filmlover Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 hours ago, stripe said: What will be the gross for the BP contenders before nominatios are announced? And after Oscars? Last year we had 3 movies over 100M, all of these reached the mark after noms. The average gross for the BP contenders last year was 77M (53M prior to noms) I would say this year is better BO wise. DOM gross before noms Dunkirk - 188M Get Out - 175M The Post - 50M Lady Bird - 40M Darkest Hour - 40M Shape of Water - 30M Three Billboards - 25M Call Me By Your Name - 7M 69M average gross more or less the day noms are announced. Let's see how much more fuel these movies have in the tank after noms. Darkest Hour and The Shape of Water are likely gonna come back down to Earth now that the holidays are over and their highly-marketed wide expansions are out the way but should remain consistent in grosses between nominations and the night of the ceremony (Darkest Hour could finish with a total similar to Atonement if it gets more than just Gary Oldman above the line). Call Me by Your Name could potentially triple its gross like Room did two years ago after nominations were announced, SPC has been intentionally holding off on expanding it wider anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 hours ago, stripe said: Chau is great. MVP of a respected enough movie. Diversity also helps She’s also a racial caricature 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertman2 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Shape of Water isn't expanding anymore? fuck the world Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 10 minutes ago, That One Guy said: She’s also a racial caricature She is, but then again, she's the only thing about the movie that was even remotely interesting. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said: Shape of Water isn't expanding anymore? fuck the world I'm sure it'll add a few hundred theaters this upcoming weekend (and of course will come back to a bunch of places after Oscar noms are announced) but in terms of wide expansion it's most likely hit a wall. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 (edited) 39 minutes ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said: Shape of Water isn't expanding anymore? fuck the world Searchlight said it's going into over 1k theaters this weekend. It'll probably be in the high 1,000s at the end of the month considering barely anything else is coming out Edited January 2, 2018 by WrathOfHan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Fox Searchlight might as well wait on expanding Shape of Water. It will be an easier sell with Oscar nominations (and possibly some Golden Globe wins) behind it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 hours ago, That One Guy said: She’s also a racial caricature Everything in that movie is a purposed caricature. And? Isn't Depp's Sparrow a caricature? Isn't Streep's role in Prada a caricature? Isn't Octavia Spencer's role in The Help a caricature? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 hours ago, filmlover said: Darkest Hour and The Shape of Water are likely gonna come back down to Earth now that the holidays are over and their highly-marketed wide expansions are out the way but should remain consistent in grosses between nominations and the night of the ceremony (Darkest Hour could finish with a total similar to Atonement if it gets more than just Gary Oldman above the line). Call Me by Your Name could potentially triple its gross like Room did two years ago after nominations were announced, SPC has been intentionally holding off on expanding it wider anyway. We'll see what happens with these movies. Anyways, 15M more in almost a month after a 5.5M weekend is not unreasonable for Darkest Hours. And 15M more in three weeks for Shape of Water after a 3.5M weekend isn't crazy either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I am quite disappointed that SOW, 3B and Lady Bird didn't gross more in the year-end holiday season, this is one of the best time to make money for these award players but they are overshadowed by increasingly compacted marketplace especially more and more blockbuster coming to X-mas and NY Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: I am quite disappointed that SOW, 3B and Lady Bird didn't gross more in the year-end holiday season, this is one of the best time to make money for these award players but they are overshadowed by increasingly compacted marketplace especially more and more blockbuster coming to X-mas and NY To be fair, Three Billboards and Lady Bird had to be pushed out from a lot of theaters. They'll get a second chance starting this upcoming weekend (they are coming back to a few theaters in time for the Globes on Sunday). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 40 minutes ago, filmlover said: To be fair, Three Billboards and Lady Bird had to be pushed out from a lot of theaters. They'll get a second chance starting this upcoming weekend (they are coming back to a few theaters in time for the Globes on Sunday). that is why i feel the studio are producing too much films....722 in a year in just too much! Lady bird and 3B would have gross more if it wasn't for those wide release....none of the indies make big number this year in x-mas/NY season like the big short, fences, manchester by the sea, or imitation game..... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kraken Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 With only The Post (Feb 8th) and Shape of Water (Jan 18th) out of the 7(!!!!) films in contention left for me to watch, I feel pretty confident saying Lady Bird should be the frontrunner. It's a masterful movie paired and it has the narrative to get it. I loved it, even tho I personally prefer 3 Billboards out of the 5 I've seen (and Shape of Water should be more my thing). And Call Me by Your Name is not getting Carol'd. If not for Moonlight winning last year I'd give it huge chances. Great film. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 14 hours ago, Kraken said: With only The Post (Feb 8th) and Shape of Water (Jan 18th) out of the 7(!!!!) films in contention left for me to watch, I feel pretty confident saying Lady Bird should be the frontrunner. It's a masterful movie paired and it has the narrative to get it. I loved it, even tho I personally prefer 3 Billboards out of the 5 I've seen (and Shape of Water should be more my thing). And Call Me by Your Name is not getting Carol'd. If not for Moonlight winning last year I'd give it huge chances. Great film. I would bet we will have more than 7 BP nominees, though we all agree there are 7 movies almost assured for the race (Post, Shape of Water, Dunkirk, 3 Billboards, Call me, Lady Bird, Get Out) I am still feeling two of these movies are going to be nommed: Darkest Hour, The Big Sick, Florida Project, Mudbound, I Tonya, Phantom thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 Get Out must be more serious contender than we think since Jeff Wells posted another rant against it. he does that when his champion feels threatened so I guess GO is a legit threat. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Valonqar said: Get Out must be more serious contender than we think since Jeff Wells posted another rant against it. he does that when his champion feels threatened so I guess GO is a legit threat. Fuck Jeff Wells. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 52 minutes ago, filmlover said: Fuck Jeff Wells. he's stupid but he has an unmistakable hunch about what could win over what he wants to win. At least he had it so far. As someone who's rooting for GO, I couldn't be more pleased. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kraken Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 2 hours ago, stripe said: I would bet we will have more than 7 BP nominees, though we all agree there are 7 movies almost assured for the race (Post, Shape of Water, Dunkirk, 3 Billboards, Call me, Lady Bird, Get Out) I am still feeling two of these movies are going to be nommed: Darkest Hour, The Big Sick, Florida Project, Mudbound, I Tonya, Phantom thread Yeah, I expect another line-up of 9 films. I'd die of joy if I, Tonya gets a nod. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 I’m thinking 8 nods, but I could see I, Tonya or Molly’s Game sneaking in for a ninth nod Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, New Year New Panda said: I’m thinking 8 nods, but I could see I, Tonya or Molly’s Game sneaking in for a ninth nod That's what I'm thinking. Would be nice if I, Tonya made it as a way of Neon making a name for themselves in their first year of being a studio. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
