The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[cdsacken]

3 hours ago, TMP said:

FFH seems a lot more walk-up friendly too. Looks like a palette cleanser after Endgame as opposed to a main & important event like Captain Marvel was built up to be.

 

Definitely and CM was a palette cleaner. It was wonderful and super easy to rewatch. Loved it. May take my daughter to a free showing of it in a massive open air stadium.

[Menor the Destroyer]

5 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Definitely and CM was a palette cleaner. It was wonderful and super easy to rewatch. Loved it. May take my daughter to a free showing of it in a massive open air stadium.

Wait...there's a showing of CM in an open air stadium? 

[Legion Again]

22 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

 

17 PT 6/9/19 (End of Sun)  

1	29.5%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2	20.2%   Aladdin
3	12.3%	Dark Phoenix
4	10.5%	Rocketman
5	8.5%    Godzilla: King of the Monsters

Sunday is often the least interesting day of the week. I’ve added TS4 down below though.

 

  Reveal hidden contents

19 PT   (2 hours after usual time)

 

697	2019-06-13	THU	Men In Black International
545	2019-06-14	FRI	Men In Black International
504	2019-06-15	SAT	Men In Black International
288	2019-06-16	SUN	Men In Black International

141	2019-06-13	THU	Shaft
116	2019-06-14	FRI	Shaft
120	2019-06-15	SAT	Shaft
64	2019-06-16	SUN	Shaft

3595	2019-06-20	THU	Toy Story 4
3176	2019-06-21	FRI	Toy Story 4
2708	2019-06-22	SAT	Toy Story 4
1397	2019-06-23	SUN	Toy Story 4

 

17 PT 6/10/19 (End of Mon)  

1	30.9%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2	20.2%   Aladdin
3	10.2%	Dark Phoenix
4	7.9%	Rocketman
5	7.3%    Godzilla: King of the Monsters  

Shaft and MIBI don’t seem to be on the fandango day-by-day breakdowns anymore, but I think I’m going to stop including those anyway since they get recorded consistently elsewhere.

Edited June 11, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Menor the Destroyer]

25 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

17 PT 6/10/19 (End of Mon)  

1	30.9%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2	20.2%   Aladdin
3	10.2%	Dark Phoenix
4	7.9%	Rocketman
5	7.3%    Godzilla: King of the Monsters  

Shaft and MIBI don’t seem to be on the fandango day-by-day breakdowns anymore, but I think I’m going to stop including those anyway since they get recorded consistently elsewhere.

The weekly openers for the past couple of weeks have been removed from the report page (which is where I assume you're looking), but will be added to the daily page (which has a more detailed breakdown) by tomorrow.

[Legion Again]

10 minutes ago, Menor said:

The weekly openers for the past couple of weeks have been removed from the report page (which is where I assume you're looking), but will be added to the daily page (which has a more detailed breakdown) by tomorrow.

I looked at both to be safe. Funny that there’s a one day gap between disappearing from one and being up on the other.

[cdsacken]

2 hours ago, Menor said:

Wait...there's a showing of CM in an open air stadium? 

Rainers minor league stadium. They show it on their big screen. It's free near Tacoma WA. In a couple months.

 

Thinking I will take my daughter

Edited June 11, 2019 by cdsacken

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 hour ago, cdsacken said:

Rainers minor league stadium. They show it on their big screen. It's free near Tacoma WA. In a couple months.

 

Thinking I will take my daughter

That actually sounds really cool to watch a movie in a stadium...wish there was something like that where I live

[lorddemaxus]

4 hours ago, cdsacken said:

Definitely and CM was a palette cleaner. It was wonderful and super easy to rewatch. Loved it. May take my daughter to a free showing of it in a massive open air stadium.

I think TMP meant that the movie was marketed as a big event and as a prologue to Endgame that everyone needed to watch first and it was also marketed as an event for women. The movie was palette cleanser but I didn't get that from that marketing.

[Porthos]

Toy Story 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	90	10525	12309	14.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                    70

 

Unadjusted Comps

2.7071x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 10 days before release.

1.8878x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 10 days before release.

2.1998x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 10 days before release.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  Pika Pika had 29 days of pre-sales, Aladdin had 24, and King of the Monsters had 20 days of pre-sales while Toy Story 4 has 23 days of pre-sales.

 

T-10:

Pika         41 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/64 showings   |     6693/7352 seats left    |  8.96% sold]

Aladdin    44 tickets sold [0 sellouts/68 showings   |     9052/9997 seats left     |  9.45% sold]

KotM        49 tickets sold [0 sellouts/90 showings   |  11312/12123 seats left    |  6.69% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

0.9988x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 10 days before release.      

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

PRE-SALES NOTE: Fallen Kingdom had 22 days of pre-sales while Toy Story 4 has 23 days of pre-sales.

 

T-10:

JW2               60 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings |    8447/10113 seats left  | 16.47% sold]

TS4 (JW)        67 tickets sold [0 sellouts/90 showings |    8974/10638 seats left  | 15.64% sold]

TS4 (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

[Cap]

Thorkyrie AU - Toy Story 4

Thursday Previews

 

Lincoln Square 13
	5.29	6.3	6.5	6.6	6.10	Total	%	+ Sold
Thorkyrie AU	--	203	235	301	482	2331	20.67%	181
Toy Story 4	340	420	441	485	532	2034	26.15%	44
Southern Maine Cinemagic
	5.29	6.3	6.5	6.6	6.10	Total	%	+ Sold
Thorkyrie AU	--	6	6	9	15	1337	1.21%	6
Toy Story 4	--	15	17	17	23	2434	0.94%	6

 

Going into MIB's Final Week at LS13,

 

Pika Pika	465	103.65%
JW3	486	99.17%
Aladdin	627	76.87%
Rocketman	284	169.71%
Zilla	857	56.24%

 

it's right on par with Pika Pika and JW3, but they didn't have IMAX, and MIB has more tickets available, so.  

 

Going into MIB's Final Week at SMCM,

 

Pika Pika	34	44.11%
JW3	60	25%
Aladdin	36	41.66%
Rocketman	6	250%
Zilla	73	20.54%
Dark Phoenix	35	42.85%

 

This theater's crazy walk-up based, but even this, is not promising.

 

Note: Neither theater chain's doing Thursday previews for any of the other openers, or I would track them.

[dxmatrixdt]

must be the sound of every other movie against Aladdin in the minds of moviegoers over 2 months of scheduling, its like Duck Duck Goose or Red Rover.  Lol @ the production budget of Dark Phoenix

Edited June 11, 2019 by 2019 movie fan

[Menor the Destroyer]

7 minutes ago, 2019 movie fan said:

must be the sound of every other movie against Aladdin in the minds of moviegoers over 2 months of scheduling, its like Duck Duck Goose or Red Rover.  Lol @ the production budget of Dark Phoenix

Liked for the TPM gif

[RamblinRed]

The thing with CM was most people felt it was something you would absolutely need to see before AE because it was believed that CM would be a major character in AE. Turns out that was basically wrong. You could have gone into AE without seeing CM and it really wouldn't have mattered much as CM was a relatively minor part of AE.

 

CM gained probably an extra 20M in sales late in its run as people went out to see it or see it again before AE hit.

 

[ThomasNicole]

9 hours ago, Porthos said:

Toy Story 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	90	10525	12309	14.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                    70

 

Unadjusted Comps

2.7071x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 10 days before release.

1.8878x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 10 days before release.

2.1998x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 10 days before release.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  Pika Pika had 29 days of pre-sales, Aladdin had 24, and King of the Monsters had 20 days of pre-sales while Toy Story 4 has 23 days of pre-sales.

 

T-10:

Pika         41 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/64 showings   |     6693/7352 seats left    |  8.96% sold]

Aladdin    44 tickets sold [0 sellouts/68 showings   |     9052/9997 seats left     |  9.45% sold]

KotM        49 tickets sold [0 sellouts/90 showings   |  11312/12123 seats left    |  6.69% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

0.9988x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 10 days before release.      

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

PRE-SALES NOTE: Fallen Kingdom had 22 days of pre-sales while Toy Story 4 has 23 days of pre-sales.

 

T-10:

JW2               60 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings |    8447/10113 seats left  | 16.47% sold]

TS4 (JW)        67 tickets sold [0 sellouts/90 showings |    8974/10638 seats left  | 15.64% sold]

TS4 (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

Finally recovering, Fandango numbers are also promising.

 

Confident in 14-15M previews and $ 150M OW

[Eric S'ennui]

Fandango App

Monday

Tues

Wed

Thursday

Blockers

504

1,106

2,931

Breaking In

727

1,204

2,899

Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266

Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108

Eighth Grade (1K expansion)

494

508

720

936

The Meg

1,539

2,944

6,723

16,202

Searching (1K expansion)

303

588

1,194

2,862

Night School

1,045

1,756

3,566

Nobody's Fool

436

900

1,719

4,437

Instant Family

230

565

1,325

2,584

Green Book (Wed) (1K expansion)

387

922

1,701

2,268

Spider-Verse

3,715

5,208

9,858

19,972

Bumblebee

1,553

1,817

3,157

On the Basis (2K expansion)

537

1,043

2,200

3,511

Lego Movie 2

2,552

4,130

8,601

13,320

How to Train Your Dragon 3

3,724

6,674

12,935

21,313

Fight w/ Family (2.5K expansion)

165

368

1,284

2,657

Shazam

5,099

**391

***2,099

17,154

Pokemon Detective Pikachu

5,061

7,653

13,177

23,309

Godzilla King of the Monsters

2,585

5,734

11,157

20,065

Ma

336

912

2,244

6,215

The Secret Life of Pets 2

2,967

3,245

7,355

12,860

MIB International	1,496
Shaft	330
Late Night (1.5K expansion)	232

**12am-5am

***7pm-12am

 

 

MIB

Monday

40% of Spider-Verse (14.2M)

29% of Shazam (15.7M)

29% of Pikachu (16.1M)

23% of Ant-Man 2 (17.1M)

59% of Lego 2 (20M)

96% of Bumblebee (20.9M)

40% of Dragon 3 (22.1M)

50% of Pets 2 (23.5M)

16% of Fallen Kingdom (23.8M)

58% of King of the Monsters (27.6M)

97% of The Meg (44.1M)

 

Day 11-4

28% of Shazam (15.3M)

51% of Lego 2 (17.3M)

35% of Dragon 3 (19.4M)

56% of Pets 2 (26.2M)

 

Day 16-4

33% of Shazam (17.7M)

52% of Lego 2 (17.7M)

37% of Dragon 3 (20.7M)

67% of Pets 2 (31.2M)

 

So I managed to get a few more comps in there (though admittedly, MIB's kind of a hard one to pin down at the moment when it comes to reliable comps. I kinda just threw in some 30-40M openers, some kidpics, and a slew of Sony tentpoles). And it's...better? But still not something I would consider good. By comparison, Toy Story 4 sold more today. Sure it's expected to open big, but it's not like it's some tickets juggernaut at the moment either.

 

Shaft

Monday

45% of Breaking In (8M)

31% of Night School (8.6M)

76% of Nobody's Fool (10.4M)

65% of Blockers (13.5M)

105% of Tag (15.7M)

98% of Ma (17.8M)

120% of Uncle Drew (18.4M)

143% of Instant Family (20.8M)

 

This one also isn't doing that great, but it's at a lower budget, and the Netflix international sales probably helped the movie out. And if it goes into the higher end, I'd say that's a solid enough result.

 

Late Night

Monday

47% of Eighth Grade (1.3M)

76% of Searching (4.6M 3-Day, 5.8M 4-Day)

60% of Green Book (3.3M 3-Day, 4.5M 5-Day)

43% of On the Basis of Sex (2.6M)

133% of Fighting with my Family (11M)

 

This seems like a single digits affair, but I'm hoping the high end pulls through.

[YM!]

Toy Story 4 (9 before previews, 10 before release)

North Shore Cinema 

Mequon, WI

6/20/19

 

6:00 - 46/301 - UltraScreen 

8:45 - 12/301 - UltraScreen 

10:30 - 2/119 

 

Running:

260% of Despicable M3 ($188.9M OW)

250% of Aladdin ($228.8M OW)

230% of Pokémon: Detective Pikachu ($125.9M OW)

76% of Incredibles 2 ($138.7M OW)

 

This is very great for it. Should be pointing at a $140M-$165M OW for it.

[Eric S'ennui]

Movie/Date

Monday

Toy Story 4	1,724
	11 days
Annabelle 3	66
	16 days
Spider-Man FFH	907
	22 days

 

 

Toy Story

Day 18-11

203% of Dumbo (93.5M)

115% of Aladdin (104.9M 3-Day, 133.9M 4-Day)

195% of Dragon 3 (107.1M)

59% of Incredibles 2 (108.2M)

321% of Lego 2 (109.4M)

255% of Shazam! (136.5M)

 

Day 24-11

275% of Dragon 3 (151.4M)

290% of Shazam! (155.2M)

96% of Incredibles 2 (175.8M)

 

Annabelle

Day 22-16

18% of Us (12.9M)

[Boxofficerules]

5 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Movie/Date

Monday

Toy Story 4	1,724
	11 days
Annabelle 3	66
	16 days
Spider-Man FFH	907
	22 days

 

 

Toy Story

Day 18-11

203% of Dumbo (93.5M)

115% of Aladdin (104.9M 3-Day, 133.9M 4-Day)

195% of Dragon 3 (107.1M)

59% of Incredibles 2 (108.2M)

321% of Lego 2 (109.4M)

255% of Shazam! (136.5M)

 

Day 24-11

275% of Dragon 3 (151.4M)

290% of Shazam! (155.2M)

96% of Incredibles 2 (175.8M)

 

Annabelle

Day 22-16

18% of Us (12.9M)

Anything for Child’s Play?

[Eric S'ennui]

2 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Anything for Child’s Play?

Sorry, not tracking that at the moment

[Tinalera]

34

June 13 thursday previews

Late Night

Silvercity no shows 
 
Westmount
2 shows 1 screen 

Recliner
715 pm 5/48
10pm 0/48

Shaft
2 shows 1 screen

Recliner
715 0/63
1000 0/63

Westmount no shows

Men in black international
3 shows 1 screen
415 0/93
700 8/93(+3)
1000 0/93

Westmount

VIP

715 1/59
1000 0/59

 

annabelle and childs play are currently not showing for seat sales right now.

Edited June 11, 2019 by Tinalera