The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[filmlover]

Has anyone else mentioned we get double Icon Dafoe this weekend since he's also in Nightmare Alley?

 

[Tinalera]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Next week is looking to be when everything sees their theater counts slashed. Theaters around me are starting their schedules for Christmas Day and American Underdog/A Journal for Jordan/Licorice Pizza are all being placed in smaller auditoriums (all the big to medium-sized auditoriums are going to Spider-Man/Matrix/Sing/King's Man/West Side Story, unsurprising since those are are almost certain to be the daily top 5 throughout the holidays).

I know up here even with as many showings/seats, there are still a number of theatres who haven't even booked the IMAX screens, mostly AVX and regular-so those will no doubt kick in probably tomorrow for weekend showings. 

[ZackM]

Gonna take a little longer to get my Thursday numbers since we're up near 9000 showings now.

[keysersoze123]

9 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Gonna take a little longer to get my Thursday numbers since we're up near 9000 showings now.

WOW.

[Landon1195]

I think the walkups for No Way Home will be bigger than people think.

[ZackM]

5 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

I think the walkups for No Way Home will be bigger than people think.

Which people?

[Landon1195]

 

12 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Which people?

There are some people who think this movie will be very presale/Thursday night heavy and that it will have very low walkups. I don't think this will be the case. I know we are in a pandemic and that movies are now way more presale and Thursday night heavy, but I don't think it will be as frontloaded as a Star Wars movie.

Edited December 14, 2021 by Landon1195

[XXR & Friends]

2 hours ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

Any idea when we can expect an official theater count for opening weekend?

According to Deadline, it’s 4325. That’s 81 less than TROS.

[cdsacken]

30 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

 

There are some people who think this movie will be very presale/Thursday night heavy and that it will have very low walkups. I don't think this will be the case. I know we are in a pandemic and that movies are now way more presale and Thursday night heavy, but I don't think it will be as frontloaded as a Star Wars movie.

With the pandemic and tons of people skipping opening weekend due to crowds (aka me) I disagree.

 

Ramming into tight squeeze spaces with no one wearing a mask? Nah I'll wait till it's quieter.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2581

3795

68.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2443

4317

56.59%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
16372	696	36658	44.66%	15	240

 

AMCs sold	8226
Cinemarks sold	3143
Regals sold	3153
Harkins sold	1850

 

Eternals final comp: 34.94M

Shang-Chi final comp: 35.71M

Black Widow final comp: 33.97M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 38.28M

 

Adjusted T-3 TRoS comp: 47.36M

Daily pace comparisons:

  Reveal hidden contents

NWH T-3: +696, +4.44%

3.78x Eternals T-3 (+184, +8.90%)

2.66x Shang-Chi T-3 (+262, +17.15%)

2.30x Black Widow T-3 (+303, +10.76%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-3(13649): +445, +3.37%

0.908x TRoS T-3 (+490, +4.44%)

Nice jump, but it has fallen behind TRoS' gains. Let's see if reactions and reviews can push NWH back ahead, which I do expect it to FTR.

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2689

4017

66.94%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2565

4961

51.70%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
17617	1245	39584	44.51%	15	292

 

Showings added: 52

Seats added: 2926

 

AMCs sold	8576
Cinemarks sold	3324
Regals sold	3560
Harkins sold	2157

 

Eternals final comp: 37.59M

Shang-Chi final comp: 38.42M

Black Widow final comp: 36.55M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 40.81M

 

Adjusted T-2 TRoS comp: 48.09M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

Spoiler

NWH T-2: +1245, +7.60%

5.19x Eternals T-2 (+240, +10.66%)

4.54x Shang-Chi T-2 (+274, +15.31%)

3.27x Black Widow T-2 (+381, +12.22%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-2(14553): +904, +6.62%

TRoS T-2 (+578, +5.01%)

 

 

Before I started counting, I was thinking it'd be quite impressive if it added 1K today. Destroyed that.

[XXR & Friends]

1 minute ago, Inceptionzq said:

Before I started counting, I was thinking it'd be quite impressive if it added 1K today. Destroyed that.

Review bump is real. Nearly an 80% juice! 

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2689

4017

66.94%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2565

4961

51.70%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
17617	1245	39584	44.51%	15	292

 

Showings added: 52

Seats added: 2926

 

AMCs sold	8576
Cinemarks sold	3324
Regals sold	3560
Harkins sold	2157

 

Eternals final comp: 37.59M

Shang-Chi final comp: 38.42M

Black Widow final comp: 36.55M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 40.81M

 

Adjusted T-2 TRoS comp: 48.09M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

  Hide contents

NWH T-2: +1245, +7.60%

5.19x Eternals T-2 (+240, +10.66%)

4.54x Shang-Chi T-2 (+274, +15.31%)

3.27x Black Widow T-2 (+381, +12.22%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-2(14553): +904, +6.62%

TRoS T-2 (+578, +5.01%)

 

 

Before I started counting, I was thinking it'd be quite impressive if it added 1K today. Destroyed that.

There was the Atom deal today, but then it sold 400 tickets in Regal which doesn't have Atom, so...really good.

[Landon1195]

2 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

With the pandemic and tons of people skipping opening weekend due to crowds (aka me) I disagree.

 

Ramming into tight squeeze spaces with no one wearing a mask? Nah I'll wait till it's quieter.

Even with the pandemic, the MCU movie with the worst walkups and Thursday-weekend multiplier (Black Widow, which was probably only weak because all the hardcore fans went to see it Thursday night, while a lot of casuals probably just stayed at home and watched it on Disney+) still had more walkups and a bigger multiplier than Solo (which is the Star Wars movie with the biggest Thursday-weekend multiplier with 5.99, while Black Widow's was around 6-6.1). Even Endgame's multiplier was barely below Solo's at around 5.95.

[austyphoon17]

2 hours ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

All of these numbers will likely be closer to the OD than the OW, even $175M…

Even Dan Murrell (Charts with Dan) went conservative at $180m OW...

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-3 days Thursday(199 showings): 22880(+1046)/44309(+480) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 35.44M

Black Widow final comp: 36.48M

 

Daily pace comparison:

  Reveal hidden contents

NWH T-3: +1046, +4.79%

3.83x NTTD T-3 (+273, +16.91%)

3.09x Black Widow T-3 (+339, +9.85%)

 

T-4 days Friday(221 showings): 18229(+1141)/57816(+4686) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 42.01M

Black Widow final comp: 51.62M

 

Daily pace comparison:

  Reveal hidden contents

NWH T-4: +1141, +6.26%

2.22x NTTD T-4 (+514, +27.71%)

2.78x Black Widow T-4 (+411, +14.28%)

 

T-5 days Saturday(218 showings): 12094(+1185)/54773(+3492) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 34.00M

 

T-6 days Sunday(160 showings): 2929(+293)/47558(+1236) in 15 theaters

 

Very nice jumps here as well

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-2 days Thursday(216 showings): 24201(+1321)/46776(+2467) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 37.49M

Black Widow final comp: 38.59M

 

Daily pace comparison:

Spoiler

NWH T-2: +1321, +5.77%

3.60x NTTD T-2 (+367, +19.45%)

2.17x Black Widow T-2 (+608, +16.09%)

 

T-3 days Friday(283 showings): 20121(+1892)/67734(+9915) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 46.37M

Black Widow final comp: 56.98M

 

Daily pace comparison:

Spoiler

NWH T-3: +1892, +10.38%

2.40x NTTD T-3 (+788, +33.26%)

3.00x Black Widow T-3 (+630, +19.15%)

 

T-4 days Saturday(290 showings): 13642(+1548)/63022(+8249) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 38.35M

 

T-5 days Sunday(284 showings): 3388(+459)/68808(+21250) in 15 theaters

 

Very impressive jumps here as well

[keysersoze123]

19 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

According to Deadline, it’s 4325. That’s 81 less than TROS.

Theater count is irrelevant. Show count is more important. NWH has more shows than SW9 for sure. Way more considering its a 3PM start. 

[cdsacken]

5 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

Even with the pandemic, the MCU movie with the worst walkups and Thursday-weekend multiplier (Black Widow, which was probably only weak because all the hardcore fans went to see it Thursday night, while a lot of casuals probably just stayed at home and watched it on Disney+) still had more walkups and a bigger multiplier than Solo (which is the Star Wars movie with the biggest Thursday-weekend multiplier with 5.99, while Black Widow's was around 6-6.1). Even Endgame's multiplier was barely below Solo's at around 5.95.

 

Best thing it has going for it is the insane reviews. That could drive walk-ups for sure. Regardless if it's heavy for opening weekend, the next 7 days will be monstrous. 600+ domestic, hoping for 700 but that's asking a lot

 

[XXR & Friends]

5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Theater count is irrelevant. Show count is more important. NWH has more shows than SW9 for sure. Way more considering its a 3PM start. 

I’m aware. I was interested in how closures may have affected theater count during the winter months. It’s not as much as I expected based on the way some in here talk.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-3 days Thursday(291 showings): 28557(+654, +2.34%)/37009(+1005)

 

Eternals final comp: 27.01M

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.54x Eternals T-3 (+425, +6.97%)

 

T-4 days Friday(328 showings): 27204(+976, +3.72%)/43120

 

Eternals final comp: 44.28M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.01x Eternals T-4 (+486, +8.15%)

 

T-5 days Saturday(360 showings): 27991(+1278, +4.78%)/47804

 

Eternals final comp: 45.25M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.53x Eternals T-5 (+505, +8.53%)

 

T-6 days Sunday(300 showings): 16347(+1162, +7.65%)/40028

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.42x Eternals T-6 (+480, +13.93%)

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 days Thursday(378 showings): 29495(+938, +3.28%)/40984(+3975)

 

Eternals final comp: 27.90M

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.54x Eternals T-2 (+611, +9.37%)

 

T-5 days Sunday(300 showings): 17249(+902, +5.52%)/50383(+10355)

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.92x Eternals T-5 (+471, +12.00%)

 

Friday and Saturday are giving me problems for whatever reason. So just Thursday and Sunday today

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 days Thursday(378 showings): 29495(+938, +3.28%)/40984(+3975)

 

Eternals final comp: 27.90M

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.54x Eternals T-2 (+611, +9.37%)

 

T-5 days Sunday(300 showings): 17249(+902, +5.52%)/50383(+10355)

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.92x Eternals T-5 (+471, +12.00%)

 

Friday and Saturday are giving me problems for whatever reason. So just Thursday and Sunday today

These comps just seem weird in general. Only 1.54x Eternals at this point for Thursday?