before that post. whew.

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Pretty crazy to see the total change of direction from your posts with TFA and now this new movie. Surprised by it.

The casual hype just never seemed particularly strong to me, hence the sub 450 predictions. I was pushing 1b for TFA back in March of last year, so it's certainly not like the pre-sales or my opinion of the film are what caused my predictions.