The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Joyous Legion]

17 minutes ago, Eric Osborn said:

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	12	288	23,563	48,623	48.46%

 

Comp

3.103x of Black Widow's Final Count (40.96M)

4.960x of Shang-Chi's Final Count (43.64M)

4.498x of Venom 2's Final Count (52.18M)

4.467x of Eternals' Final Count (42.43M)

 

Adjusted Comp

1.345x of Star Wars: TROS T-2 (53.81M)

Total Shows Added Today: 48

Total Seats Added Today: 5,709

Total Seats Sold Today: 2,147  

 

Philly took that 80% bump and dunked on it

[XXR & Friends]

3 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

60 and +40% is 307 talk, XXR going off the deep end again 😛 

Well the +40% was if it “only” did $50M. At $60M I could still se +25%. Maybe I’m just being starry-eyed and even with high WOM, there won’t be enough actually interest to carry it to extreme levels but I really want it over TFA OW!

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/14/2021 at 1:48 AM, Eric Osborn said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	61	1815	10811	16.79%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 96

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 407

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

3.180x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-9 (24.5M)

5.985x of Jungle Cruise T-9 (16.16M)

 

Gotta love that NWH ticket spillover. Shows people ain't just going for the prize turkey. There's a lot of uncertainty for 2022, but at least we can say for certain from today's overall sales that Christmas 2021 is going to be BANK mah bois.

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	91	1885	15698	12.01%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 70

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 477

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

2.944x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-8 (22.69M)

6.195x of Jungle Cruise T-8 (16.73M)

[XXR & Friends]

4 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

If the OD comes in at $120M, OW should be a lock at $240M at least. Looking at the stellar reception, maybe beating BP Dom is possible? And WW-China at $1.5-1.6B? 

All feasible, I’d say. A lot of variables to still sift through but just for a little math on $120M OD…

 

DH2 OD/OW Ratio

$223M OW

 

TRoS OD/OW Ratio

$237.5M OW

 

TLJ OD/OW Ratio

$252.2M OW

 

TFA OD/OW Ratio

$249.8M OW

 

IW OD/OW Ratio

$290.7M OW

 

EG OD/OW Ratio

$272.1M OW

 

As far as legs go, the lowest of the 6 films above is DH2 at 2.25x. That was of course not a December holiday release. The lowest of the SW films was TLJ at 2.81x. I feel like at worst, NWH should be able to do at least 2.7x although I think 3x is possible. 
 

So I’d say at this point, $225M is the minimum OW and $610M is the minimum DOM. Personally I’m thinking something more like $255M OW and $735M DOM.

[infamous5445]

Tbh anything over TLJ OW is good enough for me

[XXR & Friends]

Fact of the Day

 

Empire 25 in NYC is now at 64 screenings for Thursday. I believe this is the highest number we’ve ever seen for any previews at 1 theater.

[Tinalera]

A question for all of those who are doing the manual counting in excel-right now I enter "seats remaining" and "seats sold" as they show in the seating chart. So every time Im changing Im changing "100 seats available to 50" and typing in updated seats in the other column.

 

Any shortcuts or ideas in excel I could work where literally I just have a formula where I can enter current updated seat sold without typing out remaining seats as well? (I hope you understand what Im saying lol)

 

Just would save some time to have a formula of entering 1 set of numbers (seats sold) instead of two.

[ZackM]

1 minute ago, Tinalera said:

A question for all of those who are doing the manual counting in excel-right now I enter "seats remaining" and "seats sold" as they show in the seating chart. So every time Im changing Im changing "100 seats available to 50" and typing in updated seats in the other column.

 

Any shortcuts or ideas in excel I could work where literally I just have a formula where I can enter current updated seat sold without typing out remaining seats as well? (I hope you understand what Im saying lol)

 

Just would save some time to have a formula of entering 1 set of numbers (seats sold) instead of two.

If you know the total seats for each of the shows then just make the seats remaining a formula (= 'Total Seats' - 'Tickets Sold')

[DAJK]

So at least at my theater, which you can track ticket sales on the public website, NWH’s Thursday preview sales have ALREADY surpassed the following films’ TOTAL preview numbers:

 

Infinity War

Last Jedi

Rise of Skywalker

The Force Awakens

 

 

The ONLY movie I don’t think NWH will be able to pass is Endgame for previews here... but that’s still debatable.

[filmlover]

19 minutes ago, DAJK said:

So at least at my theater, which you can track ticket sales on the public website, NWH’s Thursday preview sales have ALREADY surpassed the following films’ TOTAL preview numbers:

 

Infinity War

Last Jedi

Rise of Skywalker

The Force Awakens

 

 

The ONLY movie I don’t think NWH will be able to pass is Endgame for previews here... but that’s still debatable.

Uncharted. Chaos walking.

 

(praise be our Christmas Lord & Savior Tommy Holland)

[Torontofan]

 

No Way Home is having the widest release I seen in a while 5-7 screens or more at all local theaters. 

 

Seems like they want to run a lot shows to get people wary to go into full showings as I found shows over 60% full are not getting full much anymore as much. 

 

(people super cautious here about Corona compared to other areas I find). 

Edited December 15, 2021 by Torontofan

[DC Rich]

2 hours ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

Fact of the Day

 

Empire 25 in NYC is now at 64 screenings for Thursday. I believe this is the highest number we’ve ever seen for any previews at 1 theater.

 

 

AMC Barrywoods 24 in Kansas City has 62 showings listed for Thursdays.   Two other AMCs are in the low 50s. 

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, DC Rich said:

 

 

AMC Barrywoods 24 in Kansas City has 62 showings listed for Thursdays.   Two other AMCs are in the low 50s. 

Yea I know if 2 at 63 but so far only Empire is at 64. It’s probably the highest grossing theater in the country. 

[BillionDollarChampioner10]

Spider-Man: No Way Home is officially certifed fresh on Rotten Tomatoes with 95% (fives stars, per Google), with 112/118 reviews.

[Valonqar]

how anyone could give it a rotten review is beyond me. 

Edited December 15, 2021 by Valonqar

[Tinalera]

Spiderman No Way Home

Greater Toronto Area, Ontario

Dec 16 taken Dec 15

 

25 Theatres 

288 shows

Total sold 40382 (dec 13 34657)

Total Remaining 34855 (dec 13 39409)

Total Seats 75237

Percentage 53.6

 

I will be doing Friday Numbers tonight.....gotta steel myself up for that smackload of seats.....

 

 

[DC Rich]

10 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

Yea I know if 2 at 63 but so far only Empire is at 64. It’s probably the highest grossing theater in the country. 

 

A couple of huge differences though.  As where Empire has several regular non PLF screens near full, my local one is nowhere close to have any of those screens near sold out.  In fact, a quick check of the non PLF screens shows that a person could still get a good seat in any of them.  Some had zero seats sold.  Of course KC's population is just a little bit lower than NYC to be honest.  

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 12/14/2021 at 1:12 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Theaters tracking

 

I picked up Sat & Sun today for the first (and most likely only) time so disregard the new sales for those days.  Friday actually sold more yesterday than previews.  Shows were added to both days, more so for Friday though (+21).   Total sales for Santikos over the weekend is $678,572 (using adult prices.)

 

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sales	Total Sold	True Capacity	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	Spider-Man	PLF	41	277	7,715	9,220	83.68%	$14.36	$110,809.77
		Standard	109	505	10,190	14,581	69.89%	$10.97	$111,810.35
	Thu Total		150	782	17,905	23,801	75.23%	$12.43	$222,620.12
T-3	Spidey (Fri)	PLF	56	277	8,281	12,523	66.13%	$14.10	$116,773.27
		Standard	109	777	7,026	16,406	42.83%	$10.38	$72,925.00
	Fri Total		165	1,054	15,307	28,929	52.91%	$12.39	$189,698.27
T-4	Spidey (Sat)	PLF	57	7,817	7,817	12,602	62.03%	$13.89	$108,611.66
		Standard	101	5,514	5,514	15,524	35.52%	$9.75	$53,737.52
	Sat Total		158	13,331	13,331	28,126	47.40%	$12.18	$162,349.18
T-5	Spidey (Sun)	PLF	56	5,352	5,352	12,455	42.97%	$13.89	$74,327.29
		Standard	105	3,201	3,201	16,025	19.98%	$9.24	$29,577.80
	Sun Total		161	8,553	8,553	28,480	30.03%	$12.15	$103,905.09

 

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sales	Total Sold	True Capacity	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	Spider-Man	N	113	543	13,604	17,742	76.68%	$13.22	$179,777.83
		Y	37	239	4,301	6,059	70.99%	$9.96	$42,842.29
	Thu Total		150	782	17,905	23,801	75.23%	$12.43	$222,620.12
T-3	Spidey (Fri)	N	83	596	10,034	15,098	66.46%	$13.50	$135,439.33
		Y	82	458	5,273	13,831	38.12%	$10.29	$54,258.94
	Fri Total		165	1,054	15,307	28,929	52.91%	$12.39	$189,698.27
T-4	Spidey (Sat)	N	82	7,275	7,275	15,082	48.24%	$13.80	$100,376.47
		Y	76	6,056	6,056	13,044	46.43%	$10.23	$61,972.71
	Sat Total		158	13,331	13,331	28,126	47.40%	$12.18	$162,349.18
T-5	Spidey (Sun)	N	82	4,213	4,213	15,084	27.93%	$14.09	$59,381.23
		Y	79	4,340	4,340	13,396	32.40%	$10.26	$44,523.86
	Sun Total		161	8,553	8,553	28,480	30.03%	$12.15	$103,905.09

Santikos Theaters tracking

 

Okay, I lied.  Ended up pulling the full weekend sales again.  Full weekend is up to $735,772 in presales.  Lots of weekend shows added since yesterday.  Previews are nearly at 80% full across 153 shows

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sales	Total Sold	True Capacity	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Spider-Man	PLF	41	356	8,071	9,220	87.54%	$14.37	$115,987.68
		Standard	112	754	10,944	14,806	73.92%	$10.97	$120,068.25
	Spider-Man Total		153	1,110	19,015	24,026	79.14%	$12.41	$236,055.93
T-2	Spidey (Fri)	PLF	59	414	8,695	13,414	64.82%	$14.06	$122,265.36
		Standard	130	1,096	8,122	18,979	42.79%	$10.36	$84,174.45
	Spidey (Fri) Total		189	1,510	16,817	32,393	51.92%	$12.28	$206,439.81
T-3	Spidey (Sat)	PLF	61	295	8,112	13,616	59.58%	$13.87	$112,516.53
		Standard	125	891	6,405	18,432	34.75%	$9.70	$62,101.48
	Spidey (Sat) Total		186	1,186	14,517	32,048	45.30%	$12.03	$174,618.01
T-4	Spidey (Sun)	PLF	59	597	5,949	13,346	44.58%	$13.87	$82,533.33
		Standard	131	720	3,921	19,053	20.58%	$9.21	$36,125.43
	Spidey (Sun) Total		190	1,317	9,870	32,399	30.46%	$12.02	$118,658.76

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sales	Total Sold	True Capacity	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Spider-Man	N	115	852	14,456	17,892	80.80%	$13.20	$190,821.62
		Y	38	258	4,559	6,134	74.32%	$9.92	$45,234.31
	Spider-Man Total		153	1,110	19,015	24,026	79.14%	$12.41	$236,055.93
T-2	Spidey (Fri)	N	96	926	10,960	16,964	64.61%	$13.38	$146,675.75
		Y	93	584	5,857	15,429	37.96%	$10.20	$59,764.06
	Spidey (Fri) Total		189	1,510	16,817	32,393	51.92%	$12.28	$206,439.81
T-3	Spidey (Sat)	N	97	512	7,787	17,140	45.43%	$13.71	$106,752.48
		Y	89	674	6,730	14,908	45.14%	$10.08	$67,865.53
	Spidey (Sat) Total		186	1,186	14,517	32,048	45.30%	$12.03	$174,618.01
T-4	Spidey (Sun)	N	98	646	4,859	17,227	28.21%	$13.95	$67,789.05
		Y	92	671	5,011	15,172	33.03%	$10.15	$50,869.71
	Spidey (Sun) Total		190	1,317	9,870	32,399	30.46%	$12.02	$118,658.76

[TwoMisfits]

So, The Matrix currently has a BOGO on Atom tickets for anyone...so, I'd expect a small bump in presales til that banner is gone.

 

I went ahead and got tickets for Xmas week for 4 - seems my girls are not interested, but at least my boys are:).

[el sid]

NWH, counted today at 11am EST for Sunday, Dec 19:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 1.507 (19 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 2.352+ (31 showtimes, on Monday it were 13, 1))
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 675 (19 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 337 (13 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 256 (18 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 1.431 (31 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 2.280 (36 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 8.838+.

Up since my last count two days ago: 16%. On that level in just two days that's a quite good jump I think.

 

1) NWH had 5 Sell Outs today (and they are true) in the AMC in Miami. I could find the right shows due to the time of day but I did not write down how many seats were still available on Monday. Therefore I added only one ticket for each Sell Out. Of course it were more than five sold tickets in reality, that's why I wrote 2.352+.

Comps: SC (20.7M true Friday) had on Thursday for Friday (= 1 day to go) 3.740 sold tickets = NWH = 2.365x with 3 days left to increase the lead (and as mentioned this is for a Sunday and not the first full day). On Monday, it was factor 2 so close to factor 3 should be doable for NWH till Friday (= also 1 day to go like SC back then). Would mean 55-60M on Sunday but that seems a bit too high, no?
TSS (8M true Friday) had also on Thursday for Friday 1.560 sold tickets,

F9 (22.8M true Friday) had on Thursday for Friday 3.585 sold tickets
and Eternals had on Thursday for Friday 4.090 sold tickets.
Venom 2 (25.7M true Friday) had on Friday for Friday (= 0 days left) 4.362 sold tickets = NWH = 2.03x with 4 days left to increase the lead. So NWH will be at ca. 2.5x+ when both films have 0 days left (but again, Venom 2 must have had good walk-ups). Factor 2.5 would mean 64M on Sunday minus a bit worse walk-ups would be again pretty much the same range as above for SC.
Nothing is impossible but with these presales for a Sunday I don't see NWH under 200M OW, not at all.
 

Probably tomorrow I can't count (too bad ) because my mum celebrates her birthday. But due to the hardworking members here that's no problem anyway .

PS: I'm again out of likes but of course I read the reports and responses and will react later.

Edited December 15, 2021 by el sid