BOX OFFICE THEORY WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM WEEKEND THREAD | 150 OW OFFICIAL ESTIMATE | No Spoilers, Read Rules First Post! | First Post Updated with Sale Info

[dxmatrixdt]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Why the weather sure is pleasant on this nice June night in Florida, thank you very much.

yes but has the good weather infected the minds of enough millions of people to sway the domestic numbers northward on such a night?

[TalismanRing]

Just now, L Silverman said:

Disney would have been better off moving Nutcracker and the Four Realms to Memorial and Solo to first weekend in November with Ralph for Thanksgiving or vice versa.

Nutcracker is such a  Christmas/Holiday event that even November is probably too early in the year for it.  They could have moved Ralph to March where there was nothing for kids (it worked great for Zootopia and that even had the Jungle Book close to it) and had Solo take the Thanksgiving spot.

[JohnnyGossamer]

We need parking lot reports, stat!?!

[L Silverman]

4 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Ah yes, The Nutcracker, a movie based on a Christmas ballet...should have been released in May.

Yeah, better to open it in a overcrowded November where it has to go up against not one, not two but three huge kids movies in the same mouth whereas there was no major kids movies in the entire month of May and nothing until I2 in mid-June.

Edited June 23, 2018 by L Silverman

[filmlover]

Just now, mathemetrics said:

yes but has the good weather infected the minds of enough millions of people to sway the domestic numbers northward on such a night?

Judging by how Jurassic World and Incredibles sold out most shows at the theater tonight, I'd say it has!

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, L Silverman said:

Yeah, better to open it in a overcrowded November where it has to go up against not one, not two but three huge kids movies in the same mouth whereas there was no major kids movies in the entire month of May and nothing until I2 in mid-June.

Wreck-It Ralph was supposed to be an early year release at one point but was pushed back (I'm guessing cause they wanted distance between it and Incredibles and also wanted an animated movie out later in the year). But yeah, no way would they have released Nutcracker at any other time of year but around the holidays. Universal wouldn't have released The Grinch at any other time of year either.

[That One Girl]

13 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Disney is going to have 3 months between CR and Nutcracker where they don't release a movie.

 

Not as bad as last year where they had 5 fucking months between Cars 3 and Thor Ragnarok

[Chewy]

37 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Beasts 2, Ant Man 2 and Venom have the best chance at an $100M+ OW but all look like longshots. Beasts 2 might suffer as Beasts 1 didn’t have people craving more, AM2 needs way too big of a jump and arguably opening after two big movies with the same target audience might hurt, and Venom although trailer views has been impressive depends largely on quality, if it is shit, it’s toast.

 

Grinch killed it chance after shitty trailer, Halloween needs more buzz, Ralph 2 and Poppins have a five day, and Aquaman has too much competition.

 

Beasts 2 stars Johnny Depp in the year 2018 it's not opening to 100M

[aabattery]

1 minute ago, Chewy said:

  

Beasts 2 stars Johnny Depp in the year 2018 it's not opening to 100M

 

#DumpDepp #FetchFarrell

 

Jokes on them, Dumbo gets a 100m OW as justice for their sins.

[Chewy]

11 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Nutcracker is such a  Christmas/Holiday event that even November is probably too early in the year for it.  They could have moved Ralph to March where there was nothing for kids (it worked great for Zootopia and that even had the Jungle Book close to it) and had Solo take the Thanksgiving spot.

 

OTOH, Nutcracker on MD would've timed it perfectly with the Morgan Freeman sexual abuse allegations

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Beasts 2 stars Johnny Depp in the year 2018 it's not opening to 100M

I'll never understand why they stuck with him. Even Disney seems to finally be out of the Depp business now!

[That One Girl]

3 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Beasts 2 stars Johnny Depp in the year 2018 it's not opening to 100M

 

Depp avoiding that 100M ow like

 

[L Silverman]

3 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

OTOH, Nutcracker on MD would've timed it perfectly with the Morgan Freeman sexual abuse allegations

Yeah.  Okay, how's about this- Disney saves AWiT for streaming, moves Ralph to March, Nutcracker stays first weekend in Nov and Solo takes Thanksgiving.

[John Marston]

Johnny Depo is not the lead of Beasts and he won’t be affecting the opening at all

Edited June 23, 2018 by John Marston

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, L Silverman said:

Yeah.  Okay, how's about this- Disney saves AWiT for streaming, moves Ralph to March, Nutcracker stays first weekend in Nov and Solo takes Thanksgiving.

Disney's only saving that streaming service for low-budget fare that they had nothing to lose by sending them there.

[MovieMan89]

Nutcracker releasing outside of the holiday frame is about as smart as Disney putting all Star Wars films on hold except Solo ones. 

[Zakiyyah6]

People still living in that fantasy world where Solo would have made a billion in December. Disney is so successful that people just can't handle them releasing 2 bombs this year.  A Wrinkle in Time would have made a billion too if people weren't so racist according to these people. Black Panther doesn't exist.  You were wrong about Star Wars always being a sure thing. A lot of people thought a film about a young Han Solo was a lousy idea no matter what time of year it was released in. 

[Ledmonkey96]

24 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Why the weather sure is pleasant on this nice June night in Florida, thank you very much.

I went outside at 2AM yesterday and it was 85-90 with 60% humidity...... the weather is amazing.

[Chewy]

Just now, Zakiyyah6 said:

People still living in that fantasy world where Solo would have made a billion in December. Disney is so successful that people just can't handle them releasing 2 bombs this year.  A Wrinkle in Time would have made a billion too if people weren't so racist according to these people. Black Panther doesn't exist.  You were wrong about Star Wars always being a sure thing. A lot of people thought a film about a young Han Solo was a lousy idea no matter what time of year it was released in. 

 

Nutcracker is coming so it'll be 3 bombs

 

Disney's "everything's a tentpole!" release strategy from now means it's entirely feast or famine, which at least makes for exciting BO watching

[filmlover]

I will say it's nice to see Hollywood is trying to revive the Christmas-themed blockbuster twice this year, as it's basically become dormant the last several years (most likely because it takes too long to make money off of them; holiday films save their home releases until the following holiday season for maximum sales).