The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TwoMisfits]

7 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

I'm surprised Madea is doing as well as it is. Aren't people sick of those things by now? I tried watching one once because of a certain actress being in it and I swore I'd never watch another one no matter who's in it.

TMobile had a $4 ticket deal for it, so I assume the cheapness is helping...

 

EDIT: Never realized how much of a base T-Mobile has...80M customers, although not all get the One plans (that come with Netflix and the entertainment deals)...but even if only 1/4 of that number are North American subscribers on One plans...those ticket deals can actually have a bigger effect than I thought - then again, I passed on Alita (thanks honey) and I'm passing this week, so I'm not using the deal again...I wonder what % actually redeems (I'm sure that varies greatly by the movie:)...

Edited February 28, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[Eric is Anxious]

Theater time

 

Madea Family Funeral

901

1938

46.49%

 

190% of Acrimony (32.6M)

210% of Breaking In (37.1M)

208% of Night School (56.8M)

246% of Nobody's Fool (33.8M)

207% of What Men Want (37.8M)

 

Maybe this could see an overperformance. Granted, this is based off a franchise instead of an original, but this outpacing these movies by a considerable margin is mad impressive.

[Deep Wang]

Well, shit. I specially asked about getting the numbers today, but he got me yesterday morning’s numbers 😐 oh well. 

 

M - 327k

 

CM - 5.4m

 

U -62k

 

[ThomasNicole]

3 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

Well, shit. I specially asked about getting the numbers today, but he got me yesterday morning’s numbers 😐 oh well. 

 

M - 327k

 

CM - 5.4m

 

U -62k

 

Holy shit!!!

 

Do you think this could reach 10M? Still have yesterday, today and 7 more days to count.

[grim22]

4 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

Well, shit. I specially asked about getting the numbers today, but he got me yesterday morning’s numbers 😐 oh well. 

 

M - 327k

 

CM - 5.4m

 

U -62k

 

Black Panther was 7M 9 days before release. Both titles were tied 21 days before release, so the pace fell off a bit from Panther.

[Deep Wang]

For comparison 

 

BATB 10 days out - 3.2m

 

BP 9 days out - 7m

Edited March 1, 2019 by Deep Wang

[Deep Wang]

3 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Holy shit!!!

 

Do you think this could reach 10M? Still have yesterday, today and 7 more days to count.

 

It’s very possible. This last week will see a huge increase like most movies get, plus the premiere and reviews coming out could boost it even more. 

[ThomasNicole]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Black Panther was 7M 9 days before release. Both titles were tied 21 days before release, so the pace fell off a bit from Panther.

BP was more strong in the last days, especially after premiere, if i remember correctly.

 

But this is really great for CM, from my understand this bodes well for $ 150M or more.

[ThomasNicole]

1 minute ago, Deep Wang said:

 

It’s very possible. This last week will see a huge increase like most movies get, plus the premiere and reviews coming out could boost it even more. 

Thank you, i really, REALLY want this making $ 150 - 160M, just to see all these people saying the movie will be a bomb freaking out. With these presales i think is a completely reasonable number.

[TalismanRing]

So 5.4m/7 = 77% x 25.2m (BP previews) = $19.4m

 

That's  very close to where Porthos's Thur numbers have CM in comparison to  AIW  .48 x $39m = $18.72m

 

Using those numbers a 7.75 -8 internal multi hits $150m

 

[Joyous Legion]

BP was 6.94, so this is about 78% at same point in time. On the one hand, 13 months later probably means more presales and a lower presale multiplier. OTOH, BP already had it’s world premiere and 2 days post embargo sitting with 100% RT. All factors considered I think it is on track for 150-190.

[Joyous Legion]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

So 5.4m/7 = 77% x 25.2m (BP previews) = $19.4m

 

That's  very close to where Porthos's Thur numbers have CM in comparison to  AIW  .48 x $39m = $18.72m

 

Using those numbers a 7.75 -8 internal multi hits $150m

 

The Wang numbers are for all days (Thurs, FSS, and even beyond though that’s usually a tiny %). 

[TalismanRing]

Just now, Thanos Legion said:

The Wang numbers are for all days (Thurs, FSS, and even beyond though that’s usually a tiny %). 

I know, but talking previews it's usually in the same ball park - like BvS and CW - even if o/w is different

[Porthos]

32 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

Well, shit. I specially asked about getting the numbers today, but he got me yesterday morning’s numbers 😐 oh well. 

 

M - 327k

 

CM - 5.4m

 

U -62k

 

 

26 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

For comparison 

 

BATB 10 days out - 3.2m

 

BP 9 days out - 7m

 

NOT A RECORD! 

 

Spoiler

The classics never go out of style. 

 

[Joyous Legion]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

I know, but talking previews it's usually in the same ball park - like BvS and CW - even if o/w is different

Ah, since reception can impact FSS but no time to really affect Thurs numbers. Makes sense.

[Deep Wang]

Since this is from Wednesday morning, that give 5 full days until Monday. 

 

I’d like to see it between 6.5-7m on Monday.  That’s just about 200k/day. 

[dxmatrixdt]

Greta #s?

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, Deep Wang said:

Well, shit. I specially asked about getting the numbers today, but he got me yesterday morning’s numbers 😐 oh well. 

 

M - 327k

 

CM - 5.4m

 

U -62k

 

Good for Cap Marvel. $150mn seems locked and I feel it's gonna be around $165mn Approx.

Thanks @Deep Wang

Edited March 1, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[Yandereprime101189]

Since it's probably a couple of hundred pages back, how was Solo tracking a week before its release here.

 

 

[MrGlass2]

On 12/17/2018 at 7:12 PM, grim22 said:

 

Wonder Woman and Spider-Man Homecoming were both at 2.1M EOD Monday week of release (7pm Monday updates). Thor Ragnarok was 1.9M Sunday EOD and 2.6M Tuesday EOD, no Monday morning figure. Justice League was 2.15M Monday EOD. No comps from this year because we haven't had any

Looks like $200M OW for Captain Marvel is confirmed once again.

Edited March 1, 2019 by MrGlass2