TwoMisfits Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Here's the thing with this weekend (and next)...both of these weekends will be Valentine's celebrations (plus Wednesday)...so for the folks celebrating early, what are they gonna pick? There are about 2 options for this weekend - one for younger folks or who want steamy fare (50 Shades) and one for older ones or who want happy, clean fare (15:17)...that's about it, b/c everything else has been in the market forever... So, both should do "better than expected from presale projections" b/c folks will be taking their sweethearts to one of these:)...those low 30's and 10 predictions will probably both be really low... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 (edited) 8 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: Here's the thing with this weekend (and next)...both of these weekends will be Valentine's celebrations (plus Wednesday)...so for the folks celebrating early, what are they gonna pick? There are about 2 options for this weekend - one for younger folks or who want steamy fare (50 Shades) and one for older ones or who want happy, clean fare (15:17)...that's about it, b/c everything else has been in the market forever... So, both should do "better than expected from presale projections" b/c folks will be taking their sweethearts to one of these:)...those low 30's and 10 predictions will probably both be really low... They are. They're just protections based off typical studio estimates and tracking. The fact that FSF opened with only a little less then Darker's midnight, means it has a strong chance of making around 45m this weekend (depending on how it drops), which is more then the 33 - 39m estimated. Peter Rabbit should also do quite well (I say around 25m or maybe higher), since presales are strong, and there hasn't been a major kids / family film in a while. Edited February 9, 2018 by Fancyarcher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxmoser3 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Very good start for Fifty Shades! a debut north of $40 million should be pretty doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 That midnight makes much more sense than the low 30s being tossed the last couple of weeks. Should be a solid if unspectacular weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 That lowballing for A Quiet Place http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-blockers-quiet-place/ 17/60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Duncan Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, That One Guy said: That lowballing for A Quiet Place http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-blockers-quiet-place/ 17/60 Also of note: Black Panther: OW up 1% ($140M) Red Sparrow: OW $22M (-15%), $69M (-18%) @aabattery Blockers: $20M/$67M 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 BP looking at 140-150 3-day / 175-180 4-day it seems. Will be hard to miss Wonder Woman's 412.6m with that. DP1 legs take it to 415-430 with that 4-day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 High 30s/low 40s for Shades3. Next FSS it will have a good hold despite sequelitis as not much overlap with BP plus there's the big VD boost for it on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 TCs for February 23: Game Night: 3,100 Annihilation: 2,900 Every Day: 1,000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Runtimes without credits and trailer attachments for next week: Black Panther: 2:07. Attachments are Ant-Man and Solo. Samson: 1:44. Attachments are God's Not D3ad and Little Woman. Early Man: 1:39. Attachments are Shaun the Sheep 2 and I Can Only Imagine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxmoser3 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 That seems reasonable for both Blockers and A Quiet Place! I hope both do very well, and I’m defnitely interested in seeing both of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 10 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Runtimes without credits and trailer attachments for next week: Black Panther: 2:07. Attachments are Ant-Man and Solo. Samson: 1:44. Attachments are God's Not D3ad and Little Woman. Early Man: 1:39. Attachments are Shaun the Sheep 2 and I Can Only Imagine. Shorter Samson runtime will allow it to have more shows than BP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Trailer stalkers @Poe Blankeron: 7: Annihilation (Blade Runner, The Foreigner, Happy Death Day, All the Money in the World, Downsizing, Molly’s Game, The Commuter) 6: Fifty Shades Freed (Murder on the Orient Express, Lady Bird, All the Money in the World, Molly’s Game, I, Tonya, Phantom Thread) Red Sparrow (Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Blade Runner 2049, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, The Commuter, I, Tonya, The Post) 5: The 15:17 to Paris (Molly’s Game, The Commuter, I, Tonya, The Post, Phantom Thread) Alpha (Hitman’s Bodyguard, Geostorm, Thor: Ragnarok, Downsizing, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle) Pacific Rim: Uprising (Blade Runner, Geostorm, Thank You for Your Service, Thor: Ragnarok, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle) 4: Black Panther (Valerian, The Dark Tower, Thor: Ragnarok, All the Money in the World) Death Wish (Detroit, It, American Assassin, The Commuter) Ready Player One (It, Blade Runner 2049, Justice League, Star Wars: The Last Jedi) Sherlock Gnomes (Coco, Wonder, The Greatest Showman, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle) Sicario 2: Soldado (All the Money in the World, Molly’s Game, The Commuter, Phantom Thread) 3: Early Man (Coco, Wonder, The Greatest Showman) Isle of Dogs (Ninjago, Downsizing, Phantom Thread) A Quiet Place (Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Downsizing, Phantom Thread) A Wrinkle in Time (Valerian, Murder on the Orient Express, Coco) 2: 7 Days in Entebbe (Darkest Hour, Phantom Thread) Alita: Battle Angel (Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle) Avengers: Infinity War (Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Downsizing) Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool (All the Money in the World, Darkest Hour) Game Night (Downsizing, I, Tonya) Gringo (Molly’s Game, The Commuter) Incredibles 2 (Coco, Star Wars: The Last Jedi) Love, Simon (The Greatest Showman, The Post) Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (The Greatest Showman, The Post) Peter Rabbit (Coco, The Greatest Showman) Polaroid (Wind River, mother!) Tomb Raider (Geostorm, Justice League) Tully (The Post, Phantom Thread) Untitled Deadpool Sequel (Justice League, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) 1: Spoiler Acrimony (The Commuter) Blockers (Downsizing) The Current War (Wind River) Duck Duck Goose (Ninjago) Every Day (Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Star Wars: The Last Jedi) The Miracle Season (Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle) Mortal Engines (The Commuter) The New Mutants (Thor: Ragnarok) The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (The Greatest Showman) Ocean’s 8 (The Greatest Showman) The Party (Lady Bird) Rampage (Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle) Sgt. Stubby: An American Hero (Wonder) Smallfoot (Coco) Super Troopers 2 (Kingsman) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 31 minutes ago, a2knet said: BP looking at 140-150 3-day / 175-180 4-day it seems. Will be hard to miss Wonder Woman's 412.6m with that. DP1 legs take it to 415-430 with that 4-day. Why are we still predicting 140 m OW for BP? A certain deep person put 200 m 4-day on the table as possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 4 hours ago, John Marston said: Can't see why it would play so much worse over the weekend than the last so 40-45m is likely I thought a nearly the same as the last one performance was probable yes, the first one became an event talked in the regular media a lot, overreached is natural audience/book reader, second was already just the fans (150m book sold, that a movie that does not need to reach outside the core fanbase really much to be giant, like the Potters) and if they were there for the second after that first, why not the 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Brie Larson about to conquer the streaming charts for Valentine's Day! This is being dumped in select theaters and on VOD today after sitting on the shelf for about 5 years. Jesus. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Before Deadline updates us, I'm going to predict they say 18-20 for FSF, 7 for Peter Rabbit and 4 for 1517 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Audience score update: Peter Rabbit: 79% (+4) Fifty Shades: 61% (+1) 15:17 to Paris: 48% (-9) PR and 15:17 are still low on votes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Going right now to decorate our lobby for the Peter Rabbit promotion tomorrow. Thankfully I got out of wearing the Rabbit suit tomorrow morning... my fried volunteered instead cause it's my birthday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, DAJK said: Going right now to decorate our lobby for the Peter Rabbit promotion tomorrow. Thankfully I got out of wearing the Rabbit suit tomorrow morning... my fried volunteered instead cause it's my birthday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
