The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It's opening at quite a few theaters around me. Not that I expect it to do particularly well.

I'm surprised the local chain is even getting it because of how poorly horror and younger skewing films do there; Insidious and Maze Runner got dropped once the two week contract ended a few weeks ago. 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

I'm surprised the local chain is even getting it because of how poorly horror and younger skewing films do there; Insidious and Maze Runner got dropped once the two week contract ended a few weeks ago. 

Focus paid a nice penny for it at Sundance more than a year ago (most likely because of the fact it's Yelchin's final movie and didn't realize the movie was a hard sell), so they might as well try and milk it as much as they can.

[MaxAggressor]

26 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Thoroughbreds is opening near me next week, so I'm guessing Focus is opening it in 600-700 theaters?

 

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

Thanks. I had no clue this was even coming out next week; Focus is doing an awesome job marketing it!

[A District 3 Engineer]

nm.

Edited March 1, 2018 by A District 3 Engineer

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, A District 3 Engineer said:

https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/969286660994117632

You're too late  

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Thanks. I had no clue this was even coming out next week; Focus is doing an awesome job marketing it!

It's going to make peanuts for sure. I'm guessing Focus had no clue how to sell it; too young-skewing and weird for specialty crowds and the R rating makes it not very teen-friendly.

Edited March 1, 2018 by filmlover

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, filmlover said:

It's going to make peanuts for sure. I'm guessing Focus had no clue how to sell it; too young-skewing and weird for specialty crowds and the R rating makes it not very teen-friendly.

They probably could have dumped a million or two into YouTube advertising.

[MaxAggressor]

 

[WrathOfHan]

What kind of magic did STX and Amazon use to get Gringo's theater count up from the 1,500 last week?  

[WrathOfHan]

Final sales tonight at my theater:

 

Red Sparrow: 35/78

Death Wish: 25/78

 

Red Sparrow comps:

 

45% of Kingsman (17.6M)

50% of Orient Express (14.4M)

95% of The Post (18.4M)

105% of Game Night (17.9M)

125% of Annihilation (13.9M)

135% of The Commuter (18.5M)

 

Atomic Blonde was in the low-teens IIRC, so that's not a good comp. 17-19M is looking like the range from previews; we'll see what the Friday comps have in store.

Death Wish:

 

30% of Kingsman (11.7M)

80% of 12 Strong (12.6M)

90% of Den of Thieves (13.7M)

90% of Hostiles (9.1M)

95% of The Commuter (13M)

 

That 20M tracking seems incredible optimistic given my area is basically the "target demo" (old white guys).

[titanic2187]

<< Prev. Week < Last Year	View Index	Next Year > Next Week >>
Rank LW Title Distributor Theater Count Change % Change Est. Screens Change Est. Shows Change Week # > NEW RELEASES 4 - Red Sparrow Fox 3,056 - - - - - - 1 5 - Death Wish (2018) MGM 2,847 - - - - - - 1 46 - The Vanishing of Sidney Hall A24 10 - - - - - - 1 49 - Foxtrot Sony Classics 4 - - - - - - 1 > EXPANDING 1 1 Black Panther Buena Vista 4,084 +64 +1.6% - - - - 3 3 3 Game Night Warner Bros. 3,502 +14 +0.4% - - - - 2 8 8 Annihilation Paramount 2,112 +100 +5.0% - - - - 2 10 9 Every Day (2018) Orion Pictures 1,669 +2 +0.1% - - - - 2 12 18 Call Me by Your Name Sony Classics 914 +239 +35.4% - - - - 15 13 14 Darkest Hour Focus Features 911 +116 +14.6% - - - - 15 15 16 The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 832 +111 +15.4% - - - - 14 16 17 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 770 +79 +11.4% - - - - 17 17 19 Phantom Thread Focus Features 715 +64 +9.8% - - - - 10 18 20 Lady Bird A24 710 +109 +18.1% - - - - 18 22 22 I, Tonya Neon 510 +87 +20.6% - - - - 13 24 26 Paddington 2 Warner Bros. 293 +12 +4.3% - - - - 8 32 57 Nostalgia Bleecker Street 140 +124 +775.0% - - - - 3 38 51 The Party (2017) Roadside Attractions 92 +62 +206.7% - - - - 3 40 43 A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics 89 +11 +14.1% - - - - 5 43 61 Loveless (2018) Sony Classics 25 +13 +108.3% - - - - 3 48 72 The Cured IFC 5 +2 +66.7% - - - - 2 > DECLINING 2 2 Peter Rabbit Sony / Columbia 3,607 -100 -2.7% - - - - 4 6 4 Fifty Shades Freed Universal 2,609 -656 -20.1% - - - - 4 7 6 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony / Columbia 2,313 -206 -8.2% - - - - 11 9 5 The 15:17 to Paris Warner Bros. 1,803 -949 -34.5% - - - - 4 11 10 The Greatest Showman Fox 1,407 -194 -12.1% - - - - 11 14 7 Early Man Lionsgate 897 -1,597 -64.0% - - - - 3 19 15 The Post Fox 671 -124 -15.6% - - - - 11 20 13 Winchester Lionsgate 576 -276 -32.4% - - - - 5 21 12 Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox 543 -409 -43.0% - - - - 6 23 11 Samson Pure Flix 434 -706 -61.9% - - - - 3 25 24 Den of Thieves STX Entertainment 269 -88 -24.6% - - - - 7 26 21 12 Strong Warner Bros. 257 -191 -42.6% - - - - 7 27 23 Hostiles Entertainment Studios 251 -165 -39.7% - - - - 11 28 27 Coco Buena Vista 235 -31 -11.7% - - - - 15 29 25 Star Wars: The Last Jedi Buena Vista 221 -71 -24.3% - - - - 12 30 31 Wonder Lionsgate 150 -8 -5.1% - - - - 16 31 29 Forever My Girl Roadside Attractions 145 -73 -33.5% - - - - 7 33 35 Pitch Perfect 3 Universal 113 -22 -16.3% - - - - 11 34 33 The Commuter Lionsgate 112 -26 -18.8% - - - - 8 35 36 Thor: Ragnarok Buena Vista 110 -21 -16.0% - - - - 18 36 34 Justice League Warner Bros. 101 -36 -26.3% - - - - 16 37 32 La Boda de Valentina Pantelion 95 -46 -32.6% - - - - 4 39 39 Molly's Game STX Entertainment 91 -13 -12.5% - - - - 10 41 37 Detective Chinatown 2 Warner Bros. 65 -46 -41.4% - - - - 3 42 40 Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool Sony Classics 53 -49 -48.0% - - - - 10 44 54 Happy End Sony Classics 13 -5 -27.8% - - - - 11 45 53 The Florida Project A24 10 -11 -52.4% - - - - 22 47 60 The Disaster Artist A24 8 -4 -33.3% - - - - 14

 

 

BP add more theater in its 3rd week while oscar BP nominees is having their one last push before get dumped

[trifle]

OK, I have a problem.  I'm not going to be able to get on the road in time to make my 7 pm IMAX showing for Red Sparrow, so my friend and I are rescheduling.  My question is, if I just leave it as is and don't get a refund, will Red Sparrow still get credit for my ticket even if I don't show up?  Because if so, I'll let it lie.

[KeepItU25071906]

Movietickets

 

Black Panther: 49,8%

Red Sparrow: 9,8%

Game Night: 7%

Death Wish: 5,5%

Peter Rabbit: 3,5%

[WrathOfHan]

How tomorrow looks at my theater:

 

Spoiler

Black Panther:

 

10:00: 2/124

10:30: 2/63

11:00: 7/113

11:30 3D: 2/78

12:15 3D: 0/78

1:15: 0/124

1:45: 0/63

2:15: 0/113

2:45 3D: 0/78

3:45 3D: 0/78

4:30: 3/124

5:30: 8/113

6:00 3D: 0/78

7:00 3D: 7/78

7:45: 9/124

8:45: 6/113

9:15 3D: 0/78

9:45: 4/63

10:15 3D: 0/78

10:45: 2/124

 

Red Sparrow:

 

10:00: 16/78

1:40: 17/78

3:40: 6/78

7:25: 13/78

9:40: 0/78

 

Death Wish:

 

11:05: 23/78

1:10: 10/78

4:45: 2/78

6:55: 4/78

10:30: 4/78

 

Game Night:

 

10:10: 0/78

12:30: 0/78

3:00: 4/78

5:25: 0/78

8:00: 0/78

10:35: 0/78

Annihilation:

 

10:35: 0/67

1:20: 0/67

4:10: 2/67

7:05: 0/67

9:55: 2/67

 

Peter Rabbit:

 

11:15: 0/78

1:35: 0/78

4:00: 0/78

6:30: 3/78

9:00: 0/78

 

Fifty Shades:

 

10:05: 0/69

12:35: 0/69

3:10: 0/69

5:40: 0/69

8:10: 2/69

10:40: 0/69

 

Black Panther: 52/1,885

Red Sparrow: 52/390

Death Wish: 43/390

Game Night: 4/468

Annihilation: 4/335

Peter Rabbit: 3/390

Fifty Shades: 2/414

Jumanji and Every Day have sold nothing.

 

Red Sparrow comps:

 

60% of The Post (11.6M)

70% of Orient Express (20.1M)

95% of Kingsman (37.1M)

150% of The Commuter (20.6M)

165% of Atomic Blonde (30.2M)

 

It's hard to find a perfect comp for this given it'll likely skew towards females.

 

Death Wish:

 

50% of The Post (9.7M)

65% of American Assassin (9.6M) (day of)

70% of 15:17 to Paris (8.8M)

80% of Kingsman (31.2M)

100% of 12 Strong (15.8M)

105% of Hostiles (10.6M)

120% of The Commuter (16.4M)

 

Over half of sales so far are for the very first show; compare that to RS, and you can see how older skewing this will be. Critics are calling it NRA propaganda, so this is going to bomb in metro areas.

[trifle]

I'm reading several people say their movie pass was blocked for 2d showings of Red Sparrow tonight and people didn't find out until the theater and went to see other things. I hope that doesn't stay true, after opening night.

Edited March 2, 2018 by trifle

[filmlover]

Red Sparrow actually sold out its 7:00 show tonight here.

[trifle]

2 hours ago, trifle said:

I'm reading several people say their movie pass was blocked for 2d showings of Red Sparrow tonight and people didn't find out until the theater and went to see other things. I hope that doesn't stay true, after opening night.

hm, many people are hitting this it seems: https://www.reddit.com/r/MoviePassClub/comments/816tne/red_sparrow_not_supported_tonight/

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, trifle said:

OK, I have a problem.  I'm not going to be able to get on the road in time to make my 7 pm IMAX showing for Red Sparrow, so my friend and I are rescheduling.  My question is, if I just leave it as is and don't get a refund, will Red Sparrow still get credit for my ticket even if I don't show up?  Because if so, I'll let it lie.

No one ever answered you, but for future reference, yes it still counts as money going into Red Sparrow's column if you don't get a refund.  

[trifle]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

No one ever answered you, but for future reference, yes it still counts as money going into Red Sparrow's column if you don't get a refund.  

Thanks!  I hoped so, so I didn't get the refund.