Weekend Estimates: Kong 61M, Logan 37.8M, Get Out 21M, Shack 10M, Lego Batman 7.8M

[grim22]

1 minute ago, grey ghost said:

Will Kong have better or worse legs than Godzilla?

 

Is 150 m DOM on the table?

 

It loses IMAX and PLF next week as well, so expect an almost 60% drop next weekend, it should stabilize post that, would say 130-140M currently more possible than 150M but it may turn out to be another Tarzan in terms of legs.

[vc2002]

20 minutes ago, Xavier said:

Logan is a brave film, period. No, it's not performing like the Dark Knight, if only because this is not Batman, there is no power house villain performance like Ledger's and no mystical allure was added because of somebody's death. I liked Logan way more, far more emotionally engaging than TDK.

 

Kudos to everyone involved in the direction the film took. People who are complaining about it being depressing should grow the f*ck up or go watch Iron Man 3 to feel happy and lift their spirits with a hero- kid pandering relationship they can get behind.

 

That's a great way to start a Logan.vs.TDK flame war.

[DAJK]

I enjoyed Get Out a lot. Not best of the year material or anything IMO, and I don't quite understand why the reviews are as good as they are. But it's a relevant and well made film. I just wish there were more surprises and scares. Still a solid 7.5/10

[aabattery]

Seeing Kong's numbers going up this weekend:

 

[grim22]

I have literally no idea why analysts and sites had Logan at high-40s for the weekend after a 40% drop or so. Prior X-Men movie patterns and the loss of the highest grossing screens was going to be hard to overcome. I felt the best it could do was probably 39-40M.

[Krissykins]

That's really good for Kong (beating tracking by 30-35% is good) and Get Out (wow!). 

 

Surprising for Logan, fan rush was too powerful for WOM to lessen the 2nd weekend drop. 

Edited March 11, 2017 by Krissykins

[POTUS 2020]

36 minutes ago, grim22 said:

I have literally no idea why analysts and sites had Logan at high-40s for the weekend after a 40% drop or so. Prior X-Men movie patterns and the loss of the highest grossing screens was going to be hard to overcome. I felt the best it could do was probably 39-40M.

They are mostly writers that can't extrapolate and do math. I can do the math like many here in this forum, but I can't write for shit. Rare bird that gets both.

I know a literary genius that once said to me. "4000 is about a 1/3rd 7500 right".  Stick to Shakespeare I told him.

 

Brandon gray was very good

Edited March 11, 2017 by POTUS

[Gokira2012]

Edited March 11, 2017 by Gokira2012

[DAJK]

Just now, Gokira2012 said:

Why is this so upsetting for you? Maybe you've already explained why you're against this movie I just haven't heard about it

[aabattery]

12 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Why is this so upsetting for you? Maybe you've already explained why you're against this movie I just haven't heard about it

 

Kong hurt his family. I assume so anyway.

Edited March 11, 2017 by AABATTERY

[POTUS 2020]

1.) Kong: Skull Island(20th/Leg), 3,846 theaters  / $20M Fri. (includes $3.7M in previews) / 3-day: $52.5M /Wk 1

2.) Logan(Fox), 4,071 theaters  (0)/ $10.8M Fri. (-67%) / 3-day: $36.7M (-58%)/Total: $151.5M/Wk 2

3.) Get Out (UNI), 3,143 theaters (+205) / $5.9M Fri. (-26%) / 3-day: $21M (-26%)/Total: $111M/Wk 3

4.) The Shack (LG), 2,888 theaters (0) / $2.6M Fri. (-52%) / 3-day: $9.5M (-41%) /Total: $31.7M/Wk 2

5). The LEGO Batman Movie (WB), 3,303 theaters (-353) / $1.7M Fri. (-30%) / 3-day: $7.6M (-35%) / Total: $158.9M/Wk 5

6.) Before I Fall  (OR), 2,346 theaters  / $935K Fri. (-44%) / 3-day: $3M (-35%)/Total: $9M/Wk 2

7.) Hidden Figures (FOX), 1,421 theaters (-161) / $750K Fri. (-26%) / 3-day: $2.8M (-26%) / Total: $162.9M / Wk 12

8.) John Wick: Chapter 2(LGF), 2,031 theaters (-444) / $709K Fri. (-44%) / 3-day: $2.7M (-44%) / Total:$87.4M / Wk 5

9.) La La Land (LGF), 1,578 theaters (+167) / $519K Fri (-37%) / 3-day: $1.9M (-37%) / Total: $148.6M / Wk 14

10.) Fifty Shades Darker(UNI), 1,498 theaters (-707) / $539K Fri. (-54%) / 3-day: $1.66M (-53%) / Total: $113M/ Wk 5

11.) Lion (TWC) 960 theaters (-300)/$349K (-38%)/3-day:$1.3M (-38%)/Total: $48.65M

Before I Fall can't be right. 935k Friday from a 278k Thursday.  That's bigger than a big fat toon bump

 

Logan is close to 40m when using Jw2's or DP's fri multi.

Edited March 11, 2017 by POTUS

[aabattery]

36 minutes ago, Gokira2012 said:

 

 

i made this for you

[somebody85]

30 minutes ago, POTUS said:

1.) Kong: Skull Island(20th/Leg), 3,846 theaters  / $20M Fri. (includes $3.7M in previews) / 3-day: $52.5M /Wk 1

2.) Logan(Fox), 4,071 theaters  (0)/ $10.8M Fri. (-67%) / 3-day: $36.7M (-58%)/Total: $151.5M/Wk 2

3.) Get Out (UNI), 3,143 theaters (+205) / $5.9M Fri. (-26%) / 3-day: $21M (-26%)/Total: $111M/Wk 3

4.) The Shack (LG), 2,888 theaters (0) / $2.6M Fri. (-52%) / 3-day: $9.5M (-41%) /Total: $31.7M/Wk 2

5). The LEGO Batman Movie (WB), 3,303 theaters (-353) / $1.7M Fri. (-30%) / 3-day: $7.6M (-35%) / Total: $158.9M/Wk 5

6.) Before I Fall  (OR), 2,346 theaters  / $935K Fri. (-44%) / 3-day: $3M (-35%)/Total: $9M/Wk 2

7.) Hidden Figures (FOX), 1,421 theaters (-161) / $750K Fri. (-26%) / 3-day: $2.8M (-26%) / Total: $162.9M / Wk 12

8.) John Wick: Chapter 2(LGF), 2,031 theaters (-444) / $709K Fri. (-44%) / 3-day: $2.7M (-44%) / Total:$87.4M / Wk 5

9.) La La Land (LGF), 1,578 theaters (+167) / $519K Fri (-37%) / 3-day: $1.9M (-37%) / Total: $148.6M / Wk 14

10.) Fifty Shades Darker(UNI), 1,498 theaters (-707) / $539K Fri. (-54%) / 3-day: $1.66M (-53%) / Total: $113M/ Wk 5

11.) Lion (TWC) 960 theaters (-300)/$349K (-38%)/3-day:$1.3M (-38%)/Total: $48.65M

Before I Fall can't be right. 935k Friday from a 278k Thursday. 

Good for Kong if it holds! Got a B+ Cinemascore and is at a 3.8/5 on Flixster so not great WOM but should be good enough to possibly give it legs. I guess we'll see.

[BadAtGender]

I thought La La Land was supposed to end up the highest grossing musical of all time or something.

[aabattery]

Just now, DamienRoc said:

I thought La La Land was supposed to end up the highest grossing musical of all time or something.

 

Time to boot up the WWW thread for LLL.

[MrPink]

1 minute ago, AABATTERY said:

 

Time to boot up the WWW thread for LLL.

 

Jazzsplaining

[MrFanaticGuy34]

2 hours ago, DAJK said:

Why is this so upsetting for you? Maybe you've already explained why you're against this movie I just haven't heard about it

 

He just probably wants the Power-Rangers-film to be a bigger hit than Kong: Skull Island.

 

Which ain't happening unless that film breaks out.

Edited March 11, 2017 by MrFanaticGuy34

[Hatebox]

2 hours ago, vc2002 said:

 

That's a great way to start a Logan.vs.TDK flame war.

 

Dude, it's the Internet. Two things can't just be good and left at that.

 

Anyway, so much for my hope of Logan avoiding the x-men legs curse. 

[Outrageous!]

12 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

 

He just probably wants the Power-Rangers-film to be a bigger hit than Kong: Skull Island.

 

Which probably won't happen unless that film breaks out.

 

I don't think it will, for the same reason the RT score for Beauty and the Beast will be mostly irrelevant next weekend.  The brands are entrenched, meaning people have already decided whether they like the product or not, and are unlikely to be persuaded to change their minds.  If someone loves the animated Beauty and the Beast, they aren't likely to be discouraged by reviews saying it is the same thing.  Likewise, I just can't see the Power Rangers movie suddenly turning a whole bunch of moviegoers who have not seen the show in years into PR fans, even should that movie have good reviews.

Edited March 11, 2017 by Outrageous!

[cookie]

28 minutes ago, DamienRoc said:

I thought La La Land was supposed to end up the highest grossing musical of all time or something.

 

It was dashed like its hopes on Oscar night.