titanic2187 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, POTUS said: @KP1025, I couldnt quote you in the weekend thread @POTUS What do you think about this Monday number? $25 million would be just a 64% drop from Sunday compared to 67% for The Avengers and 74% for Ultron. --------------------- Monday's hold confirms WoM spillover as it did Sunday. I think that leads to a better than 50% hold (TA1 -50.3%) next weekend and a better OW multi than TA1 (3.005x) I give $800m a better than 50/50 chance Another way to confirm monday spillover is to see tuesday's number. If tuesday suffered a negligible increase or even drop, meaning opening crowd are pouring into monday market.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: that's IWP2 Avengers Untitled Film is the clear choice for acronym Hopefully the Russos just give us an actual title to use soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lancelot Gold Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Rough estimates, some rounding. Mon: 25M (282M) Tue: 23M (305M) -8% Wed: 18M (323M) -20% Thur: 17M (340M) -5% Fri-Sun: 140M (480M) -45% v LW Mon: 12M (492M) -52% v Last Monday Tue: 13M (505M) +8% Wed: 10M (515M) -20% Thur: 10M (525M) --- Fri-Sun: 84M (609M) -40% 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted May 1, 2018 Author Share Posted May 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: I think the gap between US&Canada vs Overseas should shorten this sunday, there's literally 0 competition for this next weekend DOM There's not much competition OS either and the Russia opening might help soften the drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Just now, aabattery said: There's not much competition OS either and the Russia opening might help soften the drop. non English language countries always have their own releases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) 9 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: Another way to confirm monday spillover is to see tuesday's number. If tuesday suffered a negligible increase or even drop, meaning opening crowd are pouring into monday market.... then we'll need wed to confirm tues CA3 was up 3.5% on tues AoU up -.07% TA1 at -6% but tuesday were not as big then looking for hold up the wave Edited May 1, 2018 by POTUS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Just now, POTUS said: then we'll need wed to confirm tues we need 3rd weekend to confirm it's not due to lack of competition then a 6th weekend to confirm all that's before it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: we need 3rd weekend to confirm it's not due to lack of competition then a 6th weekend to confirm all that's before it Then Avatar 2 to fall way short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Did RTH confirm the number or are we just running on hints ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YLF Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, POTUS said: then we'll need wed to confirm tues CA3 was up 3.5% on tues AoU up -.07% TA1 at -6% but tuesday were not as big then looking for hold up the wave when those movies came out were a majority of theaters doing the discount tues thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lancelot Gold Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, BardCrank said: Did RTH confirm the number or are we just running on hints ? He confirmed by liking multiple posts saying 25M after his hint. It's how he rolls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, BardCrank said: Did RTH confirm the number or are we just running on hints ? According to BOT traditional ritual, the god will give a series of ppictures or clues, then the members will then give their thought about the number it could be based on the clues provided. The god then will give his reaction icon to the member who gave their guess. The correct winner will gain like from God while the wrong ones will get disbelief face.... In this case,a member's 25m got a like from Rth and the quote of 25m also got a like, meaning a double confirmation. Hence, 25m... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted May 1, 2018 Author Share Posted May 1, 2018 Trust the process. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said: At this point only 500 is locked and 600 is looking good. 700 is still a question mark. We will have to see its second weekend to see where it might head up. 800 is just plain stupid With 25M today 600M is locked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) That's about as good of a hold as it could've possibly had! 63.8% Sunday to Monday drop....... IN FUCKING LATE APRIL FOR A SCHOOLDAY MONDAY! Unbelievable! Compared to all the other Sun-Mon drops in the rest of the MCU: Black Panther - 33.2% (holiday Monday) Thor: The Dark World - 52.1% (holiday Monday) Guardians Of The Galaxy - 54% (early-August Monday) Captain America: The First Avenger - 55.5% (mid-July Monday) Ant-Man - 57.6% (mid-July Monday) Spider-Man: Homecoming - 58.2% (early-July Monday) The Incredible Hulk - 61.4% (mid-June Monday) Avengers: Infinity War - 63.8% The Avengers - 66.9% Thor - 68% Captain America: Civil War - 68.7% Iron Man 2 - 69.9% Doctor Strange - 70.6% Iron Man - 73.4% Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 73.5% Avengers: Age Of Ultron - 73.7% Iron Man 3 - 73.8% Thor: Ragnarok - 74.3% Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2 - 74.8% BP is the clear cut Sun-Mon drop winner in the MCU, and its Monday was President's Day. Following it, Thor 2, the only sequel with a better drop than IW, saw its Monday fall on Veteran's Day. From there on out, the only other movies with better Monday drops than IW are all non-sequels released well in the heart of the Summer, with superb weekdays (and even then, IW's drop came close to some of those movies). Every other movie on the list had regular releases with no Monday inflation... and look how much better IW dropped than all of them. Even Avengers 1 had a worse drop. It could be all spillover effect, but that is absolutely tremendous. I'm starting to think there is a very good chance IW not only drops sub-60%, but it could even have mid to low 50's drop as well. April weekdays depress the demand all the way into the weekend. Madness. (And if that were the case, I would owe @MovieMan89 a big fat apology and a "You Are God" shirt due to all the arguments I got with him about IW's legs, and it turned out he had far more foresight than I did..... although close to 3x is still a stretch because Deadpool 2, buddy ) PS: Should point out that Tuesday will either have a minimal increase or maybe not an increase at all due to these Monday numbers. Edited May 1, 2018 by MCKillswitch123 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said: With 25M today 600M is locked 600M was locked on satruday 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 10 minutes ago, YLF said: when those movies came out were a majority of theaters doing the discount tues thing? When CW came out for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Didnt movie man say 300m? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 57 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said: I like you as a poster so don’t take offense but saying “600 is looking good” is a bit silly too. It will be very close or at 600 before Deadpool 2 opens. I’m generally conservative when it comes to predictions but yeah I am confident in 600. Wom is far better than Civil War and Ultron and its Monday is a good confirmation of that. I think it will be about 575 or so by the time Deadpool opens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 10 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: Didnt movie man say 300m? He did for OW (which was always dumb), but he also insisted that IW would have better legs than some of us were giving it credit for. If the movie keeps this momentum up for a while, at least until Deadpool..... he'd be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
