The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[WrathOfHan]

On 5/8/2018 at 11:39 AM, WrathOfHan said:

Nothing is gone.

 

Breaking In: 6 (Average)

Lean on Pete: 5 (Smallest)

Life of the Party: 5 (Biggest)

 

Avengers: Infinity War: 18 (Down 2; 15 2D/2 3D; XL x2, Biggest, and Smallest x3)

I Feel Pretty: 5 (Up 1; Average and Smallest)

Overboard: 5 (Up 1; Average)

Rampage: 5 (Up 1; Average)

A Quiet Place: 5 (Up 1; Biggest and Smallest)

Chappaquiddick: 3 (Down 1; Average)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

Chappaquiddick, I Feel Pretty, Lean on Pete, Rampage, and A Quiet Place are gone.

 

Deadpool 2: 24 (XL x2, Biggest x2, and Average)

Show Dogs: 6 (Biggest and Average)

Book Club: 5 (Average)

 

Avengers: Infinity War: 8 (Down 10 and lost 3D; Average and Smallest)

Breaking In: 6 (Flat; Smallest)

Life of the Party: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Overboard: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

Edited May 14, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Porthos]

Quote

2018-05-15 00:02:03.279739 UTC
1	28.4%	Avengers: Infinity War
2	21.8%	Deadpool 2
3	8.2%	Breaking In
4	7.6%	Life of the Party
5	5.2%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

Probably will just miss.  But only because MT.com stops updating for the night.

[Nova]

5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Probably will just miss.  But only because MT.com stops updating for the night.

Yea I'm thinking sometime tomorrow it'll take over that top spot. 

[Nova]

Welp it came close. Last MT update for the night has IW at 27% and DP2 at 24%. 

 

The evil empire always gets its way doesnt it. 

[TalismanRing]

50 minutes ago, Nova said:

Welp it came close. Last MT update for the night has IW at 27% and DP2 at 24%. 

 

The evil empire always gets its way doesnt it. 

There's no equation where FOX is not the evilest empire.

[WrathOfHan]

Just saw that the Royal Wedding will be in theaters on Saturday...... as an encore presentation. Just open theaters early; they'll have demand for Deadpool anyways!

Edited May 15, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

5 days later...

Deadpool 2	806	2042	29.04%
Solo	533	2034	26.20%
Incredibles 2	76	3032	2.51%
Mamma Mia 2	4	1582	0.25%

 

Yup, Deadpool's definitely spiking up as the release date grows nearer. And it still hasn't finalized its showtimes. It'll probably add one or two more by Monday or Tuesday when my theater decides what they're going to keep and how much they'll give to Book Club and Show Dogs. Solo's still doing pretty okay, but it has slowed down a bit, which is reasonable.

 

Incredibles 2 started selling tickets two days ago, so at about three days, it seems...fine. Just fine, especially for a movie that's not supposed to be presales-driven. Mamma Mia just started selling tickets today, and it's only sold 4 tickets on a Friday night showing. I don't think this will see a lot of action until we get closer to July (I still don't get why Uni is putting tickets out this early.)

Deadpool 2	905	2042	44.32%
Solo	539	2034	26.20%
Incredibles 2	131	3032	4.32%
Mamma Mia 2	4	1582	0.25%

 

Not a whole lot of activity in just a day, outside of a big bump from Deadpool. Incredibles also saw a decent spike, but that's mainly because a bunch of tickets were sold for Saturday afternoon.

 

Keep in mind for Deadpool that the showtimes aren't finalized yet, and they'll likely come tomorrow.

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, CoolEric258 said:

Deadpool 2	905	2042	44.32%
Solo	539	2034	26.20%
Incredibles 2	131	3032	4.32%
Mamma Mia 2	4	1582	0.25%

 

Not a whole lot of activity in just a day, outside of a big bump from Deadpool. Incredibles also saw a decent spike, but that's mainly because a bunch of tickets were sold for Saturday afternoon.

 

Keep in mind for Deadpool that the showtimes aren't finalized yet, and they'll likely come tomorrow.

Any Deadpool comps?

[Eric is Quiet]

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Any Deadpool comps?

Keep in mind the comps I have go up to Thursday.

 

99% of Thor: Ragnarok ($121.6M)

18% of Black Panther ($37M)

419% of Ready Player One's 3-Day ($175M)

22% of Infinity War ($57M)

 

Yeah, it's kinda hard to find something just yet, not only because these films have had more days to get tickets, but only just recently is my theater adding more showtimes for Deadpool (Thursday only had 2, 3 if you include the DP Double Feature, and now has 8 shows right after my initial posting)

[narniadis]

All of this is still pointing to me at the first 130m~ tracking being right. There is precedence for 2nd films to not do as well, but thats normally in the legs department (Ultron being an exception of course)

 

I would be uneasy about calling 150m guaranteed at this point but you never know with an "R" film - also, I think everyone tends to forget just how much Valentines / Presidents Day boosted the OW for Deadpool 1

[narniadis]

Heres a Hypothetical for yall...

 

Deadpool had a gross on OW of 132m....

 

F47.3

S42.5

S42.5 - VALENTINES

M19 - President's Day - HUGE Boost

 

With a regular weekend set up and accounting for some spill-over

F47.3

S42.5

S34.006 (-20%) = 123,849,000

M11,559 (-65%) and so on

 

There was nearly 20m in funds that wont be available this go around due to the boost of the holidays. A Natural Sequel like growth would say that 130-140 for an R rated property is probably right in line with expectations....

 

Needs at least 55m on OD to have a hope of 140m+

[Porthos]

Last six hours on Fandango (aggregate):

 

DP2: 6173 sets of tickets

IW:   5696 sets of tickets

 

 

Last hour (aggregate):

DP2: 1095 sets of tickets

IW:    605 sets of tickets

 

 

I will be very surprised if DP2 doesn't have the 24 hour lead when MT.com opens up tomorrow morning.

 

Edited May 15, 2018 by Porthos

[Porthos]

Deadpool 2 Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: T-3 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	127	9812	14181	30.81%

 

Total Showings Added Today:    6

Total Seats Added Today:      714

Total Seats Sold Today:         378

 

==============================

 

Solo: A Star Wars Story GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-10 Days and counting  

 

Sellouts: 

1/88 (nc) [R1: 6/105]

 

2D:  0/63 (nc) [R1: 4/69]

3D:  0/25 (nc) [R1: 2/36]

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 67 showings [+1] [R1: 45]>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

0 (nc) [R1: 4]

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

1 (nc) [R1: 1]

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

11 (nc) [R1: 15]

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

0 (nc) [R1: 3]

 

Weekend Showings

Fr:   0/195

St:   0/197

Su:  0/194

Mo: 0/185

 

---

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (67/88 showings [+1/+1]):

100%:      1 (nc)

90-99%:   1 (nc)

80-89%:   6 (nc)

70-79%:   8 (nc)

60-69%:   6 (nc)

50-59%:   3 (nc)

40-49%:   4 (nc)

30-39%:   6 (nc)

20-29%:   6 (+1)

10-19%:   6 (+1)

0-9%:     20 (-1)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	88	5935	9386	36.77%

 

Total Showings Added Today:  1

Total Seats Added Today:      38

Total Seats Sold Today:         47

----

.5526x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after 11 days of pre-sales.
.4326x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 10 days before release. (IW had 21 more days of pre-sales)
1.094x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 10 days before release. (BP had 18 more days of pre-sales) [I don't have info for day four of pre-sales for BP]
1.186x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 10 days before release. (DP2 had two [or so] more days of pre-sales)

[Krissykins]

On 13/05/2018 at 10:23 PM, Krissykins said:

When will Deadpool knock Infinity War from #1? Tuesday at the latest? 

[Boxofficerules]

Deadpool 2 has over taken Avengers on MT

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Deadpool 2 has over taken Avengers on MT

Nice call @Porthossaying that it'll overtake it for the morning update 

 

Just putting the percentages here in case we wanna compare for future films lol 

DP2 is at 28.6% 

IW is at 25.6% 

Breaking In is at 6% 

Life of The Party is at 5.7% 

Han Solo 5.1%  

[Thrylos 7]

We are at Tuesday, two days before Deadpool opens (with Thursday midnights), I really can’t see what’s so amazing with it finally overtaking IW, it took its sweet time to do it.

[Nova]

8 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

We are at Tuesday, two days before Deadpool opens (with Thursday midnights), I really can’t see what’s so amazing with it finally overtaking IW, it took its sweet time to do it.

Who said it's amazing? We are reporting when it took over and it's percentages so we have comps  for the future. 

 

Not every film is going to be IW or BP and the reality is most of them are going to be like Deadpool 2 so yea it's nice to have future comps. 

[narniadis]

Some people just want a reason to complain about things - and don't really care what it is they complain about.

 

Deadpool 2 is doing fine unless you have your expectations out of kilter.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Any chance SOLO gets to second place by Saturday? Star Wars is pre-sale heavy and reviews are coming tonight I think.