The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

The Ontario situation is unfortunate but it’s not a major dent in the opening weekend. At the end of the day it might knock $5 million total off the number.

Starts Saturday right? At max $1M loss.

[Rorschach]

Nightmare Alley (Wednesday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Thursday: 
        6:00 P.M.: 3/67
        9:35 P.M.: 0/67
    Total Sold: 3/134 (2.24% sold)
    
    Friday:
        12:00 P.M.: 5/67
        3:25 P.M.: 0/67
        6:50 P.M.: 3/67
        10:15 P.M.: 2/67
    Total Sold: 10/268 (3.73% sold)
    
Thurs + Fri: 13/402 (3.23% sold)

 

Comps:
Last Night in Soho: $1.08 mil
Antlers: $1.16 mil
House of Gucci: $926k
Average: $1.06 mil

 

Somewhere in the $1 million range for OD is pretty in line with what I expected.

[Movies4Life]

Well, in just 16.8 hours from now, I finally see the world's most long-awaited movie of the year in laser square IMAX in NYC for the first of three viewings. I can't wait to see how everything is about to go down this weekend.

[TalismanRing]

NYC Regal (Local) (10pm)

 

SM:NWH (12.15.21) 3 more shows added for a total of 25 on Thur.  10 added for Sat & Sun for 27 total

 

(Total) 3,495/6672 = 52.83%

(RPX) 836/960 = 87.08%

(Non RPX) 2659/5712 = 46.55%

 

COMPS:

 

AEG: $43.10m   (4,853/5,493 = 88.35%.  Thur had more shows available to add than SM with a 46% bump in seats for Friday & Sat)

SW: TROS: $59.97m   (2331/4547  = 51.26%)

 

Nightmare Alley : seats sold went down from 8 on Monday to 4 on Wed

 

 

[Darth Lehnsherr]

13 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Nightmare Alley : seats sold went down from 8 on Monday to 4 on Wed

 

 

I see some people realised they weren't NWH tickets

[filmlover]

Nightmare Alley is definitely headed for Last Night in Soho territory, perhaps worse. Though this would've been a tough sell in any circumstance, pandemic or no pandemic, Spider-Man or no Spider-Man, even with that irresistible cast.

[charlie Jatinder]

The thread is so silent for a big film release.

[Movies4Life]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The thread is so silent for a big film release.

Not me. You should see how I've been spreading word of it on social media.

[XXR & Friends]

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The thread is so silent for a big film release.

We don’t have a lot of the data we used to have where everyone could get involved (AKValley numbers, Pulse etc.) and there are only half as many trackers now as 2 years ago. But if you want we can debate about this doing $60M+ tomorrow? 

[Joyous Legion]

12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The thread is so silent for a big film release.

Is it???? 
 

I feel like we’ve been moving pretty fast. Mtc2 being down and mtc1 times being a little harder to compare certainly influencing things a bit. But will get a little burst of conversation when philly and Sacto drop, then tomorrow should be day with most chatter thanks to the midday updates, final discussion over ratios, adjustments, etc

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

We don’t have a lot of the data we used to have where everyone could get involved (AKValley numbers, Pulse etc.) and there are only half as many trackers now as 2 years ago. But if you want we can debate about this doing $60M+ tomorrow? 

60?

 

45-50 looks tops.

[XXR & Friends]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

60?

 

45-50 looks tops.

I think it’s gonna surprise you  

[Joyous Legion]

The ideal preview number is one between 53 and 56 or so, so as to spark decades of arguments over the December preview record.

[Porthos]

10 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

60?

 

45-50 looks tops.

 

8 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

I think it’s gonna surprise you  

 

Really depends on whether or not we're in World One (pre-2020 comps are indicative) or World Two (2021 comps rule the day).

 

Fitting on the eve of a release concerning the Multiverse.

 

(yes yes, World Three [somewhere in-between])

Edited December 16, 2021 by Porthos

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, Porthos said:

 

 

Really depends on whether or not we're in World One (pre-2020 comps are indicative) or World Two (2021 comps rue the day).

 

Fitting on the eve of a release concerning the Multiverse.

 

(yes yes, World Three [somewhere in-between])

Im fully prepared to be wrong about this but until we find out differently (Friday AM I assume) I’m standing on the hill that the 2021 comps being off so far compared to 2019 will breakdown at numbers this high and revert to be more in line with Endgame and TROS. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

I'm still at 47, and won't be pushed higher unless walkups smash my expectations tomorrow. But there is a lot of uncertainty here, especially on the higher end. 

[Eric is Quiet]

43 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The thread is so silent for a big film release.

I'VE BEEN COUNTING TICKETS FOR 5 HOURS

[XO21]

I forgot we used to have the Fandango Pulse thing.

[Menor the Destroyer]

39 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

We don’t have a lot of the data we used to have where everyone could get involved (AKValley numbers, Pulse etc.) and there are only half as many trackers now as 2 years ago. But if you want we can debate about this doing $60M+ tomorrow? 

Yeah, reading back through those days, it was really a fun time. Now the tracking thread still feels a lot smaller, though we are far from the low point. 

[charlie Jatinder]

5 minutes ago, Eric Osborn said:

I'VE BEEN COUNTING TICKETS FOR 5 HOURS

So basically they will be pretty outdated when you post. 

 

Not impressed.