CoolioD1 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 PGA Nominees: Black Panther BlacKkKlansman Bohemian Rhapsody Crazy Rich Asians The Favourite Green Book A Quiet Place A Star is Born Roma Vice 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 momentum of Crazy rich asians and Bohemian spike quickly! Both film got SGA ensemble, Golden globe and PGA nomination! And they snub if the beale street could talk???!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 crazy rich asians could realistically get a best picture nomination and nothing else. though it could sneak in for screenplay. same w/ a quiet place but that should at least get sound nods. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 13 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: momentum of Crazy rich asians and Bohemian spike quickly! Both film got SGA ensemble, Golden globe and PGA nomination! And they snub if the beale street could talk???!!! Small movies tend to have a tough time getting in here. Whiplash, Foxcatcher (which ended up not nominated), and Call Me by Your Name are the only sub-$20M grossers to get in here in the last few years. Though Beale Street probably would’ve made it if Annapurna wasn’t throwing most of their limited remaining resources behind Vice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 25 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: PGA Nominees: Black Panther BlacKkKlansman Bohemian Rhapsody Crazy Rich Asians The Favourite Green Book A Quiet Place A Star is Born Roma Vice This is going to be Best Picture lineup too isn't it? Don't see it changing much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Just now, Carlangonz said: This is going to be Best Picture lineup too isn't it? Don't see it changing much. looking back there's usually one movie that doesn't make this line-up that gets nominated for best picture. this year that'll probably be Beale Street if it happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Crazy Rich Asians’ trajectory has reminded me of Straight Outta Compton (another mid-August surprise blockbuster) so it probably will show up somewhere. Maybe Screenplay like that movie did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Just now, CoolioD1 said: looking back there's usually one movie that doesn't make this line-up that gets nominated for best picture. this year that'll probably be Beale Street if it happens. I don't see how crazy rich asian can gain support from craft bodies. Beside best picture, the film has no shot at other categories, constance wu was not really a real actress contender, her GG nomination was still a mega-surprise even in comedy category. Oscar need broad appeal to all the category, that's why it think CRA may missed out. 6 minutes ago, filmlover said: Small movies tend to have a tough time getting in here. Whiplash, Foxcatcher (which ended up not nominated), and Call Me by Your Name are the only sub-$20M grossers to get in here in the last few years. Though Beale Street probably would’ve made it if Annapurna wasn’t throwing most of their limited remaining resources behind Vice. Have you seen Beale street? Is it more mainstream appealing than moonlight? The box office gross seems suggest so Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Just now, titanic2187 said: Have you seen Beale street? Is it more mainstream appealing than moonlight? The box office gross seems suggest so I haven’t seen it yet (this weekend) but I’ll be surprised if it comes close to matching Moonlight’s gross at this point unless it becomes the surprise Best Picture winner again (which it won’t). $15-20M is looking like where it’ll land. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: looking back there's usually one movie that doesn't make this line-up that gets nominated for best picture. this year that'll probably be Beale Street if it happens. Yup, it's probably taking over AQP or CRA spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Crazy Rich Asians hasn't missed a single place it would need to for a Best Picture nom, probably moving it into my next set of predictions! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 New predictions: 1. A Star Is Born 2. Roma 3. BlacKkKlansman 4. The Favourite 5. Black Panther 6. Green Book 7. A Quiet Place 8. Bohemian Rhapsody 9. Vice ————————- 10. If Beale Street Could Talk 11. Eighth Grade 12. Crazy Rich Asians CRA’s biggest hurdle is that it can only get one other nomination max (Screenplay). This just feels like a populist film such as Deadpool or Wonder Woman that has a decent guild showing but doesn’t make it anywhere at the Oscars. If it can get into WGA over BP or CYEFM, then I’ll consider bumping it over Beale Street and Eighth Grade. A Quiet Place is slowly positioning itself as a sleeper with a bunch of nominations. I’m veeeeeery close to putting Krasinski in Director’s fifth spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 No big surprises from the PGA. The love here further bolsters the Best Picture cases for Bohemian Rhapsody and Crazy Rich Asians. I'm still not sold on A Quiet Place as a Picture nominee, but the appearance here and Blunt's SAG nomination at least put it in the conversation. I would say that I'm mystified at how Vice has been a bigger player than Beale Street, but it makes a lot of sense: it's the flashier film with much-hyped performances from two highly-respected actors and recognizing it allows the industry to make a statement about the political landscape. Beale Street is also political from what I've heard (not surprising given the source material and the present-day parallels), but not in nearly as explicit a manner as Vice. I feel like it could be headed for the same fate as Carol: a lauded film with people who love it, but not enough people to propel it to the Picture nod. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 oscar nominee michael bay is gonna happen folks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Quinn Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Feel like take out Crazy Rich Asians, and this is our BP line-up. Maybe Beale Street also takes down A Quiet Place. Guess that's good for the ratings, since half of the nominees will be populist hits. I haven't seen all the movies listed, but this seems like this year will be a weak list of movies quality-wise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 12 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: oscar nominee michael bay is gonna happen folks. That's an even weirder prospect than Jerry Bruckheimer almost being an Oscar nominee for Black Hawk Down back in the five-nominee days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Producer's Guild of America Results vs Oscar Nominations: 2010: 9/10 2011: 7/10 2012: 8/10 2013: 8/10 2014: 7/10 2015: 7/10 2016: 9/10 2017: 7/10 2018: ? I think 8/10 would be a safe average to predict which ones will get in this year. The ones in bold I think have the strongest chance of actually getting the nomination. Black Panther BlacKkKlansman Bohemian Rhapsody Crazy Rich Asians The Favourite Green Book A Quiet Place Roma A Star is Born Vice They'll probably add in one other film that isn't included on the line-up. In that case, I think Beale Street will take that spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Quinn Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 2 hours ago, CoolEric258 said: I suppose none of those would be a bad choice. Though I'd include Roma in that pool because it wasn't eligible for the Golden Globe BP nom, even if it goes against statistics. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 Aside from Adapted Screenplay (which I think at this point it can get into), CRA's only other shots could be Production Design, Supporting Actress (I wouldn't count out Yeoh yet, but I'm surprised SAG didn't pull for her when they pushed for Ensemble), and Original Score. Of this list I'd say A Quiet Place is most likely on the chopping block. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...