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HAN SOLO MEMORIAL (day weekend) THREAD | Solo Flops Domestically with 83M/101M weekend. Spectacularly Bombs Overseas with 65M weekend.

By Water Bottle, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by RthDeadWov,

Mon looking Solo 18.8, DP2 10.8, AIW 5.5
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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Hunch said:

So the OW is likely to be around $85m-$90m based on that number? Could MDW Sunday bump it up to $95m-$100m?

 

 

Judging by the SW franchise frontloaded past, I’d say $90M-$95M for OW.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted (edited)

While I'm waiting for the last showing for tonight's comps, here's how tomorrow looks at my theater:

 

Spoiler

Solo:

 

10:00: 61/124

10:45 3D: 11/78

11:30: 24/78

12:15 3D: 2/78

12:45: 5/63

1:15: 31/124

2:00 3D: 13/78

2:45: 6/78

3:30 3D: 2/78

4:30: 48/124

5:15 3D: 3/78

5:30 3D: 0/69

6:00: 4/78

6:45 3D: 7/78

7:45: 87/124

8:30 3D: 8/78

8:45 3D: 0/69

9:15: 18/78

10:00 3D: 0/78

11:00: 1/124

 

Book Club:

 

11:00: 17/78

12:20: 8/69

1:35: 13/78

2:55: 12/69

4:10: 4/78

6:50: 18/78

9:25: 0/78

 

Deadpool 2:

 

10:15: 21/78

11:15: 11/113

12:15: 0/78

1:15: 0/78

2:15: 2/113

3:15: 0/78

4:15: 0/78

5:15: 0/113

6:15: 4/78

7:15: 8/78

8:15: 0/113

9:15: 3/78

10:15: 0/78

11:15: 0/113

 

Avengers: Infinity War:

 

11:15: 8/60

2:45 3D: 0/60

6:15: 0/60

9:45 3D: 0/60

 

Breaking In:

 

10:05: 0/69

1:40: 6/67

9:10: 2/67

 

Show Dogs:

 

10:30: 7/63

3:50: 0/63

6:10: 0/63

8:30: 0/63

10:45: 0/63

 

Life of the Party:

 

10:55: 3/67

4:00: 0/67

6:35: 2/67

 

Solo: 331/1,757 (285 2D/46 3D)

Book Club: 72/528

Deadpool 2: 49/1,154

Avengers: Infinity War: 8/240 (all 2D)

Breaking In: 8/203

Show Dogs: 7/315

Life of the Party: 5/204

 

TFW Book Club is up from last week :ohmygod: 

Solo comps:

 

34% of The Last Jedi (74.8M)

38% of Infinity War (97.9M)

62% of Black Panther (125.2M)

97% of Deadpool 2 (121.7M)

110% of Thor: Ragnarok (135M)

132% of Justice League (123.8M)

306% of Jumanji (110.8M)

 

Note: school is now 100% OUT here as today was the final day. All of these comps save for Jumanji were while school was in session. Additionally, Solo probably won't behave like any of these except TLJ, so Thursday comps will probably be better.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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Nova Global Phenomenon

Nova

Posted
Posted
Just now, WrathOfHan said:

While I'm waiting for the last showing for tonight's comps6:, here's how tomorrow looks at my theater:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Solo: 331/1,757 (285 2D/46 3D)

Book Club: 72/528

Deadpool 2: 49/1,154

Avengers: Infinity War: 8/240 (all 2D)

Breaking In: 8/203

Show Dogs: 7/315

Life of the Party: 5/204

 

TFW Book Club is up from last week :ohmygod: 

Solo comps:

 

34% of The Last Jedi (74.8M)

38% of Infinity War (97.9M)

62% of Black Panther (125.2M)

97% of Deadpool 2 (121.7M)

110% of Thor: Ragnarok (135M)

132% of Justice League (123.8M)

306% of Jumanji (110.8M)

 

Note: school is now 100% OUT here as today was the final day. All of these comps save for Jumanji were while school was in session. Additionally, Solo probably won't behave like any of these except TLJ, so Thursday comps will probably be better.

When Book Club is ahead of Deadpool 2. 

 

Forget about that good hold for DP2 this weekend 

:whosad:

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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Solo: A Star Wars Story’ Targeting $13M-$15M Thursday Night B.O.

 

 

http://deadline.com/2018/05/solo-a-star-wars-weekend-box-office-1202397848/:ohmygod:

God, I am genuinely shocked.

I have been pretty bearish (as in a Wall Street bear) on Solo box office's but I thought it would have strong Thursday B.O simply because the fans would be out in great strength. If that holds..and I can't think the number can be that far off...then the chances of Solo not just underperforming but out and out bombing have just gone up. And that I never expected.  Badly underperform,yes, but not out and out fail.

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, AdamKendall said:

God damn, Deadline doing their best to try to make it seem like it's not a dog shit # for a Star Wars film. LOL

 

They used every comp except for Star Wars movies. :thinking: 

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Hunch Sleeper Hit

Hunch

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, AdamKendall said:

God damn, Deadline doing their best to try to make it seem like it's not a dog shit # for a Star Wars film. LOL

ddd I couldn't help but notice that 

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Nova Global Phenomenon

Nova

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, grim22 said:

 

They used every comp except for Star Wars movies. :thinking: 

Because if they use a Star Wars comp they're looking at under $90M for the 3-day which would be horrendous 

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Sam Global Phenomenon

Sam

Posted
Posted (edited)

I think it’s gonna be closer to 13M base on how my local theaters looking.

 

But who knows, DP2 jumped significantly from low end of Deadline early Thu estimates. Maybe West Coast gonna be helping Solo? (I did call the $19M for DP2 base on my theaters, so I’m gonna stick with 13M for Solo)

Edited by Sam
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AdamKendall Box Office Gold

AdamKendall

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Nova said:

Because if they use a Star Wars comp they're looking at under $90M for the 3-day which would be horrendous 

It's the first major Star Wars movie I haven't been to opening night since Attack of the Clones. LOL

 

Nobody was dying for this film and if their next solution is Boba Fett, it's going to be an even bigger disaster.

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Darth Lehnsherr Blockbuster

Darth Lehnsherr

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, Hunch said:

What happened to the presales that were higher than Black Panther? LOL

John Campea's "Could Solo make $200M Opening Weekend" Video after that headline was funny but after these numbers....

 

 

Edited by Darth Lehnsherr
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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted

Doing some comps with previous Star Wars movies and a 5% Sunday drop/15% Monday on all:

 

TLJ:

 

30.3M (2.33x previews)

18.5M (-39%)

17.6M (-5%)

15M (-15%)

66.4M 3 Day, 81.4M 4 Day

 

Rogue One:

 

31.9M (2.45x previews)

20.7M (-35%)

19.7M (-5%)

16.7M (-15%)

82.3M 3 Day, 97M 4 Day

 

TFA:

 

27.2M (2.09x previews)

15.5M (-43%)

14.7M (-5%)

12.5M (-15%)

57.4M 3 Day, 69.9M 4 Day

 

YawningSneakyHornedtoad-size_restricted.

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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, AdamKendall said:

God damn, Deadline doing their best to try to make it seem like it's not a dog shit # for a Star Wars film. LOL

Deadline would have lost whatever creditbiltiy it had with that,except it lost all of it's creditbility a long time ago.

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SpiritComix Sleeper Hit

SpiritComix

Posted
Posted

Early...

 

"I think after Solo, Lucasfilm Will be more careful making New spinoffs of old known characters"

 

3 hours later...

 

A BOBBA FETT MOVIE?? Really?

 

What a lazy franchise Star Wars is right now...

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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Nova said:

Because if they use a Star Wars comp they're looking at under $90M for the 3-day which would be horrendous 

That Disney might actually LOSE money on Solo has now got to be considered a real possibility....

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Hunch Sleeper Hit

Hunch

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Doing some comps with previous Star Wars movies and a 5% Sunday drop/15% Monday on all:

 

TLJ:

 

30.3M (2.33x previews)

18.5M (-39%)

17.6M (-5%)

15M (-15%)

66.4M 3 Day, 81.4M 4 Day

 

Rogue One:

 

31.9M (2.45x previews)

20.7M (-35%)

19.7M (-5%)

16.7M (-15%)

82.3M 3 Day, 97M 4 Day

 

TFA:

 

27.2M (2.09x previews)

15.5M (-43%)

14.7M (-5%)

12.5M (-15%)

57.4M 3 Day, 69.9M 4 Day

 

YawningSneakyHornedtoad-size_restricted.

Oh wow

 

Surely it can't go THIS low

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