DUNKIRK WEEKEND THREAD | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS | Official estimates Dunkirk 50.5M, GT 30.3M, SMH 22M, Apes 20.4M, Val 17M | Wonder Woman is the new summer champ with 389M total | Summer Sale is Live!

[Mojoguy]

I just don't see there being much interest in a movie that has a shit emoji. I'm thinking under 20 million as well.

Professor X is voicing that character!

Holy SHIT!

[Rthmessiah]

1 hour ago, Matrix4You said:

is the Irvine Spectrum 70MM IMAX going to pass 200K for the weekend?

No it won't its one of the top locations

[Kvikk Lunsj]

19 minutes ago, Rth Homecoming said:

No it won't its one of the top locations

What were the top locations in the United States

[dxmatrixdt]

1 hour ago, Rth Homecoming said:

No it won't its one of the top locations

did the math and I think it should be above 100K - for the Irvine Spectrum

 

567 seats @ $21 each with 5 shows per day. 

 

2/3 capacity in each show = 378 seats x $21 x 5 shows x 3 days = 119,070.  I think it would be closer to 150K though,

[Rthmessiah]

37 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

did the math and I think it should be above 100K - for the Irvine Spectrum

 

567 seats @ $21 each with 5 shows per day. 

 

2/3 capacity in each show = 378 seats x $21 x 5 shows x 3 days = 119,070.  I think it would be closer to 150K though,

good work its higher 

 

Overall Sun estimates looking on par, GT will probably wind up under 30% drop, in general it should increase  with reported looks to have been under estimated.

 

Edited July 24, 2017 by Rth Homecoming

[dxmatrixdt]

10 minutes ago, Rth Homecoming said:

good work its higher 

 

Overall Sun estimates looking on par, GT will probably wind up under 30% drop

Dunkirk at 13.12?  thought it would be much higher...

Edited July 24, 2017 by Matrix4You

[the beast]

Feel Like Dunkirk Will Go Up By $2M Or $2.5M

[LexJoker]

59 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

Dunkirk at 13.12?  thought it would be much higher...

 

Maybe being adult skewing and GOT having an effect coz of that, Sunday is muted than expected.

[FantasticBeasts]

4 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

DM3 does not deserve the success it's having. It is mind numbingly boring and lazy.

I really don't want to turn this into a fight but since you hate everything that Illumination makes, what's the point of watching those movies?

[aabattery]

4 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

I really don't want to turn this into a fight but since you hate everything that Illumination makes, what's the point of watching those movies?

 

He did like Sing!

[FantasticBeasts]

3 minutes ago, aabattery said:

 

He did like Sing!

Wow!!

[MCKillswitch123]

AFTER JULY 23rd - Top 10 Summer 2017 vs. 2016:

 

01. Wonder Woman - 389M

02. Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2 - 387.3M
03. Spider-Man: Homecoming - 251.7M

04. Despicable Me 3 - 213.3M

05. Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 170.6M

06. Cars 3 - 144M

07. Transformers: The Last Knight - 127.6M

08. War For The Planet Of The Apes - 97.8M

09. Baby Driver - 84.2M

10. The Mummy - 79.4M

TOTAL - 1.944.9B

 

vs.

 

01. Finding Dory - 457.9M

02. Captain America: Civil War - 406.8M

03. The Secret Life Of Pets - 251.9M

04. X-Men: Apocalypse - 155.1M

05. Central Intelligence - 122.3M

06. The Legend Of Tarzan - 113.9M

07. The Angry Birds Movie - 106.6M

08. The Conjuring 2 - 101.8M

09. Independence Day: Resurgence - 101M

10. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows - 81M

TOTAL - 1.898.3B

 

2017 is creating a bigger gap by the day, it seems. Despite having the advantage of a juggernaut in Finding Dory, 2016's mid-range seems to be letting it down even compared to this year. And w/Apes and Dunkirk countering STB and Bourne, Suicide Squad is probably gonna be 2016's last hope of winning this race.

Edited July 24, 2017 by MCKillswitch123

[FantasticBeasts]

2 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

AFTER JULY 23rd - Top 10 Summer 2017 vs. 2016:

 

01. Wonder Woman - 389M

02. Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2 - 387.3M
03. Spider-Man: Homecoming - 251.7M

04. Despicable Me 3 - 213.3M

05. Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 170.6M

06. Cars 3 - 144M

07. Transformers: The Last Knight - 127.6M

08. War For The Planet Of The Apes - 97.8M

09. Baby Driver - 84.2M

10. The Mummy - 79.4M

TOTAL - 1.944.9B

 

vs.

 

01. Finding Dory - 457.9M

02. Captain America: Civil War - 406.8M

03. The Secret Life Of Pets - 251.9M

04. X-Men: Apocalypse - 155.1M

05. Central Intelligence - 122.3M

06. The Legend Of Tarzan - 113.9M

07. The Angry Birds Movie - 106.6M

08. The Conjuring 2 - 101.8M

09. Independence Day: Resurgence - 101M

10. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows - 81M

TOTAL - 1.898.3B

 

2017 is creating a bigger gap by the day, it seems. Despite having the advantage of a juggernaut in Finding Dory, 2016's mid-range seems to be letting it down even compared to this year. And w/Apes and Dunkirk countering STB and Bourne, Suicide Squad is probably gonna be 2016's last hope of winning this race.

The question is though, what is there to compensate for Suicide Squad?

August feels dead...

[MCKillswitch123]

14 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

The question is though, what is there to compensate for Suicide Squad?

August feels dead...

Yeah, that's the thing: absolutely nothing in August is a certainty to even make 100M, nevermind come close to be an equal to Suicide Squad.

 

For 2017 to win, these events have to take place: Wonder Woman crosses 400M (a lock), Spider-Man crosses 300M (probably gonna happen), Despicable Me 3 does over DM1 (around 260+, which it seems to be having late legs for that but just maybe), numbers 9 and 10 are movies in the 120-130 range (Girls Trip and Emoji seem to be the best hopes for that, right now, and Emoji is far from a lock), and Dunkirk has RIDICULOUS legs and makes it to 200M (not impossible but unlikely).

 

Spidey and DM3 obviously won't come anywhere close to matching Pets and Squad's combined firepower (Spidey can take Suicide Squad at best, and DM3 will fall way behind any of these). However, if they have those big numbers, coupled w/Wonder Woman crossing 400M (which is enough to be on Civil War's tail), the top 4 can hold its own. From that point, it's all down to the mid-range movies, and if we get some late 120+ makers AND if Dunkirk hits 200M.... or hell, even close at maybe 180-190, that's more than enough to push the mid-range - Pirates 5 at 170M, Cars 3 at around 150, Apes somewhere there as well, etc. - above 2016's, which, besides Apocalypse, Bourne and Trek all in the 155-160M range, is pretty dour.

Edited July 24, 2017 by MCKillswitch123

[aabattery]

2 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Yeah, that's the thing: absolutely nothing in August is a certainty to even make 100M, nevermind come close to be an equal to Suicide Squad.

 

For 2017 to win, these events have to take place: Wonder Woman crosses 400M (a lock), Spider-Man crosses 300M (probably gonna happen), Despicable Me 3 does over DM1 (around 260+, which it seems to be having late legs for that but just maybe), numbers 9 and 10 are movies in the 120-130 range (Girls Trip and Emoji seem to be the best hopes for that, right now, and Emoji is far from a lock), and Dunkirk has RIDICULOUS legs and makes it to 200M (not impossible but unlikely).

 

Spidey and DM3 obviously won't come anywhere close to matching Pets and Squad's combined firepower (Spidey can take Suicide Squad at best, and DM3 will fall way behind any of these). However, if they have those big numbers, coupled w/Wonder Woman crossing 400M (which is enough to be on Civil War's tail), the top 4 can hold its own. From that point, it's all down to the mid-range movies, and if Dunkirk hits 200M.... or hell, even close at maybe 180-190, that's more than enough to push the mid-range - Pirates 5 at 170M, Cars 3 at around 150, Apes somewhere there as well, etc. - above 2016's, which, besides Apocalypse, Bourne and Trek all in the 155-160M range, is pretty dour.

 

All the more room for Dunkirk to grow monster legs.

 

Saving Private Ryan legs confirmed.

Edited July 24, 2017 by aabattery

[redfirebird2008]

1 hour ago, LexJoker said:

 

Maybe being adult skewing and GOT having an effect coz of that, Sunday is muted than expected.

 

Forgot about Game of Thrones. 23% Saturday increase sure doesn't help the Sunday drop either. Hopefully at least stays above $50m weekend. 

[a2k]

Girls Trip touching 31 will be cool. 3.23x multi needed for 100 dom. Should get there cause it didn't show much front-loading in the OW at least compared to Bad Moms.

 

Looking at previews=>ow

GT 1.7 previews, 31 ow

BM 2.0 previews, 23.8 ow

 

Looking at true Friday=>Saturday bump

GT +10%

BM +4%

[Brainbug]

Im also starting to think that GoT will have a negative effect on Sunday drops. The show is (deservedly) more popular than any other show in television history. Add to that the fact that its also more epic than most of the movies released this year.

[FantasticBeasts]

I agree that GoT should be having an effect on Sundays. The show is more popular than ever and it is targeting basically the movie audience right now.

I agree that it is basically more epic than anything released this year too!

[dxmatrixdt]

when will this Game of Thrones Sunday business be over so I can have better Sunday numbers?