The Summer Game 2017 | Beans have been counted, sprouts measured, zombies destroyed, and Tele relegated to... oh wait better not... | Let the Pre-Season Reveals begin ...

[grim22]

1 hour ago, narniadis said:

I am happier with the estimate than I was on Saturday afternoon lol. Still kicking for increasing it last minute. 

 

I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out  

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out  

 

What if you answer a question on Monday for a new movie predicting it to make a crazy amount of cash, but then on Tuesday it's revealed that the director of the movie murdered millions of innocent people and everyone decides not to see the movie?

Edited May 8, 2017 by That One Valerian

[grim22]

Just now, That One Valerian said:

 

What if you answer a question on Monday for a new movie, but then on Tuesday it's revealed that the director of the movie murdered millions of innocent people and everyone decides not to see the movie?

 

Which is why I don't look at the questions until 3 hours before the deadline  if the director decides to kill someone after that then I'm guessing we are all screwed.

[Chewy]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out  

 

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, grim22 said:

 

Which is why I don't look at the questions until 3 hours before the deadline  if the director decides to kill someone after that then I'm guessing we are all screwed.

 

What if the deadline for this question is a SOTM due on Monday  

[narniadis]

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

 

I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out  

I tell myself that I am doing that very thing every year... hasn't happened yet lol

[kayumanggi]

13 hours ago, baumer said:

My first BOTM is up

 

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/23963-botm-question-one-fast-turn-around-time-due-by-friday-morning-when-i-leave-for-work-usually-around-2am-forums-time/#comment-2990484

 

You don't let us breathe, do you?

[baumer]

[chasmmi]

Just transferring @baumer's answers to this thread

 

ANSWERS

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 NO

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 NO

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 NO

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 NO 

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 NO

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 YES

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 YES

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 NO

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 YES

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 NO

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 YES

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 YES

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 NO

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 YES

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 YES

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 YES

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000  YES

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 300

 

Bonus: 

 

15/25   2000

16/25   3000

17/25   5000

18/25   7000

19/25    10000

20/25   15000

21/25    20,000

22/25   25,000 

23/25    33,000

24/25    40,000 

 25/25   50,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 146.510

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.509

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 56.2%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. BOSS BABY

5. BEAUTY AND THE BEAST

8. GIFTED

10. GOING IN STYLE

13. SLEIGHT

16. THE DINNER

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[Jake Gittes]

34 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

Just transferring @baumer's answers to this thread

 

ANSWERS

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 YES

 

 

Nope it dropped 57%.

[chasmmi]

Week 1 Scores:

 

Name	Part 1	Part 2	Part 3	Total
Matrix4You	92000	0	10000	102000
Simionski	76000	0	18000	94000
JakeGittes	83000	0	10000	93000
MrPink	59000	30000	0	89000
24Lost	76000	12000	0	88000
Darkelf	77000	0	0	77000
Exxdee	71000	0	4000	75000
Wrathofhan	63000	0	10000	73000
Kayumanggi	57000	12000	0	69000
Blankments	47000	12000	4000	63000
Kalo	52000	0	10000	62000
JJ-8	61000	0	0	61000
BCF26	49000	7000	4000	60000
Spaghetti	60000	0	0	60000
The Panda	49000	10000	0	59000
DamnitGeorge	59000	0	0	59000
Damienroc	59000	0	0	59000
MOvieMan89	58000	0	0	58000
AABattery	52000	0	4000	56000
Wrath	49000	0	0	49000
Ed	49000	0	0	49000
Franfar	47000	0	0	47000
The Dark Alfred	47000	0	0	47000
GreyGhost	47000	0	0	47000
Baumer	40000	5000	0	45000
Cmasterclay	44000	0	0	44000
Narniadas	43000	0	0	43000
Grim22	38000	0	4000	42000
thatoneGuy	42000	0	0	42000
Chewy	42000	0	0	42000
Chasmmi	39000	0	0	39000
Empire	33000	0	0	33000
Tele	33000	0	0	33000
Water Bottle	28000	0	4000	32000
Glassfairy	26000	0	0	26000

[WrathOfHan]

[Plain Old Tele]

Yikes.

[Chewy]

Got yall right where i want you

[Jake Gittes]

Aw yeah let's go

[Wrath]

Holy moly.

[Wrath]

On 5/7/2017 at 11:06 PM, grim22 said:

 

I'm trying something different this year. No edits. Look at a question, make a gut response answer and stick with it. Let's see how it works out  

At this point, the only thing I'm sure of is that whatever strategy I decide on will prove to be the wrong one.

[Empire]

2 hours ago, Tele Came Back said:

Yikes.

Same. 

[narniadis]

Wow what a piss poor result. 

[dxmatrixdt]

Sorry guys.... could someone please tell me how scoring is determined for this.