grim22 Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 1 hour ago, narniadis said: I am happier with the estimate than I was on Saturday afternoon lol. Still kicking for increasing it last minute. I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 (edited) 2 minutes ago, grim22 said: I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out What if you answer a question on Monday for a new movie predicting it to make a crazy amount of cash, but then on Tuesday it's revealed that the director of the movie murdered millions of innocent people and everyone decides not to see the movie? Edited May 8, 2017 by That One Valerian 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 Just now, That One Valerian said: What if you answer a question on Monday for a new movie, but then on Tuesday it's revealed that the director of the movie murdered millions of innocent people and everyone decides not to see the movie? Which is why I don't look at the questions until 3 hours before the deadline if the director decides to kill someone after that then I'm guessing we are all screwed. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, grim22 said: I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 1 minute ago, grim22 said: Which is why I don't look at the questions until 3 hours before the deadline if the director decides to kill someone after that then I'm guessing we are all screwed. What if the deadline for this question is a SOTM due on Monday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 1 hour ago, grim22 said: I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out I tell myself that I am doing that very thing every year... hasn't happened yet lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 13 hours ago, baumer said: My first BOTM is up http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/23963-botm-question-one-fast-turn-around-time-due-by-friday-morning-when-i-leave-for-work-usually-around-2am-forums-time/#comment-2990484 You don't let us breathe, do you? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 9, 2017 Author Share Posted May 9, 2017 Just transferring @baumer's answers to this thread ANSWERS 1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES 2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 NO 3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 NO 4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 NO 5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 NO 6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%? 1000 NO 7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 NO 8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES 9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 YES 10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 YES 11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 YES 12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 NO 13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES 14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 YES 15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 NO 16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 YES 17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES 18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 YES 19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 NO 20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 YES 21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 YES 22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 YES 23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES 24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 YES 25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 300 Bonus: 15/25 2000 16/25 3000 17/25 5000 18/25 7000 19/25 10000 20/25 15000 21/25 20,000 22/25 25,000 23/25 33,000 24/25 40,000 25/25 50,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 146.510 2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.509 3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 56.2% Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. BOSS BABY 5. BEAUTY AND THE BEAST 8. GIFTED 10. GOING IN STYLE 13. SLEIGHT 16. THE DINNER Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 34 minutes ago, chasmmi said: Just transferring @baumer's answers to this thread ANSWERS 6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%? 1000 YES Nope it dropped 57%. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 9, 2017 Author Share Posted May 9, 2017 Week 1 Scores: Name Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Total Matrix4You 92000 0 10000 102000 Simionski 76000 0 18000 94000 JakeGittes 83000 0 10000 93000 MrPink 59000 30000 0 89000 24Lost 76000 12000 0 88000 Darkelf 77000 0 0 77000 Exxdee 71000 0 4000 75000 Wrathofhan 63000 0 10000 73000 Kayumanggi 57000 12000 0 69000 Blankments 47000 12000 4000 63000 Kalo 52000 0 10000 62000 JJ-8 61000 0 0 61000 BCF26 49000 7000 4000 60000 Spaghetti 60000 0 0 60000 The Panda 49000 10000 0 59000 DamnitGeorge 59000 0 0 59000 Damienroc 59000 0 0 59000 MOvieMan89 58000 0 0 58000 AABattery 52000 0 4000 56000 Wrath 49000 0 0 49000 Ed 49000 0 0 49000 Franfar 47000 0 0 47000 The Dark Alfred 47000 0 0 47000 GreyGhost 47000 0 0 47000 Baumer 40000 5000 0 45000 Cmasterclay 44000 0 0 44000 Narniadas 43000 0 0 43000 Grim22 38000 0 4000 42000 thatoneGuy 42000 0 0 42000 Chewy 42000 0 0 42000 Chasmmi 39000 0 0 39000 Empire 33000 0 0 33000 Tele 33000 0 0 33000 Water Bottle 28000 0 4000 32000 Glassfairy 26000 0 0 26000 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Yikes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Got yall right where i want you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Aw yeah let's go Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Holy moly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 On 5/7/2017 at 11:06 PM, grim22 said: I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out At this point, the only thing I'm sure of is that whatever strategy I decide on will prove to be the wrong one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 2 hours ago, Tele Came Back said: Yikes. Same. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Wow what a piss poor result. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Sorry guys.... could someone please tell me how scoring is determined for this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...