ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

All 3 of Edward's movies have gotten better for me on a 2nd watch. This is easily his best though. Still have it #5 in the SW universe, but it is really, really good. 8/10 for me. Will need to go with my Dad at some point. Probably go back to IMAX.

[eXtacy]

2 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Deadline reporting 73m. http://deadline.com/2016/12/rogue-one-star-wars-story-preview-box-office-social-media-1201871704/

 

73m would put on course for 165m. Would be a great result and 500m would be almost lockeded

[Daxtreme]

5 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Deadline reporting 73m. http://deadline.com/2016/12/rogue-one-star-wars-story-preview-box-office-social-media-1201871704/

 

... it never stops rising!

 

[druv10]

5 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Deadline reporting 73m. http://deadline.com/2016/12/rogue-one-star-wars-story-preview-box-office-social-media-1201871704/

155-160M OW, Baumer's club is dead with that opening. And once for all, can we put to behind that we can't have big openers in December. 

[The Panda]

1.ESB

2.ANH

3.TFA

4.ROTJ

5.RO

6.ROTS

 

The other two don't exist

[Eevin]

47 minutes ago, Black Hawk said:

I mean, good, I guess? Certainly means it's playing very well to a lot of people. Still, hard to know if the A applies to the hardcore fanbase or to general audiences.

[MrPink]

7 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Deadline reporting 73m. http://deadline.com/2016/12/rogue-one-star-wars-story-preview-box-office-social-media-1201871704/

 

Let's just say 72.

 

72 - 49- 38

 

159 million

[Eevin]

7 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Deadline reporting 73m. http://deadline.com/2016/12/rogue-one-star-wars-story-preview-box-office-social-media-1201871704/

$29m previews

$44m Friday ($73m)

$53m Saturday ($126m)
$44m Sunday ($170m)
 

Spoiler

Not really, but it's still a great number. $160m+ in play, $150m locked. 

 

[Daxtreme]

73M means $150M+ is locked. Saturday + Sunday won't be less than Previews + True Friday 

[babz06]

It's probably gonna be 155m, im expecting a bigger Sunday drop than TFA 

[TigerPaw]

5 minutes ago, Eevin said:

I mean, good, I guess? Certainly means it's playing very well to a lot of people. Still, hard to know if the A applies to the hardcore fanbase or to general audiences.

Deadline is saying it is across all demographics.

But since I think the fans rushed in to see first, Cinemascore is often skewed more positively. 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Mid 150s is the most likely outcome. I think the absolute highest it can go is 166m, so essentially BvS.

[FTF]

$73m would be an excellent # (anything $70m or higher really).  I really hope I see it again this weekend too as a poor theater experience my first viewing was not helping my liking of the movie and I usually enjoy movies more upon second viewing anyway.  

 

 

Edited December 17, 2016 by FTF

[wildphantom]

Very happy with this number. 

[redfirebird2008]

Great number. Baumer's rebellion is @died. 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

500m is very much in play. Needs a 3.22 off a 155m OW. Only 3.13 off of 160m OW.

Edited December 17, 2016 by Jayhawk

[druv10]

3 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Mid 150s is the most likely outcome. I think the absolute highest it can go is 166m, so essentially BvS.

170M is possible with strong Saturday bump minus previews since it is SW (strong with families).  We know Sunday hold will be strong.

[TigerPaw]

5 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Mid 150s is the most likely outcome. I think the absolute highest it can go is 166m, so essentially BvS.

IF it hits 166m, boxofficemojo is spot on.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4251&p=.htm

[Eevin]

If this does sub-$150m over the weekend, I think it's a clear sign that legs aren't that strong. I very much doubt it will, but something like this: 

$29m previews

$44m Friday ($73m)

$40m Saturday ($113m)

$30m Sunday ($143m)

would not be pretty.

Mid-$150s would be somewhat expected, and quite good:

$29m previews

$44m Friday ($73m)

$47m Saturday ($120m)

$35m Sunday ($155m)

If it does $160m+, that's leggier than many expected and probably a sign of backloading. $500m would be near-locked at that point.

$29m previews

$44m Friday ($73m)

$50m Saturday ($123m)

$38m Sunday ($161m)

[TigerPaw]

Just now, druv10 said:

170M is possible with strong Saturday bump minus previews since it is SW (strong with families).  We know Sunday hold will be strong.

But Deadline is also reportng that not many kids are out of school yet, compared to last year with TFA.